2023 Wyndham Championship Bets: Final Thoughts, Golf Betting Card, One And Done

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Written By John Haslbauer | Last Updated
wyndham championship bets

The final leg of the PGA TOUR regular season brings us to Greensboro, North Carolina for the 2023 Wyndham Championship at Sedgefield Country Club. The event may not have the greatest reputation, given how the top players have typically used this week as a bye to prep for the FedEx Cup Playoffs. But, with playoff qualification criteria adjusting for the first time from the top-125 players in the FedEx Cup Standings to the top 70, there’s far more depth in this field than we’ve come accustomed to seeing. Sam Burns, Hideki Matsuyama, and Sungjae Im headline as the favorites across golf odds and potential Wyndham Championship bets.

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HOW I BUILT MY WYNDHAM CHAMPIONSHIP BETTING CARD

You can place Wyndham Championship bets with conviction, as the formula for success has proven to be a straightforward and repeatable one. We have routinely seen the most accurate drivers who excel with short irons and profile as top-tier putters go on to win this event. In the case of this week, that winner is going to be Adam Hadwin, and there is still time to bet him on the best sports betting sites.

A Good Week To Go Down The Board

We haven’t seen too many surprises at the Wyndham Championship, in the sense that accurate plodders with spike putting upside and a proven track record of performance on nuanced greens have risen to the top. These are qualities you don’t necessarily need to pay up for at the top of the board, so I’ve instead opted to spread my unit exposure across a group of eight players who can win a tournament on the merit of the irons and putting.

In terms of unit allocations for my card this week, it’s back to business as usual for my weekly PGA TOUR exposure:

  • Outrights – 3U in to pay 24U each
  • FRL – 0.6U in to pay out 10U+ each
  • Props – 2.9U in to pay out 3U+ each

Click on any of the 2023 Wyndham Championship odds below for the best available prices across sportsbooks in your state.

WYNDHAM CHAMPIONSHIP BETS: OUTRIGHTS (3 UNITS)

Denny McCarthy

My Bet: +3500
Best Available Odds:

I had full conviction in Denny McCarthy to win the 2022 Wyndham Championship. Perhaps those lofty expectations got to his head too, as he disappointingly missed the cut for the first time in his career. Since then, he’s put together the best season of his career, racking up ten top-20 finishes in 2023. Once merely a putting specialist, McCarthy has recently rounded out his all around form, gaining strokes ball-striking in four of his last five starts. Known as one of the best putters on TOUR, he sets up well to improve on a career best T9 finish at this event back in 2020.

JT Poston

My Bet: +4000
Best Available Odds:

With three top-6 finishes over his last four starts, you could argue that Poston is playing above his head and due to come down to earth with some regression. But, I don’t think the odds necessarily reflect that at 40-1, so this is a value bet for me on the 2019 Wyndham Champion. Poston fits the mold of what this course demands, as an accurate ball striker and top-tier putter with proven results across other short and positional tracks. A Carolina native, he should feel right at home as he looks to ride the hot form for his second Wyndham Championship title.

Adam Hadwin

My Bet: +6000
Best Available Odds:

Forget everything I write about everyone else in this section of the article, because Adam Hadwin is the one among this week’s Wyndham Championship bets who will inevitably come out on top this week. I would back Hadwin at half this number, but it’s nice to see his price get a bump after a fine showing at last week’s 3M Open which was otherwise derailed by a couple errant water balls.

An easy scoring set up that removes distance advantage from bombers and instead emphasizes spike approach and putting performances is the quintessential set up for Hadwin’s game. He’s demonstrated that fit at the Wyndham Championship before, finishing T10 here in his latest appearance in 2021. Safely in the field for the FedEx St. Jude Championship next week, he should feel loose with nothing to lose this week. I will do my part to manifest his second career PGA TOUR victory on Sunday.

Eric Cole

My Bet: +7000
Best Available Odds:

With five top-15s and only five missed cuts in his loaded schedule this year, Eric Cole has seemingly locked up 2023 Rookie of the Year honors, and continues to circle around picking up his first career PGA TOUR win. While the ideal player for Sedgefield should be a bit more dependable off the tee, his prowess on approach and putting more than makes up for it at this price. He is the only player in the field this week to rank top-20 in both Proximity 100-175 yards and Weighted Putting (SG: P L36, SG: P – Bermuda, 3-Putt Avoidance). Tom Kim was able to conquer this event in his debut as a rookie, and Cole fits a similar profile in trending form.

Alex Smalley

My Bet: +7000
Best Available Odds:

A narrative play on the Sedgefield Country Club member and Duke University graduate, we should expect Smalley to feel a little more comfortable this week than he looked down the stretch of his T2 finish at the John Deere Classic. He’s now gained strokes on approach in 13 consecutive events, good enough for No. 2 in the field in terms of SG: Approach. He’s also made strides to turnaround a cold putter from earlier in the season, as he’s gained on the greens in three of his last five starts. He’s put his course familiarity on display with finishes of T29 and T13 in his first two Wyndham Championship appearances, gaining on the greens both years.

Mark Hubbard

My Bet: +8000
Best Available Odds:

One step ahead of Alex Smalley on the SG: Approach leaderboard is Mark Hubbard, who paces the field with his irons over the last 36 rounds. If there was ever a course to lock in on the best iron players, it’s this one, as players can hit to their numbers off-the-tee and take aim at these pins regularly. Hubbard fits the profile for Sedgefield CC, as he’s combined to gain over 7 strokes on approach and putting four times over his last 10 starts. With four top-11 finishes over that stretch each coming on positional courses, we should expect another solid performance from Hubbard this week.

