2022 Wyndham Championship Betting Card, Final Thoughts

Written By John Haslbauer on August 3, 2022
wyndham championship bets

Denny McCarthy Week is just about to tee off, as we are mere hours away from the final PGA TOUR event of the 2022 regular season, the Wyndham Championship at Sedgefield Country Club. Few other events have produced a more linear trend of winning player profiles. So it’s a week to assemble Wyndham Championship bets with conviction, targeting putting specialists who are accurate off the tee and excel with their wedges to produce ample birdie opportunities.

With some rain in the forecast throughout this week, we should expect softer, more receptive conditions, which will continue to put further emphasis on approach play and reward players for flag hunting. I’m expecting continued low scoring ahead, and will go with a winning score prediction of -20 for Denny McCarthy. Below we’ll go through my final betting card for the 2022 Wyndham Championship. Click the odds anywhere in this article to bet the best available prices in your state now. 

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HOW I BUILT MY GOLF BETTING CARD

Similar to the Detroit Golf Club last week, I’m honing in on above-average putters to fill out my card at the Wyndham Championship, as these Donald Ross greens have typically favored the most skilled putters in the field, and exposed the weaker ones. There are many players who fit the archetype of accurate off the tee, strong on approach, and great in long-term putting, so I’ve built out a slightly longer card than usual, despite the inevitability of Denny McCarthy winning.

From a unit allocation standpoint, it’s back to business as usual as we close out the 2022 regular  season.

  • Outrights – 3U in to pay 24U each
  • First-round leader 0.5U in to pay out 10U+
  • Props – 3U in to pay out 3U+ each

Click on any of the odds below to bet now at the best available price across legal sportsbooks in your state.

WYNDHAM CHAMPIONSHIP BETS: OUTRIGHTS (3 UNITS)

Russell Henley

My Bet: +3000

Best Odds Still Available:

Starting Wyndham Championship bets with Russell Henley is usually a death sentence, but it’s much easier to stomach when the actual eventual winner (Denny McCarthy) is on your card. On paper, Henley checks every box to have success on a course like Sedgefield CC. He’s No. 1 in Comp Course History and No. 2 in SG: APP and SG: Ball Striking (<7,200 Yard Courses). Bermuda is far and away his best putting surface, so after an encouraging T2G showing at last week’s Rocket Mortgage Classic, he’s positioned well for a crack at redemption after giving away the 2021 Wyndham Championship.

Denny McCarthy

My Bet: +4000

Best Odds Still Available:

Denny McCarthy will win the 2022 Wyndham Championship and I will do my part to manifest that into reality over the next four days. Like Kevin Kisner last year, McCarthy draws parallels by entering off of a down week with a MC in his prior start. They also share the same profile as players with top-10 course history at Sedgefield CC, elite putters (particularly on Bermuda), and shorter hitters who typically do not gain off the tee unless on positional courses under 7,200 yards. Despite the MC at the Rocket Mortgage Classic, McCarthy is having a career season, which includes three top-10 finishes over his last five starts. With two extra days of prep for this event, it’s all systems go for McCarthy to claim his first PGA TOUR victory this week.

JT Poston

My Bet: +4500

Best Odds Still Available:

We are living in a world where Xander Schauffele and Tony Finau are now prolific, two-time 2022 winners, so why can’t JT Poston join their company as well? He’s a past winner of this event in 2019 and suits the course perfectly well with his profile of scoring on shorter par 4s (No. 2), Birdie-or-better percentage (No. 4), and putting (No. 8). He channeled a similar formula for his dominant wire to wire performance at the John Deere Classic, and may have picked up some confidence since then, finishing T11 in his last start at the 3M Open.

Justin Rose

My Bet: +5500

Best Odds Still Available:

I rarely ever bet Justin Rose and in fact, I’m fairly certain this is the first time all 2022 season he’s made his way onto my outright betting card. In the case of the 2022 Wyndham Championship though, there’s plenty to like. He finished top 10 here last year, gaining across the four SG categories, and rates out top 10 across the key stats of Comp Course History, Par-4: 400-450, Birdies or Better Gained, SG: P, and Prox 100-175. That profile for a wedge-heavy putting contest makes for an overall rank of No. 5 in my model.

Adam Svensson

My Bet: +8000

Best Odds Still Available:

Finishing even higher than Justin Rose in my model this week was Adam Svensson, slotting in at No. 2 overall. In my head, Svensson had a reputation as a great ball striker but helpless putter, after watching him bleed strokes on the greens at the Honda Classic. But in reality, he’s actually been in a top tier of putting of late, ranking No. 24 over the last 36 rounds. He has feasted on shorter courses this season, capitalizing on his strong wedge play, and if his putts continue to find the cup, he’s positioned well to improve on his last T31 finish here in 2019.

