Yankees Vs Reds: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – July 14, 2022

Written By Staff on July 14, 2022

The New York Yankees (62-26) and Cincinnati Reds (33-55) square off at Yankee Stadium on Thursday at 7:05 PM ET to break a 1-1 series tie. New York (-191 to win) has Nestor Cortes starting things off, and Cincinnati (+160) counters Luis Castillo.

The betting insights in the following article reflect odds as of July 14, 2022 at 5:27 PM ET.

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Yankees vs Reds Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Cortes (NYY) Pitcher Castillo (CIN)
7 – 3 W/L 3 – 4
88.2 IP 71.0
2.74 ERA 2.92
1.026 WHIP 1.099
9.6 K/9 9.4
2.1 BB/9 2.9

Yankees Probable Starter Nestor Cortes

  • The Yankees will send Nestor Cortes Jr. (7-3) to the mound for his 17th start of the season. He is 7-3 with a 2.74 ERA and 95 strikeouts in 88 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent appearance on Friday against the Boston Red Sox, the left-hander went 3 2/3 innings, allowing four earned runs while surrendering eight hits.
  • The 27-year-old has put together a 2.74 ERA and 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings in 16 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .211 to opposing hitters.
  • Cortes enters the matchup with six quality starts under his belt this year.
  • The opposing Reds offense has the 21st-ranked slugging percentage (.380) and ranks 21st in MLB play with 83 home runs. It has a collective .240 batting average, and is 18th in MLB with 699 total hits and 17th in MLB play scoring 377 runs.
  • Among pitchers who qualify in MLB play this season, the 27-year-old ranks 14th in ERA (2.74), 14th in WHIP (1.026), and 15th in K/9 (9.6).

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 14, 2022 at 5:27 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Reds Stats vs Cortes

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Tommy Pham 4 .000 0 0 0 .429 .429
Brandon Drury 4 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Reds Probable Starter Luis Castillo

  • Castillo (3-4) will take to the mound for the Reds and make his 13th start of the season.
  • The right-hander gave up one earned run in 7 2/3 innings pitched on Friday in his last outing, a matchup with the Tampa Bay Rays.
  • The 29-year-old has an ERA of 2.92, a 3.217 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.099 in 12 games this season.
  • He’s looking to extend his three-game quality start streak.
  • The Yankees rank first in MLB with 460 runs scored this season. They have a .244 batting average this campaign with 147 home runs (first in the league).

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 14, 2022 at 5:27 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Yankees Stats vs Castillo

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Matt Carpenter 26 .231 6 2 3 .375 .875
Anthony Rizzo 26 .192 5 0 0 .323 .592
Josh Donaldson 3 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
DJ LeMahieu 3 .667 2 0 0 .667 1.334
Aaron Judge 2 .500 1 0 0 .667 1.167
Marwin Gonzalez 2 .500 1 0 0 .500 1.500

Yankees Betting Trends

  • The Yankees have put together a 58-25 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 69.9% of those games).
  • New York has a 30-8 record (winning 78.9% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline favorite of -191 or shorter.
  • Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Yankees have an implied win probability of 65.6%.
  • In the 88 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for New York, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 41 times (41-44-3).
  • The Yankees have a 43-45-0 record ATS this season (covering 48.9% of the time).
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Reds Betting Trends

  • The Reds have been underdogs in 69 games this season and won 26 (37.7%) of those contests.
  • Cincinnati has a record of 6-17 in games where bookmakers have them as underogs of at least +160 on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Reds have a 38.5% chance to win.
  • Cincinnati and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 47 of their 88 opportunities.
  • The Reds are 41-47-0 against the spread this season.

Yankees Players to Watch

  • Aaron Judge has accumulated a team-high slugging percentage (.601) and leads the Yankees in hits (90). He’s batting .279 with 14 doubles, 30 home runs and 42 walks.
  • Among the qualifying batters in MLB play, Judge’s batting average ranks 40th, his on-base percentage ranks 34th, and he is second in the league in slugging.
  • Anthony Rizzo is batting .221 with 13 doubles, a triple, 22 home runs and 39 walks.
  • Among qualifying hitters, Rizzo’s batting average ranks 133rd, his on-base percentage ranks 70th, and he is 21st in the league in slugging.
  • DJ LeMahieu has accumulated an on-base percentage of .371, a team-best for the Yankees. He is batting .270 with 13 doubles, eight home runs and 44 walks.
  • Gleyber Torres is hitting .275 with 18 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 22 walks.
  • Torres brings a seven-game hitting streak into this game. During his last 10 games he is batting .429 with five doubles, six walks and six RBI.

Yankees Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Aaron Judge 323 .279 67 30 65 .358 .959
Anthony Rizzo 290 .221 50 22 57 .333 .833
DJ LeMahieu 289 .270 51 8 34 .371 .769
Gleyber Torres 273 .275 41 13 38 .331 .822
Giancarlo Stanton 266 .237 35 23 57 .318 .833
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 266 .271 41 0 24 .318 .641
Josh Donaldson 253 .225 29 9 34 .310 .705
Aaron Hicks 224 .237 34 6 26 .356 .713
Joey Gallo 211 .166 29 10 21 .287 .623
Jose Trevino 161 .255 23 7 27 .301 .730

Reds Players to Watch

  • Brandon Drury leads Cincinnati in slugging percentage (.535) and total hits (83) this season.
  • Among all the qualifying batters in MLB, Drury’s batting average is 40th, his on-base percentage ranks 63rd, and he is 11th in slugging percentatge.
  • Tommy Pham is batting .245 with a .398 slugging percentage and 36 RBI this year.
  • Pham is currently 90th in batting average, 70th in on-base percentage and 101st in slugging percentage among all qualifying players.
  • Kyle Farmer leads Cincinnati in OBP (.339) this season, fueled by 70 hits.
  • Tyler Stephenson has six home runs, 34 RBI and a batting average of .321 this season.

Reds Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Brandon Drury 297 .279 54 18 50 .338 .873
Tommy Pham 294 .245 51 11 36 .333 .731
Kyle Farmer 262 .267 31 6 42 .339 .740
Joey Votto 223 .211 23 6 27 .328 .700
Nick Senzel 206 .257 27 3 18 .312 .642
Mike Moustakas 205 .210 24 5 20 .298 .635
Tyler Naquin 164 .244 25 6 26 .307 .746
Matt Reynolds 158 .253 25 3 15 .331 .698
Tyler Stephenson 156 .321 23 6 34 .376 .863
Jonathan India 144 .222 13 3 14 .277 .603

Yankees vs Reds Player Props

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