Wells Fargo Championship Odds: Rory McIlroy Lurking Going Into Final Round

Written By FairwayJay on May 2, 2021 - Last Updated on May 9, 2021
Wells Fargo championship odds

The Wells Fargo Championship returns to Charlotte in 2021 as a result of the Ryder Cup being postponed this year and the Presidents Cup in Charlotte being pushed back to 2022. Last year’s tournament was canceled due to the ongoing pandemic, and the 2021 event will be played with crowds up to 30% capacity, or approximately 10,500 fans. Wells Fargo Championship odds will includes some big names near the top of the board.

Four of the top-five and 10 of the top-15 players in the world golf rankings will play at Quail Hollow Club in Charlotte. Max Homa, the 2019 defending champ who captured his maiden PGA TOUR victory in Charlotte, returns. He’s contending at the Valspar Championship Sunday prior to the Wells Fargo Championship.

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Wells Fargo Championship Odds 2021

View odds for all of the golfers in the 2021 Wells Fargo Championship at top US sportsbooks like DraftKings SportsbookFanDuel Sportsbook and BetMGM.

Two Weeks Until The PGA Championship – Latest Odds and Strategy

Notable Players in the Field  

Two-time champion Rory McIlroy returns to one of his favorite stops on the PGA TOUR. He last won the event in 2015 over runner-up Webb Simpson, who is also in the field. Four top-five players return to Quail Hollow – Justin Thomas, Jon Rahm, Xander Schauffele and Bryson DeChambeau.

Thomas won the 2017 PGA Championship held at Quail Hollow in August, and Patrick Reed was runner-up.

Top players in the field include: World Golf Ranking (OWGR)

  • Justin Thomas (No. 2)
  • Jon Rahm (3)
  • Xander Schauffele (4)
  • Bryson DeChambeau (5)
  • Patrick Reed (7)
  • Webb Simpson (9)
  • Patrick Cantlay (11)
  • Tony Finau (12)
  • Rory McIlroy (13)
  • Viktor Hovland (15)
  • Sungjae Im (19)
  • Harris English (23)
  • Tommy Fleetwood (26)
  • Will Zalatoris (28)
  • Abraham Ancer (31)
  • Joaquin Niemann (32)
  • Corey Connors (38)
  • Max Homa (41)
  • Stewart Cink (43)
  • Shane Lowry (44)
  • Brian Harman (47)
  • Carlos Ortiz (50)

Also in the field are 2018 champion Jason Day, Phil Mickelson, Gary Woodland, 2012 champion Rickie Fowler, Bubba Watson, Russell Henley and Mackenzie Hughes. Mickelson has eight top-five finishes in 16 events.

Masters Tournament runner-up and Wake Forest graduate Will Zalatoris has accepted a sponsor exemption and will play in his first Wells Fargo Championship. He’s been quickly moving up in the OWGR and is currently No. 28 in the world.

Wells Fargo Championship Winners and Runners-up:

  • 2019 – Max Homa (-15), Joel Dahman
  • 2018 – Jason Day (-12), Nick Watney, Aaron Wise
  • 2017 – Brian Harman (-10), Dustin Johnson, Pat Perez (Eagle Point GC)
  • 2016 – James Hahn (-9), Robert Castro (playoff)
  • 2015 – Rory McIlroy (-17), Webb Simpson, Patrick Rodgers

* The 2017 event was played at Eagle Point Golf Club, as the PGA Championship was held at Quail Hollow.


  • Course: Quail Hollow Club
  • Location: Charlotte, NC
  • Date: May 6-9
  • Par: 71 / Yardage 7,521
  • Purse: $8.1 Million / Winner $1.42 M
  • Fairways/Rough: Bermudagrass
  • Greens: : Bermudagrass
  • TV/Online: Golf Channel, CBS (Sat/Sun), PGA TOUR Live
  • Twitter & Hashtag: @WellsFargoGolf
  • Defending Champion: Max Homa

The greens at Quail Hollow were resurfaced in 2017 with a new Bermuda grass, Champion Ultradwarf Bermuda. They average near 6,500 square feet. Thousands of trees were removed as part of the changes, and new holes were built at holes 1, 4 and 5. Other modifications were made at the 9th and 11th holes. The opening two holes were combined, and No. 1 now plays as a more demanding par 4, along with hole No. 11. The difficulty becomes greater as wind comes into play. Water is in play on six holes, including the final five on the back nine.

