Back The Birds? Nine Week 5 NFL Underdogs Worth Considering

Written By Eli Hershkovich on October 10, 2021
Week 5 NFL Underdogs

Kicking off with the Rams at the Seahawks tonight, there are plenty of Week 5 NFL underdogs to consider betting in a multitude of ways. Let’s break down all the matchups and where the value lies.

Week 5 NFL Underdogs

Los Angeles Rams @ Seattle Seahawks

Unless the Seahawks are +3 or better before kickoff, there’s not enough value to make a pregame bet.

Even with Seattle running back Chris Carson (neck) listed as questionable, the Rams’ defense was exposed in Week 4 to the tune of MVP candidate Kyler MurrayRussell Wilson can generate a similar amount of damage.

Potential Underdog Angle: Seahawks teaser, live +7.5 or better

New York Jets vs. Atlanta Falcons

We cashed in on the Jets as touchdown underdogs against the Titans, but the betting market has adjusted and bumped this line down to a flat field goal. With rookie signal caller Zach Wilson facing his first test overseas, let’s continue along.

Conclusion: Pass

Green Bay Packers @ Cincinnati Bengals

Packers cornerback Jaire Alexander (shoulder) is out, so Joe Burrow (9.2 yards per pass attempt) should have opportunities to expose a weaker secondary. But on the flip side, Aaron Rodgers can do the same against an overrated Bengals defense.

Conclusion: Pass

Detroit Lions @ Minnesota Vikings

Given the Lions’ recent injuries and this line zipping past a viable Vikings teaser number, stay away in a bounce-back spot for Minnesota.

Conclusion: Pass

Miami Dolphins @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Dolphins represent the first of my NFL Week 5 underdogs as best bets.

Denver Broncos @ Pittsburgh Steelers

Are you trusting backup Drew Lock if Teddy Bridgewater (concussion) doesn’t start for the Broncos? Me neither.

Conclusion: Pass

New Orleans Saints @ Washington Football Team

Jameis Winston and the Saints’ offense are posting just 6.6 YPA, but the Football Team‘s 26th-ranked pass defense DVOA should present Sean Peyton’s team with a get-right spot.

Conclusion: Pass

Philadelphia Eagles @ Carolina Panthers

After facing the Jets, Saints and Texans to begin the season, the Panthers allowed 8.5 YPA and 7.2 yards per carry, respectively, to the Cowboys in Week 4. I’m anticipating another defensive letdown against Jalen Hurts & Co.

Potential Underdog Angle: Eagles +3 or better

Tennessee Titans @ Jacksonville Jaguars

The Titans should at least see wideout A.J. Brown (hamstring) return after he and Julio Jones missed their loss at the Jets. But even after Trevor Lawrence found a rhythm against the Bengals, I’m not touching Urban Meyer‘s team with a ten-foot pole.

Conclusion: Pass

New England Patriots @ Houston Texans

Following an emotional loss to the Buccaneers, the Patriots now have COVID-19 concerns on their offensive line. Davis Mills and the Texans‘ offense looked putrid in Buffalo, but consider Buffalo’s elite defense before leaving a live bet on the table.

Conclusion: Texans live +10.5 or better

Chicago Bears @ Las Vegas Raiders

Keep an eye on the Raiders‘ injury report, as rookie Justin Fields could deliver another sound performance against a banged-up secondary.

Potential Underdog Angle: Bears +5.5 or better

Cleveland Browns @ Los Angeles Chargers

We’ve already seen the market overreact a bit to the Chargers‘ double-digit win in primetime, and that gives us another valuable teaser leg among the NFL Week 5 underdogs.

Potential Underdog Angle: Browns teaser (+8 or better)

New York Giants @ Dallas Cowboys

Despite the spread sitting at a key number, a chunk of the Giants‘ receiving core (Sterling Shepard, Darius Slayton) is still dealing with hamstring injuries. I’m not stepping in front of this Cowboys train.

Conclusion: Pass

San Francisco 49ers @ Arizona Cardinals

Say hello to another one of my best bets.

Buffalo Bills @ Kansas City Chiefs

Although the Chiefs are yielding the third-most YPA, the Bills‘ offense places No. 23 in red-zone TD percentage (57.1). I’m only confident plugging Buffalo into a teaser, which still possesses value.

Potential Underdog Angle: Bills teaser (+8 or better)

Indianapolis Colts @ Baltimore Ravens

I’ll need a slightly better number than the current line, but if Jonathan Taylor can cash in on a healthy workload again, the Colts will have a chance to keep the duel-threat Lamar Jackson on the sidelines.

Potential Underdog Angle: Colts +7.5 or better

Eli Hershkovich Avatar
Written by
Eli Hershkovich

Eli Hershkovich is a lead sports betting writer with TheLines and Catena Media, formerly with Audacy and The Action Network. His goal is to provide you with data and information to lead you to winning bets. Eli is an avid college basketball gambler — among many other sports — and still hasn't forgiven Virginia for ruining his 2018-2019 Texas Tech futures.

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