2023 Zurich Classic Bets: Final PGA TOUR Thoughts, Betting Card

Written By John Haslbauer on April 19, 2023
zurich classic bets

It’s a tough act to follow after back-to-back compelling showcases at The Masters and RBC Heritage, but the 2023 Zurich Classic at TPC Louisiana will try its best. It may not be the most exciting week to watch or bet, but there’s still plenty of value across the markets out there to be exploited in this unique Team Stroke Play format. Let’s get to my final Zurich Classic bets. Click the odds anywhere in this article to place Zurich Classic bets. 

For a full breakdown of the tournament and course, visit my Zurich Classic preview


I am committing to the team chemistry narrative this week, as I believe familiarity amongst partners can be the x-factor to separate in this quirky format. The list of contenders over the first five years of this event has proven that first-time partners and debutants do not have the best track record for this event, so I’ve found the most value in identifying the most well-rounded pairings who’ve displayed strong prior results at this event. With this ultimately being a birdie fest prone to randomness of diversifying your best and worst holes from your partner’s, I’m not afraid to fade the prohibitive favorites in Schauffele & Cantlay and spread my exposure across a longer card of contenders.

In terms of unit allocations for my card this week, it’s back to business as usual for my Zurich Classic bets.

  • Outrights – 3U in to pay 24U each
  • FRL – 0.5U in to pay out 10U+ each
  • Props – 3U in to pay out 3U+ each

Click on any of the odds below for Zurich Classic bets and the best available prices across legal sportsbooks in your state. Note odds have been moving like crazy this week after I bet these Monday. If you want to get my betting card earlier in the week, join TheLines.com’s free Discord channel and go to the golf-betting server.


Sam Burns & Billy Horschel

My Bet: +2300
Best Available Odds: +1800 (Caesars)

For the third year in a row, I’m hitching myself to the Horschel & Burns wagon at the Zurich Classic. Backing this duo has made for a good sweat so far with finishes of T4 and second in their first two cracks at it. Horschel holds the best course history at this event of any other player this field with a win alongside Scott Piercy in 2018 and a solo victory in 2013 when played as a standard stroke play event.

Sam Burns will have to shoulder the load a bit more than years past with Horschel still searching for form. Burns may be up to the task, however, as he’s impressed lately with a win at Pete Dye’s Austin Country Club along with a T6 at the Valspar Championship and T15 at the RBC Heritage. Their ability to contend will ultimately be dictated by how well Horschel can play, but after beating Jon Rahm heads up at the WGC Match Play a few weeks ago, I’m optimistic the form isn’t too far away.

Sahith Theegala & Justin Suh

My Bet: +3000
Best Available Odds: +2500 (BetRivers, under Enhanced Offerings)

Familiarity goes a long way in Team Stroke Play, which is what ultimately led me to lean on this pairing over newcomers like Mitchell & Im and Kitayama & Montgomery. Theegala and Suh both rose up the collegiate ranks together in California, thus positioning themselves as a poor man’s Morikawa & Homa pairing. Analyzing more recently, however, Theegala has been in far better form than the latter two, with back to back top-10 finishes at The Masters and RBC Heritage. Theegala’s excellent scrambling ability makes him an ideal Alternate Shot partner, as he relishes the opportunity to recover from poor shots. This was put on display last year when he picked up a win alongside Tom Hoge at the QBE Shootout team event.

And while I expect Theegala to do the heavy lifting for his team, Suh has proven to be a consistent force on the PGA TOUR with a current streak of 13 consecutive made cuts and two top-6 finishes over his last five starts. Suh was able to post a T11 finish here in 2021 with Doug Ghim as his partner, so the upgrade to Theegala may be what it takes to get into contention this time around.

Nicolai Hojgaard & Thorbjorn Olesen

My Bet: +4600 
Best Available Odds: +4500 (PointsBet)

I watched Nicolai Hojgaard play for the first time at the Corales Puntacana Championship where he was a 15-foot birdie putt away from forcing a playoff against Matt Wallace. I’m glad he missed for my outright card’s sake that week, and it’s left him in my good graces ever since.

Truthfully, however, Hojgaard is likely to be a top-10 talent in this field. He’s flown under the radar with limited starts on the PGA TOUR, but the 22-year old continues to build an impressive resume with two DP World Tour wins since 2021 and five top-13 finishes over his last eight starts. He’ll play alongside a fellow Danish DP World Tour member in Olesen, who’s managed two DP World Tour wins of his own over his last 25 starts. Together, these two are in excellent form to play complimentary golf and have a very legitimate case to contend.

