The Match II Betting Guide: Odds And Predictions For Woods vs. Mickelson (Plus Manning And Brady)

Written By Esten McLaren on May 20, 2020 - Last Updated on May 26, 2020

Tiger Woods and Peyton Manning will take on Phil Mickelson and Tom Brady on Sunday, May 24 in The Match: Champions for Charity. The event, much like the TaylorMade Driving Relief skins match with Rory McIlroy and Dustin Johnson battling Rickie Fowler and Matthew Wolff, is being held to raise money for COVID-19 relief efforts.

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Medalist Golf Club in Hobe Sound, Fla. will serve as the host. The event will be simulcast across TNT, TBS, truTV and HLN and will begin at 2 p.m. ET. The regular PGA Tour schedule is set to resume June 11 with the Charles Schwab Challenge in Fort Worth, Texas.

ALSO READ: Five Best Bets For The Match II

The Match: Champions for Charity – When is it happing?

When: Sunday, May 24 at 2 p.m. ET
Where: Medalist Golf Club, Hobe Sound, Fla.
How to watch: TNT, TBS, truTV, HLN
Pre-match coverage: Bleacher Report app

How to bet on The Match

Much like the first running of The Match in 2018, betting — especially live-betting — is expected to be front and center. Betting odds are expected to be prominently displayed on the broadcast with viewers able to jump in on the action at any point at their sportsbook of choice.

Match winner

As of May 11, DraftKings had Woods and Manning as -200 favorites over Mickelson and Brady (+150). FanDuel weighed the odds even more heavily in favor of the defending Masters champion and retired quarterback at -230. Mickelson and Brady are +184 underdogs at FanDuel.

The two teams of two will play a standard Four-Ball (Best Ball) format on the front nine with the better of the two scores on each hole counting as the score for the twosome. The back nine will consist of a modified alternate shot format. Each member of the twosome will tee off on each hole, with alternate shot played the rest of the way in from the chosen first shot.

A $10 bet placed on Woods and Manning to win outright will return a profit of $5 at DraftKings and $4.35 at FanDuel. The same wager on Mickelson and Brady would fetch a profit of $15 or $18.40 at DraftKings and FanDuel, respectively.

Woods, ranked 11th by the Official World Golf Ranking, makes his team the side to back for outright bettors. Mickelson is ranked just 61st in the world after missing the cut at both the Arnold Palmer Invitational and The Genesis Invitational prior to the PGA Tour’s current scheduling pause due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Additionally, Manning is expected to be the better of the two future Hall of Fame quarterbacks with a handicap of 3.5 to Brady’s 8.

View live betting odds for The Match at DraftKings Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook.

Match props

First to go 1 up/2 up

Mickelson/Brady is a good value play at +110 to be the first to go 1 Up. While I like Woods and Manning to come out on top after 18 holes, either side can draw first blood, so it’s a good idea to chase the value.

The better bet is to back Woods/Manning to be the first to go 2 Up (-186). The first nine holes will emphasize the play of the two PGA Tour pros, and Tiger has a significant advantage based on the world rankings and his play earlier in 2020.

Leader after X holes

Thinking Mickelson and Brady could quite possibly take the first lead of the match, but with the third hole playing as a 553-yard par 5 and playing to Tiger’s strengths, get the match to be tied (all square) after 3 holes at +220. Value starts to emerge on Woods/Manning as the 6-hole leaders with +100 odds returning a profit of $10 on a $10 bet.

The odds drop lower for Woods and Manning the deeper into the match. They’re priced at -120 to lead after 12 holes and -134 to lead after 15. Both are better, more profitable bets than backing them as outright winners, as they’re likely to lead most of the way through.

Front 9

One of my favorite plays is to back Woods/Manning at -110 as 9-hole leaders on the three-way line. They’re -175 favorites on the two-way line. As mentioned above, the first nine holes should be almost exclusively Woods vs. Mickelson in the Four Ball format.

Back 9

The most interesting prop counts holes 10-18 in which the teams will be playing the modified alternate shot format. The value on Mickelson/Brady at +188 is too high and fun to pass up. Few in pro golf love to take risks quite like Lefty and he’s sure to be keen on using his partner to his competitive advantage. Look for Brady to always play it safe off the tee with Phil swinging out of his shoes on the pars 4 and 5.

Should Woods and Manning hold too big of a lead after the front 9, expect the tournament organizers to have a backup plan to get Mickelson and Brady back into it on the back 9, as well.

Longest tee shot, Hole 3

The first par 5 will feature a longest drive competition. Though not explicitly stated at DraftKings, the assumption is the tee shot will need to come to rest in the fairway to count.

Back Mickelson at +100 over Woods (-134) and back Brady (+100) over Manning (-134).

Nearest to the hole after tee shot, Hole 4 and 8

The two par 3s on the front nine will feature closest to the pin competitions. We like Manning (+500) and Brady (+600) on both holes. Should one of them win either hole, the $50 or $60 profit, respectively, on $10 bets will negate the losses on the other hole.

Check back for updated odds and more betting options leading up to May 24!

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Esten McLaren

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