Alex Smalley

My Bet: +9500

Best Odds Still Available:

The Duke graduate and Sedgefield Country Club member will feel at home in Carolina this week. That’s an encouraging sign to get him back on greens he’s familiar with, as the flat stick has been the only thing keeping him out of contention lately. Smalley enters in good form with T16 and T10 finishes in two of his last three starts at the John Deere Classic and Genesis Scottish Open.

Andrew Putnam

My Bet: +17000

Best Odds Still Available:

Andrew Putnam fits the mold of past winners who are shorter, accurate, and elite on the greens, so I love his prospects at this long price. With a pair of missed cuts at this event, his odds have drfited, but I’m still encouraged by his elite ranks in Par-4: 400-450 and Fairways Gained. He’s shown an ability to get hot with the putter recently, gained 4+ strokes putting at the Charles Schwab Challenge and 3M Open. On the heels of four straight made cuts, Putnam appears to be rounding into form to close out his 2022 season.

WYNDHAM CHAMPIONSHIP FIRST-ROUND LEADER (0.5 UNITS)

Justin Rose

My Bet: +7000

Best Odds Still Available:

Justin Rose is always a consideration as FRL in Majors, so why not the Wyndham Championship? He gained over 8 strokes putting most recently at the RBC Canadian Open, and with a longstanding reputation as an approach marksman, that positions him well to go low on a point-and-shoot course like Sedgefield CC.

Adam Svensson

My Bet: +7000

Best Odds Still Available:

Adam Svensson’s elite iron play and top-tier driving on shorter comp courses should set him up well to go low at Sedgefield CC. With the putter continuing to show more life as the weeks go on, he’s always going to be a FRL consideration for me to go back to, especially on shorter courses.

Sebastian Munoz

My Bet: +8000

Best Odds Still Available:

My DMs were flooded when bet365 decided to boost Sebastian Munoz’s FRL odds to 80-1, and I’ve happily obliged. He’s a birdie-maker who’s won on Bermuda greens as the Sanderson Farms, so I have no doubts he can go low here. Clearly, we weren’t leaving our FRL hero out of Wyndham Championship bets. 

Andrew Putnam

My Bet: +11000

Best Odds Still Available:

The First Round Leader this week is going to need to catch a hot putter, so this is simply a bet on Putnam’s ability to have a spike putting day like few others in the field have displayed.

Richy Werenski

My Bet: +20000

Best Odds Still Available:

It started as a bit, but now I’m pot committed on Werenski as an FRL bomb. He’s proven to thrive in birdie fests, has always suited this tournament well, and showed some life at the Rocket Mortgage Classic last week with an encouraging T30 finish.

WYNDHAM CHAMPIONSHIP BETS: PROPS (3 UNITS)

Top-20 Finish:

Russell Henley

My Bet: +145

Best Odds Still Available:

Everything on paper would suggest this is a tournament that Russell Henley should win. But if he continues to struggle with closing out tournaments, it will be nice to have a top-20 placement here to fall back on. He made a caddie change as of last week, which is a good omen when returning to the scene of the 2021 crime with a clean slate.

Top-10 Finish: Denny McCarthy

My Bet: +333

Best Odds Still Available:

I bet Kevin Kisner T10 at last year’s Wyndham Championship, so the superstition requires me to double down with a T10 on Denny McCarthy in this spot as well. He will win, so we’ll take the collateral here along with the outright dividends.

Top-20 Finish: Andrew Putnam

My Bet: +475

Best Odds Still Available:

If I’m wrong on Andrew Putnam, it’s going to be a crash and burn sort of week for me at the Wyndham Championship. It’s clear he’s priced this far down the odds board because of his poor course history, but performance on the comp courses would suggest that Putnam is due for some regression, especially considering the made cuts in five of his last six events put him in significantly better trending form than any prior year leading into the Wyndham Championship.

Top-20 Finish: Nick Taylor

My Bet: +650

Best Odds Still Available:

Unlike Andrew Putnam, Nick Taylor is a course history play for me. He’s finished top 10 at the Wyndham Championship in two of the last three years, and from a comp course standpoint, has always done best on shorter layouts that mitigate any disadvantage to driving distance.

ONE AND DONE

My Pick: Denny McCarthy

The season is just about to come to a close and I still have so many options at my disposal at the top of this betting board. But none of that matters, because Denny McCarthy will be winning this week. We will leave no stones unturned to manifest this victory for Denny, and look forward to his coronation on Sunday.

WYNDHAM CHAMPIONSHIP BETS: THE CARD

That’ll do it for my 2022Wyndham Championship bets. Best of luck this week with your own golf betting. See you on Sunday for the 2022 FedEx St. Jude Classic preview.

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John Haslbauer

John Haslbauer writes about golf betting and advanced golf metrics for TheLines.com. He is a passionate golf fan, golf writer, and (casual) golfer. A graduate at Syracuse University, John works out of Jersey City as a Director of Media Strategy for HBO and HBO Max. He created the website thepgatout.com at the start of 2021 and is active on Twitter (@PGATout). No, he is not a tout. The Twitter handle is a joke. Touts are lame. We hate touts.

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