The 2018 World Cup is a wrap.
Late money on Sunday poured in on Croatia, meaning Vegas and Atlantic City sportsbooks were happy as frogs clams with the French win.
Given the NCAA tournament level of randomness in this year’s World Cup, looking for value in futures for 2022 is as wise of an idea as dropping a grand on Kylian Mbappe scoring a goal against Croatia.
Who is the 2022 favorite?
It’s not France.
Despite its wealth of mostly young talent, France is listed at +650 in 2022 futures according to the Westgate (still good for second overall). Maybe it’s because it’s really hard to win back-to-back Cups. Or has been beaten to death, maybe it’s because four of the past five World Cup winners have not advanced out of group play the following Cup.
Brazil is the favorite at 6-1. This year’s finalists, Croatia, who will likely not see superstars Luka Modric and Ivan Rakitic back in 2022, are listed at 30-1.
No shockers as the Westgate has Germany (7-1), Spain (8-1), and a likely Messi-less Argentina (10-1) among the favorites.
The United States, who failed to qualify for 2018 and have to get their collective shit together for 2022 qualifiers, are listed at 60-1.
The longest shot for a country likely to qualify (because they get a free spot in as host nation) is Qatar at 150-1.
If you’re looking for relative value, you could do worse than England (14-1) and Italy (16-1).
2022 World Cup opening odds to win (via Westgate)
|Country||Opening Odds||Current Odds (7/15/18)|