Quail Hollow is a long course, and a venue now more suited to players with strong and long driving stats. Beyond the strokes gained stats, review players’ par-4 efficiency (450+ yards), par-4 scoring and approach play, preferably from 150-175 yards. Driving accuracy was previously more significant, but players who are accurate with stronger Tee-to-Green strokes gained stats will prevail as the heavier rough can be more penal. The resurfaced greens have put a greater premium on putting, along with Scrambling. Hitting greens and getting the ball close will be a struggle for players that are not solid ball strikers or are off line from the tee. In 2018, Quail Hollow ranked as the fifth hardest PGA TOUR course to score. The closing four-hole stretch is difficult, and includes ‘The Green Mile’ at holes 16, 17 and 18 – three of the most difficult scoring holes on the course.

Key Stats

Par-4 efficiency leaders (450-500 yards) in this field over their last 50 rounds include:

  1. Viktor Hovland
  2. Patrick Reed
  3. Justin Thomas
  4. Lanto Griffin
  5. Corey Connors

Sungjae Im, Bryson DeChambeau and Webb Simpson are also top 10 in Par-4 efficiency.

Top Ball Strikers over their last 50 rounds include:

  1. Jon Rahm
  2. Corey Connors
  3. Emiliano Grillo
  4. Keegan Bradley
  5. Justin Thomas

Will Zalatoris, Joaquin Niemann, Bryson DeChambeau, Bubba Watson and Viktor Hovland are also top-10 ball strikers.

Golfers to Watch

A strong field at the Wells Fargo Championship, and the power players rise up. That includes many of the top-rated pros like Jon Rahm, Bryson DeChambeau and Viktor Hovland, who plays in the event for the first time and is up to No. 11 in the world after a 3rd place finish last week at the Valspar Championship.

But look down the odds board and you’ll see some players at attractive prices that could cash in with proven profiles. Think outside the box in your Golfers to Watch, knowing we cashed in with Sam Burns as a 100/1 winner last week at the Valspar Championship.

Here are four golfers outside of the leading favorites with huge longshots to consider for your Fairway Foursome to win or for a top finishing position at Quail Hollow.

Tony Finau ()

Finau has made the cut in all four of his starts at the Wells Fargo event with a best of T16, and he also made the cut and finished T44 for the 2017 PGA Championship at Quail Hollow. Finau’s Strokes Gained stats are solid across the board, and his consistent play is evident by his top-15 position in the FedExCup Standings, scoring average and birdie average. Finau is long off the tee at 305 yards per drive, and in 15 events this season, the 31-year-old has six top 10s and 10 top-25 finishes. Tony looks like a good fit, and his odds are rising from recent events.

Joel Dahmen ()

Dahmen is playing solid golf having also picked up his first PGA TOUR win in March with a weaker field at the Corales Puntacana event. Dahmen played in the final group here in 2019 and finished 2nd, and he also finished T16 in 2018. The the 33-year-old’s Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee and Approach stats rank top 11 on TOUR over his last 36 rounds, and he’s top five in SG: Ball Striking. Add in top 10 Par-4 efficiency from 450 to 500 yards and top-15 in Fairways Gained, and Dahmen seems to be a golfer to watch and sleeper at these outright odds, +900 for a top-10 finish. His weakness in all areas of short game and putting hold him back. Still, Dahmen ranks top five in Strokes Gained Total per round at the Wells Fargo Championship since 2014.

Cameron Davis ()

Davis is 150-1 at DraftKings Sportsbook, yet his top-10 odds are just +750. So the bookmaker knows he’s a capable contender. Over his last 36 rounds, Davis is No. 4 in SG: Off-the-Tee and No. 11 in SG: Ball Striking and his Tee-to-Green game is No. 21. He’s also top-20 in SG: Par-4 efficiency. The 26-year-old Australian is long off the tee (310 yards), but wayward to say the least. He still makes birdies at a solid rate, and showed his ball striking strength recently at Harbour Town.

Jhonattan Vegas ()

Vegas struggles on and around the greens, yet he was still good enough to finish T8 here in 2019. Another top-10 finish this week returns +1400. Vegas has made the cut in each of his last four appearances, and ranks No. 6 on TOUR over his last 36 rounds in SG: Off-the-Tee, and top 25 in Ball Striking and Tee-to-Green. Jhonattan had his best week of the season in SG:Around the Green in last week’s Valspar Championship, and an exceptional week Tee-to-Green. Man, if Jhonny could Putt or Chip, we’d be cashing in Vegas more consistently. Same to be said for Aaron Wise (+17500), another big bomb who is solid T2G, BS and Approach, but awful on and around the green.

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FairwayJay is a leading national sports and gaming analyst and is recognized as one of the sports industry's most insightful professionals. Jay has pursued his passions and maintained a pulse on the sports, gaming and poker industries while living in Las Vegas for nearly two decades. He's been a regular featured guest on sports and gaming radio shows, podcasts and produces sports betting and related industry articles and content for various sites and sources.

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