Christiaan Bezuidenhout

My Bet: +12000
Best Available Odds:

The results have not looked pretty for Bezuidenhout over his last six starts with no finishes better than T49, but you can’t expect perfect form this far down the odds board. In his defense, he’s been a standout on the courses that compare closest to Sedgefield CC, with all four of his top-21 finishes this year coming on positional, sub-7,200-yard courses. Even throughout his recent slump, Bezuidenhout still ranks top-10 in Proximity: 100-175 and SG: Putting, suggesting he may be due for a breakout in Greensboro.

Chez Reavie

My Bet: +12500
Best Available Odds:

Surprisingly, the player with the longest odds on my betting card was the highest rated in my stat model at No. 5 overall. Betting on Chez Reavie in the placement market has been one of my most profitable strategies this season, as he continues to be undervalued in this positional course fits which cater so well to his strengths. A two-time top-11 finishes at the Wyndham Championship, Reavie’s game of pounding fairways and greens should continue to translate well, especially with his newfound form on the greens. After knocking on the door with a T4 at The Travelers, it would not surprise me to see Reavie contend on yet another short and positional course this week.

WYNDHAM CHAMPIONSHIP FIRST-ROUND LEADER BETS (0.5 UNITS)

Sam Burns

My Bet: +4000
Best Available Odds:

I don’t often bet a player this short in the FRL market, but the case for Burns to go low at Sedgefield Country Club writes itself. He’s one of the most dangerous Bermuda putters in the world, is the top-ranked player in the field in terms of OWGR, and fired two rounds of 65 in his 2020 debut at this event. I love Burns’ fit this week and still see value in FRL number here at 40-1 odds.

Aaron Rai

My Bet: +5500
Best Available Odds:

A positional course that rewards driving accuracy and an emphasis on approach to generate scoring opportunities on par-4s in the perfect set up for first round assassin, Aaron Rai. Ranking top-5 in both SG: APP & Fairways Gained, and top-20 in Birdies or Better Gained, this is yet another layout that will reward the strengths of Rai’s game.

Eric Cole

My Bet: +7000
Best Available Odds:

Cole is always a threat to go low with his elite combination of iron play and putting. Though making his debut at the Wyndham Championship, an opening round 64 at the 2023 Travelers Championship is enough recent evidence to show that Cole is capable of going low at a short course in easy scoring conditions.

Justin Suh

My Bet: +8000
Best Available Odds:

If it’s true that Sedgefield Country Club reward scoring opportunities amongst the most skilled putters, then this seems like good week to back Justin Suh, who’s gained strokes putting in all but one event since January. He nearly set the pace on Thursday last week with an opening round 65 at the 3M Open, so we know he’s capable of getting off to a hot start in his current form.

Justin Lower

My Bet: +13000
Best Available Odds

A bit of a volatile player, Lower has shown consistency with his short irons, ranking No. 7 in the field in Proximity: 100-175 yards. He also ranks top-10 in SG: Putting over the last 36 rounds, a lethal combination to attack Sedgefield CC. He’s still a bit too volatile for me to back full tournament, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see him catch fire and pace the field on Thursday.

WYNDHAM CHAMPIONSHIP PROPS (3 UNITS)

Top-20 Finish: Russell Henley

My Bet: +130
Best Available Odds:

The No. 1 player in my model, and a player I have backed outright in each of his last three top-10 finishes at this event, I consider this to be an insurance bet if I have to cope with the heartbreak of missing out on a Henley Wyndham win. The statistical fit is an obvious one for Henley at Sedgefield, and while I have some reservations about the state of his putter at the moment, his ball striking alone can carry him to a top-20 placement.

Top-20 Finish: Adam Hadwin

My Bet: +250
Best Available Odds:

This is not an insurance bet on my Adam Hadwin outright bet, but rather a doubling down to collect more returns on his inevitable victory this week.

Top-20 Finish: Eric Cole

My Bet: +330
Best Available Odds:

Spike approach and putting are what you need to rise up the leaderboard at Sedgefield Country Club, and those are the two pillars of the incumbent Rookie of the Year’s game. He’s been hit or miss with the driver this season, but if we land on a good week off the tee in Greensboro, it’s all right in front of him to place in the top-20 this week.

ONE AND DONE

My Pick: Adam Hadwin

For a moment, I was worried I may not still have Hadwin available to use in OAD, as he’s also been a stalwart on his events like The AmEx, Valspar Championship, and Rocket Mortgage Classic. Alas, he’s still available for me at this juncture of the season, which makes this a very easy decision. Truthfully, I’m on the outside looking in at a placement in my OAD leagues this year, so I need to go contrarian to close out the season anyway. But it’s nice to know before the week begins that I have the eventual winner on both my betting card and OAD pick sheet.

If you for some reason cannot pick Hadwin, I would also consider Denny McCarthy, Sam Burns, or Si Woo Kim as OAD picks.

WYNDHAM CHAMPIONSHIP: THE BETTING CARD

That’ll do it for this week’s Wyndham Championship bets. Best of luck this week with your own Wyndham Championship bets, and see you on Sunday for the FedEx St. Jude Championship! For more, follow TheLines on Twitter.

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