Wyndham Championship Odds: Final Round PGA TOUR Golf Bets
The Wyndham Championship is the final event of the PGA TOUR’s regular season that runs from September of the previous year until early August. Players tee it up in Greensboro, North Carolina looking to either bolster their standing in the FedExCup for a deeper run into the Playoffs or try to get into the top 70 to have a chance at playing in Memphis for the St. Jude Invitational next week. This is the first year the Playoffs only featured the top 70 for the first event, as it’s generally been the top 125 for the first Playoff event. Sedgefield Country Club is an old school Donald Ross design that puts a premium on accuracy. This has tended to lead to a Wyndham Championship odds board that opens itself up to different style of play instead of the bomb and gauge we often see on the PGA TOUR.
Tournament Recap Through First Three Rounds
With a fairly weak field due to most top players resting up for the FedExCup Playoffs, the Wyndham Championship odds board was about as balanced at the top as we’ve seen all year on the PGA TOUR. A handful of players started the week around 20/1, giving bettors some value that hasn’t been around most weeks. One of those players that was at the top was Russell Henley, and he quickly proved why with an opening-round 62 that put him on top of the leaderboard after Thursday. Henley has been a force at Sedgefield Country Club for multiple years now, as he’s been in the mix for three consecutive years and looked to be the winner in 2021. But he gave up the lead on the back nine that year and then even missed the huge playoff with a bogey on the 72nd hole.
Henley remains consistent on a course that suits him
Since that heartbreak, Henley has gotten back in the winner’s circle with his win at the Mayakoba at the end of 2022. As a shorter player with tons of accuracy and great iron play, it’s no surprise that Henley finds himself in the mix on courses like Sedgefield Country Club. He was outpaced early on Thursday by Stephan Jaeger, another player who prefers this type of test and has been trending of late. Jaeger was 6 under on his first eight holes before falling back a bit.
Friday once again saw Henley set the pace, as his 66 was enough to extend the lead to 12 under, one shot ahead of Billy Horschel. Other short course specialists like Adam Svensson, Brendon Todd and J.T. Poston also found themselves right in the thick of things.
Henley finally found a bit of turbulence late on Saturday. After a solid front nine that saw him leading by a couple shots throughout, he made a bogey on 12 and saw a couple players get past him for the first time this week. Horschel, another lover of Sedgefield, and Lucas Glover eventually edged in front of Henley at 18 under by one shot to form a final-round pairing with plenty of experience.
Horschel has been terrible this year, making this run a bit surprising. He needs a runner-up to make the Playoffs. Glover has also been inconsistent since his John Deere win a couple years ago, but his form of late has shown plenty of signs. As one of the better ball strikers on TOUR this year, he’ll mainly need the putter to hold up under pressure on Sunday.
Final Round PGA TOUR Golf Bets To Consider
Winner: Russell Henley
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I’m sticking with Russell Henley to finish the job on Sunday at Sedgefield Country Club. Henley’s win at Mayakoba late in 2022 was huge for his mental, as he was badly struggling to get across the finish line again for his fourth PGA TOUR victory. Since his resurgence a couple years ago, Henley has been one of the premiere iron players in the world, and it really just felt like he needed to get that trophy again to breakout. Some of his collapses before that had been truly hard to watch, and one of them came here at the Wyndham in 2021.
The UGA product has been solid in an unspectacular year
While Henley’s win last year hasn’t led to a breakout of more wins yet, he’s still had a nice year … led by a T4 at the Masters and a T14 at the U.S. Open. The consistency hasn’t quite been there with the irons at times, but he’s still been a fantastic ball striker who tends to pop on courses like Sedgefield that put a premium on accuracy. He’s also always going to be at his best on smooth Bermuda greens.
While he’s in third place at one shot back of Glover and Horschel, Henley is still nearly equal in most markets. That’s because he’s easily been the best player of these three, and he’s the most dependable. Horschel has struggled with his ball striking this year, and we saw some of that on Saturday. His hot putter is the only thing holding him together so far. Glover on the other hand is quite the ball striker, but his putter can become disastrous under pressure. Henley is the man I’d prefer to back on Sunday.
He’s been solid throughout the bag this week, ranking 28th off the tee, 13th in approach, 21st around the green and 2nd in putting.
Winner: Stephan Jaeger
Best Odds Still Available:
I don’t think it’s a bad idea to throw a flyer in from one of the guys starting the round multiple shots back. While it may look like a three-man race at the top, we’ve seen recently at the John Deere that it’s very possible to go post a low number on these easier courses and see if the leaders can deal with the pressure. Jaeger currently sits in solo fifth and five shots back of the lead. It’s a considerable margin, but it’s also plenty doable to go post something like a 62 and hope the final two pairings never get it going late on a Sunday afternoon.
Jaeger already showed on Thursday that he can get scorching hot out here. He made six birdies on his first eight holes to fly to the top of the leaderboard in the morning. A pair of double bogeys derailed that round, but it’s more about showing the potential to do so. Jaeger is third in putting this week, but he’s yet to really get the irons going. As a streaky player, it’s fair to say he could find something with the wedges early and put some pressure on the leaders.
Top-10 Finish: Eric Cole
Best Odds Still Available:
With the top five showing some separation from the field and an incredibly packed leaderboard below them, it’s tough to find much of a market for placements on Sunday. I’ll choose something safe and go with the consistent and dependable rookie in Eric Cole. Cole was another guy I like pre-tournament, and he’s rebounded nicely from a disappointing 69 on Sunday to sit in a tie for seventh. We still find plus odds for him to maintain his position on Sunday and set himself up for a run to the TOUR Championship.
The rookie is 40th in the FedExCup right now, which is remarkable for a 35-year-old player who played on mini tours for most of his career. Cole loves this type of course, as he’s a shorter hitter who is best when needing to rely on his irons and putter. That’s exactly what he’s doing through three rounds, ranking 14th in approach and 8th in putting. As long as he can keep the driver in play, Cole has shown us repeatedly all year that he’s reliable to find the center of greens and let the putter do the talking.
Wyndham Championship Odds
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