Yankees Vs Royals: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – July 30, 2022

Written By Staff on July 30, 2022

The New York Yankees (68-33) play the Kansas City Royals (39-61) after Aaron Judge homered twice in an 11-5 win over the Royals. It starts at 2:05 PM ET on Saturday. New York’s (-312 to win) Nestor Cortes gets the start against Kansas City’s (+253) Jonathan Heasley.

The insights in the article below reference odds valid as of July 30, 2022 at 1:30 PM ET.

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Yankees vs Royals Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Cortes (NYY) Pitcher Heasley (KC)
8 – 3 W/L 1 – 5
101.2 IP 52.1
2.48 ERA 5.50
1.003 WHIP 1.510
9.4 K/9 6.9
1.9 BB/9 4.5

Yankees Probable Starter Nestor Cortes

  • Nestor Cortes Jr. (8-3 with a 2.48 ERA and 106 strikeouts in 101 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Yankees, his 19th of the season.
  • In his last appearance on Sunday, the lefty threw 6 2/3 scoreless innings against the Baltimore Orioles while surrendering six hits.
  • The 27-year-old has put up an ERA of 2.48, with 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings, in 18 games this season. Opponents have a .211 batting average against him.
  • Cortes is looking to register his third straight quality start in this outing.
  • The opposing Royals offense has the 24th-ranked slugging percentage (.378) and ranks 27th in MLB play with 80 home runs. It has a collective .246 batting average, and is 13th in MLB with 830 total hits and 27th in MLB play scoring 384 runs.
  • The 27-year-old ranks eighth in ERA (2.48), 14th in WHIP (1.003), and 12th in K/9 (9.4) among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 30, 2022 at 1:30 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Royals Stats vs Cortes

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Whit Merrifield 9 .333 3 0 0 .333 .889
Nicky Lopez 7 .000 0 0 0 .125 .125
Salvador Perez 7 .429 3 2 4 .429 1.858
Hunter Dozier 6 .333 2 0 0 .429 .762
Michael A. Taylor 5 .400 2 0 1 .400 .800
Ryan O’Hearn 3 .333 1 0 0 .333 .666
Bobby Witt Jr. 2 .500 1 0 0 .500 1.500

Royals Probable Starter Jonathan Heasley

  • The Royals will hand the ball to Jon Heasley (1-5) for his 12th start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, July 9 against the Cleveland Guardians, throwing 1 1/3 innings and giving up five earned runs.
  • The 25-year-old has an ERA of 5.50 and 6.9 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .256 in 11 games this season.
  • He has started 11 games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in four of them.
  • The Yankees rank first in MLB with 537 runs scored this season. They have a .245 batting average this campaign with 172 home runs (first in the league).

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 30, 2022 at 1:30 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Yankees Stats vs Heasley

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Josh Donaldson 2 .500 1 0 1 .667 1.667

Yankees Betting Trends

  • The Yankees have won 64 of the 93 games they were the moneyline favorite this season (68.8%).
  • When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -312 or shorter, New York has a 5-1 record (winning 83.3% of its games).
  • Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Yankees’ implied win probability is 75.7%.
  • New York has combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 50 times this season for a 50-48-3 record against the over/under.
  • The Yankees have collected a 49-52-0 record against the spread this season (covering 48.5% of the time).
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Royals Betting Trends

  • This season, the Royals have won 28 out of the 78 games, or 35.9%, in which they’ve been the underdog.
  • Kansas City has entered six games this season as the underdog by +253 or more and is 1-5 in those contests.
  • The Royals have a 28.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Kansas City and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 47 of their 100 opportunities.
  • The Royals are 46-54-0 ATS in their 100 games with a spread this season.

Yankees Players to Watch

  • Judge is leading the Yankees with 111 hits, while batting .297 with 16 doubles, 41 home runs and 49 walks.
  • Among qualified hitters in MLB play, Judge’s batting average ranks 23rd, his on-base percentage ranks 15th, and he is second in the league in slugging.
  • Judge has hit safely in two straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .381 with five home runs, three walks and 10 RBI.
  • Anthony Rizzo is batting .222 with 16 doubles, a triple, 24 home runs and 45 walks.
  • Rizzo’s batting average ranks 136th among qualified players, his on-base percentage ranks 53rd, and he is 23rd in the league in slugging.
  • DJ LeMahieu has racked up an on-base percentage of .386, a team-best for the Yankees. He is hitting .278 with 15 doubles, nine home runs and 55 walks.
  • Andrew Benintendi has 14 doubles, two triples, three home runs and 40 walks while hitting .316. He leads his team with a .393 slugging percentage.

Yankees Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Aaron Judge 374 .297 84 41 89 .378 1.046
Andrew Benintendi 354 .316 41 3 40 .384 .777
DJ LeMahieu 334 .278 63 9 38 .386 .790
Anthony Rizzo 333 .222 60 24 59 .343 .835
Gleyber Torres 320 .266 47 16 45 .323 .804
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 309 .275 44 0 31 .317 .644
Josh Donaldson 287 .223 33 9 35 .304 .687
Aaron Hicks 261 .238 38 6 31 .361 .702
Joey Gallo 233 .159 32 12 24 .282 .621
Jose Trevino 191 .257 24 7 30 .299 .713

Royals Players to Watch

  • Bobby Witt Jr. has 90 hits to go with a slugging percentage of .456, both of which lead Kansas City hitters this season.
  • Among all qualifying hitters, Witt is 72nd in batting average, his on-base percentage ranks 126th, and he is 54th in slugging percentage.
  • Whit Merrifield has collected 89 hits this season to earn an on-base percentage of .290.
  • Merrifield is currently 113th in batting average, 137th in on-base percentage and 140th in slugging percentage among all qualified players.
  • Hunter Dozier leads Kansas City with an OBP of .323 this season while batting .261 with 26 walks and 36 runs scored.
  • MJ Melendez has 10 home runs, 28 RBI and a batting average of .233 this season.

Royals Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Whit Merrifield 371 .240 49 5 40 .290 .635
Bobby Witt Jr. 353 .255 51 14 51 .298 .754
Hunter Dozier 307 .261 36 9 33 .323 .756
Nicky Lopez 299 .244 34 0 13 .297 .591
MJ Melendez 245 .233 26 10 28 .314 .738
Michael A. Taylor 233 .275 29 6 28 .345 .740
Salvador Pérez 227 .211 26 12 37 .254 .690
Kyle Isbel 152 .211 13 2 13 .247 .556
Vinnie Pasquantino 98 .214 8 3 5 .312 .639
Ryan O’Hearn 84 .202 6 1 10 .269 .543

Yankees vs Royals Player Props

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