Guess there will indeed be a World Series Game 5. Sorry, bettors who took the Sox in a sweep. Blame Ian Kinsler. Everyone else is.
Although some are a little more sympathetic.
Regardless, Game 3 ended after 18 innings, courtesy of a Max Muncy walk-off home run. The game featured the most inning in Series history, first set 102 years ago — between the Red Sox and the Los Angeles Dodgers (then the Brooklyn Robins), during which a fella named Babe Ruth recorded 13 shutout innings. (Oh, and Game 3 went an absurd SEVEN HOURS AND TWENTY MINUTES!)
Aside from Kinsler (even the top four spots of the Boston lineup, which went 0-for-28), nothing disappointed in the third game. Pitching in his third game of relief this Series, Boston’s Nathan Eovaldi went the final six innings, throwing 97 pitches that matches the postseason high for a Sox pitcher (which Eovaldi set in the ALDS). Suffice to say, Eovaldi won’t be starting Saturday’s Game 4 as originally scheduled.
Recapping Game 3 betting action
Wagers poured in at FanDuel Sportsbook until just before 3:30 AM ET, when the game mercifully ended. For the New Jersey sportsbook, Game 3 featured the highest volume of NJ sports betting action of the MLB season.
Some 5,600 bets came down on the moneyline alone, part of a day of wagers that was 25 percent more than the previous high, the final game between the Red Sox and the New York Yankees in the ALDS. Those moneyline bets were up 40 percent from that Sox-Yankees game nearly three weeks ago.
While the majority of the handle went toward the Dodgers (52 percent), the bulk of overall wagers went with the Red Sox (63 percent). Of note, one bettor, at 1:50 AM ET, laid down $5,000 on the Dodgers to win. With a -125 line, that bet paid off $9,000.
Onward to glory
A day after it appeared Los Angeles was already set to break out its offseason fishing gear, the Dodgers are back in contention.
A Game 3 loss would have slid the nails into LA’s coffin. Instead, history has shifted to the Dodgers’ favor. Per Elias Sports Bureau, Los Angeles has won three best-of-seven series in which they trailed two games to none. In all three (the 1955, 1965 and 1981 World Series), the Dodgers, as they did this year, dropped the opening two games on the road.
As a result, the Red Sox, listed by FanDuel as -650 favorites to win the Series heading into Game 3, now see their odds drop to -280.
Looking ahead, here’s the schedule:
- Game 4 at Los Angeles: Saturday, 8:09 p.m. ET
- Game 5 at Los Angeles: Sunday, 8:15 p.m. ET
- Game 6 at Boston: Tuesday, 8:09 p.m. ET (if necessary)
- Game 7 at Boston: Wednesday, 8:09 p.m. ET (if necessary)
Game 4 lines
Thanks to Muncy, the Dodgers have turned the tables on Boston. Home teams have won each of the first three games, a trend that bodes well for LA as it hosts Games 4 and 5.
|*Multiple lines offered|
|DraftKings||BOS +143/LA -165||BOS +1.5 (-162)/LA -1.5 (+133)||8.5 (-104/-118)|
|BetStars||BOS +140/LA -167||BOS +1.5 (-150)/LA -1.5 (+130)||8.5 (-110/-110)|
|FanDuel||BOS +146/LA -164||BOS +1.5 (-154)/LA -1.5 (+136)||8.5 (-104/-112)|
|SugarHouse||BOS +143/LA -165||BOS +1.5 (-162)/LA -1.5 (+133)*||8.5 (-104/-118)*|
|888sport||BOS +140/LA -167||BOS +1.5 (-162)/LA -1.5 (+132)*||8.5 (-104/-118)*|
|Caesars||BOS +152/LA -164||BOS +1.5 (-150)/LA -1.5 (+130)||8 (-120/+100)|
|William Hill||BOS +148/LA -158||BOS +1.5 (-150)/LA -1.5 (+130)||8.5 (+100/-120)|
|MGM||BOS +145/LA -160||BOS +1.5 (-150)/LA -1.5 (+130)||8.5 (-105/-115)|
Props, props, propspropsprops
If only there was a prop for whether Dodgers ace Clayton Kershaw would pinch-hit in Game 3. What a payoff that would have seen.
Maybe an in-game wager will surface if Game 4 also goes into the wee hours. For those hoping for it, DraftKings has the line:
- Will the game go to extra innings? Yes (+800) or no (-1667).
Go start-to-finish with the wager, even.
- Which team leads after the first inning? Red Sox (+310), Dodgers (+240) or tie (-125).
Through three games at FanDuel, the Dodgers’ Cody Bellinger and Manny Machado have represented the most wagers on players to hit a home run, the two combining for 30 percent of bets.
Additionally, Muncy has vaulted from a +3500 MVP candidate to +1300 after his walk-off heroics, while Eovaldi, despite eating the loss, has climbed from +3500 to +1700. (On the flip side, Kinsler dropped from +5000 to +7500.)
In what has become the more popular market at FanDuel, moneyline/total runs are set for Game 4:
- Boston win, over 8.5 runs: +360
- Boston win, under 8.5 runs: +360
- LA Dodgers win, over 8.5 runs: +210
- LA Dodgers win, under 8.5 runs: +195
Time to analyze trends. Through three games, only once has the home team exceeded four runs (Boston, Game 1). Only once as the visitor reached at least four runs (LA, Game 1). In two of three games, the total score amounted to an even number (Game 1: 12; Game 2: 6).
Consider that pattern when poring through this prop from SugarHouse:
- Total runs by home team: O/U 4.5 runs (-103/-127)
- Total runs by away team: O/U 3.5 runs (-120/-109)
- Total runs odd/even: -167/+130
See above, re: trends. The home team in each of the first three games scored first en route to victories.
- First team to score: Boston (-132), Los Angeles (+106)
- Home team score first and win: Yes (+165) or no (-220)
- Away team score first and win: Yes (+210) or no (-286)
Piggy-backing off the first team to score and win. William Hill throws out the home and away factors. Instead, the bookmaker poses if the first team to score overall will win: -230 for yes, +195 for no.
William Hill also features a trio of Boston vs. LA head-to-head props regarding total bases:
- Boston’s Andrew Benintendi (-110) vs. LA’s Clay Bellinger (-110)
- Boston’s Mookie Betts (-130) vs. LA’s Manny Machado (+110)
- Boston’s Xander Bogaerts (+105) vs. LA’s Justin Turner (-125)