Tomorrow I embark on a bachelor party trip to Savannah, Ga., and God only knows what that means for the level of coherency in next week’s articles. But, that’s for another day’s worry. My mind and liver remain in a clear state to give a good crack at the Wells Fargo Championship board. With yet another loaded field in store at Quail Hollow Club in Charlotte, N.C., it’s refreshing to back a slew of in-form major contenders at the same prices at which I bought the likes of Wyndham Clark and Nicolai Hojgaard. Click the odds anywhere in this article to place Wells Fargo Championship bets.
For a full breakdown of the tournament and course, visit my Wells Fargo Championship preview.
HOW I BUILT MY WELLS FARGO CHAMPIONSHIP BETTING CARD
If the first year of elevated events has taught us anything so far, it’s that good players tend to rise to the top of the leaderboard in good fields. That’s been exaggerated on the most challenging venues we’ve seen thus far, so I’ve approached the Wells Fargo Championship’s first year as an elevated event by concentrating a top-heavy card with long hitters who have proven results in comparable difficult scoring conditions.
In terms of unit allocations for my card this week, it’s back to business as usual for Wells Fargo Championship bets.
- Outrights – 3U in to pay 24U each
- FRL – 0.5U in to pay out 10U+ each
- Props – 3U in to pay out 3U+ each
Click on any of the odds below for Wells Fargo Championship bets and the best available prices across legal sportsbooks in your state.
WELLS FARGO CHAMPIONSHIP BETS: OUTRIGHTS (3 UNITS)
Viktor Hovland
My Bet: +2200
Best Available Odds:
Hovland has become one of the most popularly backed players this week and it’s not hard to see why. Quail Hollow has proven year over year to reward those elite in driving distance and ball-striking, have a proven history in comparable difficult scoring conditions, and the ability to spike with the putter. Hovland easily checks each of those boxes. He ranks top 20 in Driving Distance, Prox: 175+, Par-4: 450+, and Comp Course History. With a T4 finish here in his 2021 debut and top-10 finishes at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, THE PLAYERS, and the Masters over his last four starts, Hovland continues to trend towards his first significant win on the PGA TOUR.
Jordan Spieth
My Bet: +2500
Best Available Odds:
A valid case exists for Jordan Spieth to be a top-four favorite this week. He averages an absurd 10 strokes gained per event over his last five starts with four top-five finishes over that stretch. Spieth continues to add distance to his driving and find his footing with the putting, adding to an already elite arsenal from fairway to green. He spoke out about feeling fatigued leading into his RBC Heritage playoff loss and should feel recharged after a two-week break.
Matt Fitzpatrick
My Bet: +2500
Best Available Odds:
Fitzpatrick’s recovery from injury prior to the Masters did not do him any favors in my model over the last 36 rounds. But from an eye test standpoint, I’m fine overlooking what the numbers say and going back to Fitzpatrick on an ideal course fit which rewards his bread and butter of driving distance, scrambling in difficult conditions, and spike putting. With finishes of T19, 1st, and T10 over his last three starts, the injury concerns seem completely behind him as Fitzpatrick hits his stride in this stretch of the schedule.
WELLS FARGO CHAMPIONSHIP FIRST ROUND LEADER BETS (0.5 UNITS)
Sahith Theegala
My Bet: +5500
Best Available Odds:
I was hoping to bet Theegala outright this week, but after prioritizing a more top-heavy card, I’m OK settling for my exposure in this market. Theegala has established himself as an explosive birdie-maker with approach play that continues to trend towards an elite tier. He’ll give himself plenty of birdie looks in this set up.
Keith Mitchell
My Bet: +6600
Best Available Odds:
Mitchell has plenty of experience going low at Quail Hollow already, with top-10 finishes in each of his last two appearances. As a bomber with spike putting upside on Bermuda greens, he remains an ideal fit to attack this type of layout.
Wyndham Clark
My Bet: +8500
Best Available Odds:
Clark was a popular consideration at last week’s Mexico Open given the importance of driving distance, long-range approaches, and spike putting. A week later, all of those factors continue to remain critical. So, I’ll happily jump back on board at this number on a course that should play perfectly to his strengths.
Will Gordon
My Bet: +12500
Best Available Odds:
Gordon has played as a more volatile version of Wyndham Clark this season. While that volatility may make him a riskier full tournament option, the first round upside is just as present. Gordon continues to excel in driving distance, long iron proximity, and putting, all key to going low at Quail Hollow.
Aaron Rai
My Bet: +13000
Best Available Odds:
This is a great course fit for Aaron Rai? No. But if he was able to claim a share of the first round lead at Torrey Pines earlier this season, then there’s no reason he shouldn’t be able to repeat the same result on a strong comp course in Quail Hollow.
Adam Schenk
My Bet: +16000
Best Available Odds:
The combination of Driving Distance and spike putting is a simple enough formula to score at Quail Hollow. Schenk happens to excel most in those two areas. He fired a pair of 67s in his 2019 T13 finish at the Wells Fargo Championship and enters 2023 in improved form just three starts removed from a runner-up finish at the Valspar Championship.
WELLS FARGO CHAMPIONSHIP PROPS (3 UNITS)
Top-20 Finish: Viktor Hovland
My Bet: +110
Best Available Odds:
By every statistical metric, Viktor Hovland is poised for a deep run at the 2023 Wells Fargo Championship. He has the proven course history with a T4 finish here in his 2021 debut. He’s passed the test on difficult comp courses and fits the profile as an elite ball striker with plus distance and spike putting upside that propelled Rory McIlroy, Max Homa, and Jason Day to past wins here.
Top-40 Finish: Adam Schenk
My Bet: +210
Best Available Odds:
A player who has relied on his top-10 putting metrics may seem more suited to a birdie fest than a grinder’s course like Quail Hollow. But, Schenk has been able to hold his own on tough tracks, ranking top 20 in Bogey Avoidance and SG: TOT in Difficult Scoring Conditions. Schenk has seven top-40 finishes over his last 10 starts and is one of my favorite values on the board this week.
Top-20 Finish: Taylor Moore
My Bet: +340
Best Available Odds:
Moore popped in all the key stats I pulled for Quail Hollow, rising to No. 15 overall in my model. He’s established himself as one of the best putters in this field, ranking top six in SG: Putting over the last 36 total rounds and on Bermuda greens. Considering he is also top 35 in Driving Distance and No. 5 in Proximity: 175+, Moore’s well-rounded game seems perfectly suited to score at Quail Hollow in his 2023 debut.
ONE AND DONE
My Pick: Viktor Hovland
I’m sticking with my spotlight play of the week for OAD here. I just think Hovland’s combination of recent form, course history, and course profile fit are all too strong to pass up in this spot. This is the type of course on which I can see Hovland going on a Rory or Day-esque run as he continues to get more appearances under his belt. His combination of distance and elite ball striking from long range look a perfect set up for what Quail Hollow Club demands.
If not Hovland, I would also consider Rory McIlroy, Max Homa, or Matt Fitzpatrick as OAD picks.
WELLS FARGO CHAMPIONSHIP: THE BETTING CARD
That’ll do it for this week’s Wells Fargo Championship bets. Best of luck this week with your own Wells Fargo bets, and see you next week for the AT&T Byron Nelson! For more, follow TheLines on Twitter.
WELLS FARGO CHAMPIONSHIP BETS: ODDS TO WIN
Compare odds across sportsbooks in your state, and click any of the odds below to make Wells Fargo Championship bets now.
