2022 World Series Odds: Three Sleepers Behind Dodgers And Astros

Written By Mo Nuwwarah on November 3, 2021

When Freddie Freeman stepped on first base to end Game 6 of the World Series, the Atlanta Braves celebrated. And as the last of the 2021 MLB tickets were cashed, bettors and bookmakers alike could turn their attention to the 2022 World Series odds.

Several online sportsbooks have already posted odds for next year’s MLB season. The champion Braves find themselves in about the same spot as last year on the board. And, a familiar name sits atop it.

Let’s see what the market prices say about next year.

World Series Odds 2022

Dodgers
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+500
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+550
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+500
Astros
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+700
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+700
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+800
Yankees
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+900
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+1200
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+1000
White Sox
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+1000
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+1000
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+1200
Braves
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+1200
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+1400
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+1000
Blue Jays
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+1300
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+1200
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+1600
Padres
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+1400
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+1400
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+1600
Giants
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+1500
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+1400
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+1600
Rays
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+1600
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+1400
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+1200
Red Sox
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+1600
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+1800
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+1800
Mets
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+1800
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+2000
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+2000
Brewers
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+1800
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+1400
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+1600
Cardinals
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+2500
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+1800
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+3000
Phillies
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+3000
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+2500
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+3500
Mariners
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+4000
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+4000
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+4000
Angels
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+4000
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+4000
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+5000
Reds
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+4000
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+3000
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+4000
Athletics
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+4500
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+5000
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+4000
Tigers
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+4500
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+5000
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+5000
Royals
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+6500
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+7000
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+6600
Guardians
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+6500
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+7000
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+5000
Twins
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+7000
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+7000
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+8000
Nationals
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+8000
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+10000
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+6600
Marlins
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+8000
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+10000
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+8000
Rockies
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+8000
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+7000
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+8000
Cubs
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+10000
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+10000
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+10000
Diamondbacks
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+13000
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+25000
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+15000
Rangers
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+15000
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+50000
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+15000
Pirates
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+20000
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+50000
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+15000
Orioles
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+20000
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+50000
Bet now
+15000

Dodgers Favored Once Again

The LA Dodgers opened as the championship favorites in 2021, and the market favors them once again to lift the trophy in 2022.

After winning the title in the COVID-shortened 2020 season, the Dodgers came into 2021 with legendarily high expectations. They had a head-turning win total of about 103 games, which they wound up surpassing despite not finishing first in their own division.

Despite that, FanGraphs’ BaseRuns metric did have them as the strongest team this year. They finished a full four games clear of the Giants by BaseRuns, which strips out sequencing that teams can’t control to see how well they scored and prevented runs.

The Dodgers do lose some major pieces to free agency. Max Scherzer and Clayton Kershaw are gone from the pitching staff. On the position side, Corey Seager and playoff hero Chris Taylor can walk. Per the FanGraphs Depth Charts projection, they lose two of the top four pitchers and the top position player (Seager) of all free agents.

Given their massive trove of resources, they could bring some or all of them back, but it’s something to keep an eye on. Their odds could shift big time depending on how they approach these roster holes.

Runner-Up Astros Ahead Of Braves In World Series Odds

The two teams that did face off in the World Series, the Astros and Braves, unsurprisingly find themselves back in the hunt. Both teams have strong cores of young players both in the pitching and position sides of things. They’ve been playoff staples in recent years and there’s no reason to expect them to fall off cliffs.

However, both team do have one major free agent. In each case, it’s a homegrown superstar batter: Carlos Correa for the Astros and Freddie Freeman for the Braves.

The Astros’ situation looks sunnier because shortstop is among the strongest position groups in this year’s free agency class. Having one major hole that they can quickly patch through free agency is a good spot to be in.

The Braves might find things a bit tougher. There isn’t another first baseman available near Freeman’s level unless you are massive Anthony Rizzo optimist.

Plus, the retooled outfield that powered them to the title — Eddie Rosario, Jorge Soler and Joc Pederson — was entirely composed of rentals. None should be in super-high demand but all likely increased their attractiveness as free agents with their stellar play down the stretch.

A Few More Teams Of Note In 2022 World Series Odds

Beyond the obvious contenders, a few more teams stick out as notable for one reason or another. We’ll go over why these teams could see their odds swing in a big way this offseason.

San Francisco Giants

The Cinderella story of 2021, the Giants had a veteran-laden team. And a team loaded with expiring contracts. They only added to that number by trading for Kris Bryant late in the season. They already had Brandon Belt and Buster Posey coming off the books.

The surprisingly excellent pitching staff is almost completely gone with Kevin Gausman, Alex Wood, Johnny Cueto and Anthony Desclafani all no longer under contract.

They stick out like a sore thumb on the Depth Charts projections with a WAR figure around that of the Orioles and Marlins.

However, they are a big-market club and have about $100 million to spend in free agency if they choose to invest in the 2022 team at the same level as this one. Depending on what they do with that $100 million, they could find themselves back in contention or way down the odds board in a few months.

Minnesota Twins

The Twins came into 2021 expected to compete as a fringe title contender. Instead, they finished last in the division with a bottom-10 record overall.

The markets appear done with this team, throwing a long price back on them.

However, the Depth Charts projection has their returning WAR barely behind that of presumed contenders the Braves, Red Sox and Rays.

The Twins don’t lose any major pieces to free agency. They have plenty of young hitters who should improve and develop but the pitching staff needs quite a bit of work. The team has up to around $40 million to spend and they could potentially rebound to contention.

Boston Red Sox

The Red Sox put together a surprisingly great 2021 season, competing for the championship in a season where many expected them to finish fourth in their own division.

A lot of things went right for Boston this year. Their pitching staff stayed very healthy and they got a boost from a bullpen that performed far better than expected. Their team looks basically the same for next year, losing replaceable pieces like Kyle Schwarber and Christian Vazquez. That assumes JD Martinez picks up his player option.

So, why are they so interesting? Well, if they wanted to stop pretending like they were poor and go back to spending close to 2019 levels, they could quickly look like a juggernaut again. Even investing $40 million or so, which would keep them around 2021’s payroll, would allow them to make some strong additions.

Add that to a healthy season of Chris Sale and you’d have a contender that belongs higher than +1800 in 2022 World Series odds.

Mo Nuwwarah Avatar
Written by
Mo Nuwwarah

Mo Nuwwarah got his start in gambling early, making his first sports bet on his beloved Fab Five against the UNC Tar Heels in the 1993 NCAA tournament. He lost $5 to his dad and got back into sports betting years later during a 15-year run in the poker industry. A 2011 journalism graduate from Nebraska-Omaha, he combines those skills with his love of sports and statistics to help bettors make more informed decisions with a focus on pro football, baseball and basketball.

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