Men’s Wimbledon Odds: Jannik Sinner Favored Over Carlos Alcaraz, Novak Djokovich

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Written By Brett Gibbons | Last Updated
wimbledon odds

World No. 1 Jannik Sinner (Italy) is favored over No. 2 Carlos Alcaraz and No. 3 Novak Djokovic for the odds to win Wimbledon in the men’s singles tournament. The first round kicked off Monday, with the finals scheduled for Sunday, July 14. Alcaraz won his first title at 20 years old last year, defeating seven-time champion Djokovic in the finals. But Djokovic has been the model of consistency at Wimbledon.

Let’s look at Wimbledon favorites, past winners, and who might be in the mix this year. Before making your tennis picks, claim the best Wimbledon betting promos, including the latest Fanatics Sportsbook promo worth up to $1,000.

Wimbledon Odds: Men’s Singles

Compare Wimbledon odds for the men’s tournament from the best sports betting sites below. Click anywhere to place a bet.

Possible Predictions For Wimbledon Odds

If you convert the odds to implied probability, there is no heavy favorite like in other recent Grand Slam events. Even with Sinner atop the board in the +170 range, that implies only a roughly 37% implied probability of emerging victorious. Alcaraz has about a 31% chance of winning, with Djokovic just above 22%. That makes it tough to make a strong prediction in the gentlemen’s draw with the quarterfinals on deck.

If Sinner and Alcaraz advance against Daniil Medvedev and Tommy Paul, they will square off in the semifinals.

Sinner quickly rocketed up the ATP World Rankings, sitting fourth at the turn of the year. During Wimbledon 2023, he cracked the top 10 but reached the semifinals. Sinner improved each year in his last three Wimbledon appearances.

In 2021, he was a first-round exit. In 2022, Sinner made the quarterfinals. Could 2024 continue his trend of improvement en route to a title?

Can Anyone Upend The Legend?

The current only career Grand Slam champion is no stranger to success at Wimbledon. Novak Djokovic (Serbia) has seven men’s singles titles, including four straight from 2018-22. Alcaraz broke the streak of victories, but Djokovic has appeared in five straight finals. He is 7-2 in finals, falling just one other time, in 2013, to Andy Murray (his second Wimbledon finals appearance).

The US has not been represented in the Wimbledon men’s singles final since 2009. Andy Roddick fell to Roger Federer (Switzerland) that year. From 1992 to 2005, the US was extremely well-represented in the Wimbledon finals, with seven titles from Pete Sampras, another by Andre Agassi, and finals appearances by Andy Roddick.

Wimbledon Men’s Singles Champion By Year

2023Carlos AlcarazSpainNovak Djokovic
2022Novak DjokovicSerbiaNick Kyrgios
2021Novak DjokovicSerbiaMatteo Berrettini
2019Novak DjokovicSerbiaRoger Federer
2018Novak DjokovicSerbiaKevin Anderson
2017Roger FedererSwitzerlandMarin Čilić
2016Andy MurrayGreat BritainMilos Raonic
2015Novak DjokovicSerbiaRoger Federer
2014Novak DjokovicSerbiaRoger Federer
2013Andy MurrayGreat BritainNovak Djokovic
2012Roger FedererSwitzerlandAndy Murray
2011Novak DjokovicSerbiaRafael Nadal

Since 2012. Note: Wimbledon canceled its tournament in 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic.

Who Has The Most Wimbledon Men’s Singles Championships?

Roger Federer owns the most singles championships at Wimbledon, men’s or women’s, in the Open Era (eight). He also owns the most titles of any man in the singles tournament, Open or Amateur era. With a victory this year, Djokovic would pass Pete Sampras (seven) and tie Federer with eight titles. Björn Borg (Sweden, 1976-80) holds the fourth-most championships in the Open Era with five.

William Renshaw (Great Britain, 1881-89) has seven Wimbledon titles from the Amateur Era.

Laurence Doherty (Great Britain, 1902-06) won five consecutive Wimbledon titles, tied with Renshaw and Federer for the most in a row.