2023 Wimbledon Tennis Bets & Odds: Djokovic Big Men’s Favorite
While a draw has yet to be released (as of June 27), that hasn’t stopped sportsbooks from offering Wimbledon tennis odds. Here, we’ll take a look a look at the men’s singles markets for Wimbledon, arguably the biggest stage in tennis. The men’s singles final will take place July 16, with the first matches on July 3. Fans and bettors can catch the action primarily on ESPN, with select matches on ESPN2 and ABC.
The top of the Wimbledon odds board features absolutely zero surprise. After a somewhat rocky clay season saw Novak Djokovic enter the French Open semifinal as a significant underdog to Carlos Alcaraz, the Serbian has reasserted himself as the favorite. Indeed, he’s not only the market leader, he’s favored over the rest of the field.
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Wimbledon Odds: Men’s Singles
Despite turning 36 this year, Djokovic has shown few cracks in his armor, at least in the big spots of late. In fact, one could argue he has never been more dominant, having won each of the past three Grand Slam events in which he participated.
That includes last year’s Wimbledon. Djokovic actually enters having won each of the past four Wimbledons dating to 2018 (2020’s tournament was canceled due to the pandemic).
Considering Djokovic just won the French Open on his weakest surface, one can easily come to the conclusion he’ll roll in London. However, the markets strongly reflect this sentiment, giving about 58% implied probability, albeit before removing the vig.
Keep in mind as well that until a draw becomes available (June 30) the odds don’t reflect ease or difficulty of path to the finals. For instance, Djokovic and phenom Alcaraz met prior to the finals in Roland Garros. That greatly helped the chances of competitors on the other side of the bracket.
Speaking of Alcaraz, let’s run through some of the other notable competitors and their odds.
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Can Anyone Beat Djokovic?
Certainly, Alcaraz looks like the leading candidate, considering he was roughly a 2-1 favorite over Djokovic last time. However, clay court tennis and tennis on grass are much different. And Alcaraz not only lost, he struggled through a leg injury.
But, he did appear to recover fully, enough so that he won the Queen’s Club Championships, a precursor to Wimbledon. Still, the injury and Alcaraz’s inexperience on grass could work against him. Despite all that, he’s the only other competitor with single-digit odds.
After Alcaraz, the markets open up. World No. 3 Daniil Medvedev narrowly edges the rest of the field in the markets but had a poor showing in the French Open. He’s been gaining strength on grass and has beaten Djokovic in a big spot before, the US Open final in 2021. He’ll likely have to go through both Djokovic and Alcaraz, however.
American Taylor Fritz reached his first quarterfinal in a major last year at Wimbledon. The grass suits his big-serving game, but he lacks the big-time success of the other names near the top of the board.
Norwegian Casper Ruud sports by far the longest odds of the top-ranked players (world No. 4) at +8000. He has advanced to three of the past five Grand Slam finals, albeit without any victories. However, he’s much weaker on grass and has never advanced past the second round of Wimbledon.