David Lipsky & Aaron Rai

My Bet: +7000
Best Available Odds: +7000 (FanDuel)

My Spotlight duo of the week, Lipsky & Rai impressed in their Zurich Classic debut together last year with a T4 finish. Both players have shown the ability to flash for low rounds, which is always an encouraging sign in the Foursomes format, especially considering Aaron Rai is a week removed from setting the first round lead at the RBC Heritage. The proven past results, team chemistry, and profile fit for a birdie-makers course all present great upside for these odds.

Scott Piercy & Ryan Palmer

My Bet: +13000
Best Available Odds: +11000 (FanDuel)

There have only been five iterations of the Zurich Classic Team Stroke Play format, and Scott Piercy or Ryan Palmer have won two of them. Granted, their partners in those years were superior to their current ones, but there’s something to be said about a pair of players who understand what it takes to win a Team Stroke play event. It’s a longshot, but I like the odds for these two players in decent form who know their way around TPC Louisiana.

Akshay Bhatia & Harry Hall

My Bet: +13000
Best Available Odds: +9000 (PointsBet)

A pure model bet on the duo who rank top-5 in combined SG: TOT and Birdies or Better Gained over the last 36 rounds, Bhatia & Hall carry some sneaky fire power into this event. Both players finished top-10 at the Puerto Rico Open last months (perhaps where this partnership was first brokered), and both present complimentary skills to pick each other up in the Fourball and Foursomes formats.


Nick Taylor & Adam Hadwin

My Bet: +3500
Best Available Odds: +3500 (DraftKings)

I never dip this short in the FRL market, but value is hard to come by in a field of just 80 teams, so I’ll side with my favorite DFS value team to go lowest on Thursday. The Canadian duo have each shown a propensity to get off to a hot start, and are one of the most well-rounded teams in the field this week.

David Lipsky & Aaron Rai

My Bet: +4500
Best Available Odds: +4500 (DraftKings)

This is Aaron Rai’s first official week as a mainstay on the FRL card, and he’ll enjoy the company of his partner David Lipsky. The duo should have had the first round lead in 2022 after posting an opening round 61, only to have it taken away with an eagle from one of the final groups. In any case, I always expect these two to jump out to a hot start, especially now after a year of experience as teammates under their belts.

Carson Young & Kyle Westmoreland

My Bet: +10000
Best Available Odds: +10000 (BetRivers)

Carson Young, AKA Not Cameron Young, is a bona fide birdie maker, as displayed with finishes of T3 at the Puerto Rico Open and T19 at the RBC Heritage. His partner Kyle Westmoreland is one of the more volatile players in this field, who tends to negate all of his birdies with as many bogeys. Westmoreland’s blow up holes won’t hurt as much in this format, and if they can ham & egg properly, they have the tools to post a low number on Thursday.


Top-10 Finish: Max Homa & Collin Morikawa

My Bet: +100
Best Available Odds: -120 (FanDuel)

This may be a Ryder Cup pairing audition for the California boys, especially with captain Zach Johnson onsite, so I expect these two to come motivated to put on a good showing together. There is a clear talent gap after this group and Schauffele/Cantlay, and in a field where less than 40 players will advance to the weekend, anything worse than top-10 would be a disappointment for these two.

Top-10 Finish: Sahith Theegala & Justin Suh

My Bet: +220
Best Available Odds: +210 (FanDuel)

Another California duo with some promise, I believe Theegala & Suh have the best upside of any group outside of the top-5 favorites. Theegala’s elite scrambling gives this team a high floor in alternate shot, and this duo’s combined ball-striking prowess positions them well to post a pair of low rounds in Fourball.

Top-20 Finish: Charley Hoffman & Nick Watney

My Bet: +490
Best Available Odds: +490 (FanDuel)

There’s not a ton of value in the top-20 market in a field of just 80 groups, but I like what I see here with Hoffman and Watney on the merit of Event History alone. The two have played together in all five years of this Team Stroke Play event, making the cut four times with three top-11 finishes. They’ve both shown just enough signs of life this season to warrant taking a chance at these long top-20 odds.


That’ll do it for this week’s Zurich Classic bets. Best of luck this week with your own Zurich Classic bets, and see you next week for the Mexico Open! For more, follow TheLines on Twitter.


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John Haslbauer Avatar
Written by
John Haslbauer

John Haslbauer writes about golf betting and advanced golf metrics for TheLines.com. He is a passionate golf fan, golf writer, and (casual) golfer. A graduate at Syracuse University, John works out of Jersey City as a Director of Media Strategy for HBO and HBO Max. He created the website thepgatout.com at the start of 2021 and is active on Twitter (@PGATout). No, he is not a tout. The Twitter handle is a joke. Touts are lame. We hate touts.

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