WNBA Finals Best Picks & Odds for Game 3 Between Aces and Mercury

Written By Nick Crain | Published at October 8, 2025
Oct 5, 2025; Las Vegas, Nevada, USA; Las Vegas Aces center A'ja Wilson (22) shoots the ball against Phoenix Mercury forward Alyssa Thomas (25) during the fourth quarter of game two of the 2025 WNBA Finals at Michelob Ultra Arena. Mandatory Credit: Lucas Peltier-Imagn Images
WNBA: Finals-Phoenix Mercury at Las Vegas Aces

The 2025 WNBA Finals are at a pivotal point tonight, as the Las Vegas Aces look to take complete control fo the series against the Phoenix Mercury in Game 3. This would get them one step closer to reclaiming their place atop the league.

The former champs have been dominant all postseason, but haven't won since going back-to-back in 2022 and 2023 before being dethroned by the New York Liberty last season.

With the right angles across your favorite sports betting apps, there’s plenty of value on the board to close out the series. Between exclusive promotions and new-user betting app offers, this might be the best time to lock in your WNBA picks before tip-off.

This is one of the last opportunities to bet on the WNBA this season, as we only have one more game beyond this guaranteed in the series.

Here are the four best bets for tonight's Game 3 matchup between the Aces and Mercury, which could be the last game of the WNBA season.

Las Vegas Aces ML

Odds: +150 (via BetMGM)

Already up 2-0 in this series, the Aces are underdogs for the first game of this series in Phoenix as the Mercury hosts. Las Vegas is clearly the better team and will be motivated to take full control of this series to get one game away from winning the WNBA Finals, so getting the Aces at plus odds is a no-brainer here.

BetMGM Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
Bet Now BetMGM Promo
Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET (Available in the US) 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY) 1-800-327-5050 (MA), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). 21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. See BetMGM.com for Terms. First Bet Offer for new customers only (if applicable). Subject to eligibility requirements. Bonus bets are non-withdrawable. In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. Promotional offers not available in Mississippi, New York, Ontario, or Puerto Rico.

Alyssa Thomas o33.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists

Odds: -105 (via bet365)

Thomas is a triple-double machine and arguably the most well-rounded player in the WNBA. Especially in a game that will be the difference between Phoenix going down 0-3 and being at 1-2, I expect Thomas to be the best player on the floor in many respects and fill up the stat sheet.

A'Ja Wilson First FG Scorer

Odds: +330 (via Caesars Sportsbook)

The four-time WNBA MVP is the best player in the league for a reason, and Las Vegas should look to feed her to set the tone on the road early. First basket scorer props are always tricky, but leaning on the best player in the league in a huge Game 3 when her team will be leaning on her is a high-value pick.

Satou Sabally to Score 20+ Points

Odds: +162 (via BetMGM)

Although Thomas is the best overall player on the Mercury, Sabally is the most dynamic scorer. She's scored 20+ points five times in this playoff run alone, including 19+ in five consecutive games, as she looks to keep her heater going tonight. Sabally could very realistically end up being the game's leading scorer, which is why this is great value at plus odds.

FanDuel New Users – Bet $5 Get $200 in Bet Reset Tokens for 5 Days
Bet Now
Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET. Call 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT). Hope is here. GamblingHelplineMA.org or call (800) 327-5050 for 24/7 support (MA). Visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD). Call 1-877-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY). 21+ (18+ DC, IA, KY, WV) only. New users only or text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Casino, First online real money wager only. $5 first deposit required. Min $5 wager required for 5 consecutive days. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable Bet Reset tokens. Refund from token issued as nonwithdrawable bonus bet that expire 7 days after receipt. Max refund $200 per day. Restrictions apply, including token expiration. See full terms at fanduel.com/sportsbook. Call 1-877-770-7867 (LA).

Whether you’re backing the Aces to get one step closer to finishing the job, or taking value props from the Mercury side, there’s no shortage of betting angles in Game 3 of the WNBA Finals. With plenty of limited-time promotions available across leading sportsbooks, now’s the perfect time to take advantage of those offers and bonuses before the opening tip kicks off an unforgettable WNBA game.

Mandatory Photo Credit: Lucas Peltier-Imagn Images

All Odds as of 11:59 p.m. ET on Oct. 7