Week 3 NFL Betting Upset Predictions To Consider For Longshot Parlays & Pick ‘Em Pools

Written By Eli Hershkovich on September 22, 2023

Unsurprisingly, a multitude of underdogs are garnering attention among NFL Week 3 odds. Nevertheless, determining the most valuable ones at NFL betting sites is a difficult process. If you normally dabble in parlays, along with same-game parlays, here are three plus-money teams to potentially utilize. Keep in mind that this hypothetical three-team parlay doesn’t represent a personal wager on my betting card.

Be on the lookout for my best bets column by following TheLines on Twitter. In order to place a bet at the best sports betting sites, click on any of the odds below. These prices are the best available in your state.

buffalo bills at Washington commanders

Even with Commanders odds going 2-0 against the spread, it’s the Bills’ odds that have captivated bettors thus far. After opening as a 5.5-point road favorite on the look-ahead line, Buffalo is nearing the key number of a touchdown.

Josh Allen & Co. bounced back against the Raiders, yet Sam Howell’s rebound performance deserves some credit as well. After struggling versus the Cardinals in Washington’s season opener, Howell tallied the 13th-most EPA per play among qualified quarterbacks. Although the Broncos’ defense isn’t as dominant without Ejiro Evero — the current Panthers defensive coordinator — his efficiency while facing an early deficit shouldn’t be overlooked. Keep in mind that Washington had an additional six points wiped off the board, thanks to Joey Slye missing two field goals.

Howell has just three career starts under his belt, but he’s certainly benefited from playing under well-respected offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy. Even if the betting market remains against the Commanders for a third straight week, don’t be surprised if Howell and their stout defense pair up to make this game competitive.

new orleans saints at green bay packers

Those who have backed Saints odds in each of their first two games have undoubtedly benefited from questionable officiating and a poor showing from rookie signal caller Bryce Young. Nevertheless, their defense has allowed the seventh-fewest EPA per play to date. Despite that coming in a small sample size, it’s no fluke. They’re guided by Marshon Lattimore, one of the league’s premier shutdown corners, and a bevy of dominant run-stuffers.

New Orleans is set to face off against the inexperienced Jordan Love, who has been aided by the Packers’ ground-heavy attack. Consider the Saints “lucky” if you must, yet their promising schedule and potential positive injury luck were both factors as to why I bet Dennis Allen to win the 2023 NFL Coach of the Year award. The Saints find themselves with another favorable matchup here.

Related: Super Bowl odds for the 2023 NFL season

Philadelphia Eagles at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

After facing a myriad of galore in the offseason, especially in regards to the betting market, Baker Mayfield has exceeded expectations — and then some. The former Browns, Panthers, and Rams QB boasts the seventh-most EPA per play. Granted, his output has come versus a pair of favorable secondaries. That said, Mayfield’s familiarity with the system put in place by offensive coordinator Dave Canales is a significant variable in his success. The same goes for Buccaneers odds.

If Philadelphia’s injuries remain an issue in the secondary, Eagles odds may be overvalued come Monday Night Football. Read more about this matchup in our betting preview.

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