Best Anytime Touchdown Prop Bets For NFL Week 18: Will Taysom Hill Score TD?

After finally hitting a defensive anytime touchdown last week, Week 18 provides one more full-slate opportunity at the best betting sites. That said, this week’s ATTD markets are afflicted with teams that will be resting players. We’re going to focus on teams and games with unambiguous motivation. In search of anytime touchdown wins, the risk of a halftime benching isn’t what we want.
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Will Seahawks RB Kenneth Walker score a touchdown?
The Seahawk RB found his way back into the endzone last week despite a game that didn’t go to script. The Seahawks were trailing for much of the Steelers game, so Walker only got 10 carries, but he got into the end zone on that work. The last two weeks have seen Zach Charbonnet only get four combined carries, meaning that in a more run-friendly script, Walker’s usage should be robust.
The Cardinals’ defense remains the worst in the league by EPA, meaning that the Seahawks should be able to score relatively easily. Seattle needs to win and get help to make the playoffs, so they’ll be playing from whistle to whistle. In a likely high-scoring game, the chances Walker manages to find himself in the end zone seem fairly solid.
2023 Seahawks TD Scorer Stats
Player | GP Games Played | ATT Rushing Attempts | YDS Rushing Yards | YDS/C Yards Per Carry | YDS/G Rushing Yards Per Game | TDS Rushing Touchdowns |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kenneth Walker III – RB | 11 | 153 | 573 | 3.7 | 52.1 | 7 |
Zach Charbonnet – RB | 17 | 135 | 569 | 4.2 | 33.5 | 8 |
Geno Smith – QB | 17 | 53 | 272 | 5.1 | 16.0 | 2 |
Kenny McIntosh – RB | 17 | 31 | 172 | 5.5 | 10.1 | 0 |
Jaxon Smith-Njigba – WR | 17 | 5 | 26 | 5.2 | 1.5 | 0 |
George Holani – RB | 5 | 3 | 10 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 0 |
Sam Howell – QB | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0 |
Player | GP Games Played | TGTS Targets | REC Receptions | YDS Receiving Yards | CTP% Catch Percentage | YDS/R Yards Per Reception | YAC/G Yards After Catch Per Game | TDS Receiving Touchdowns |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jaxon Smith-Njigba – WR | 17 | 137 | 100 | 1,130 | 73.0% | 11.3 | 28.1 | 6 |
DK Metcalf – WR | 15 | 108 | 66 | 992 | 61.1% | 15.0 | 17.5 | 5 |
Tyler Lockett – WR | 17 | 74 | 49 | 600 | 66.2% | 12.2 | 7.9 | 2 |
Noah Fant – TE | 14 | 64 | 48 | 500 | 75.0% | 10.4 | 19.8 | 1 |
Zach Charbonnet – RB | 17 | 52 | 42 | 340 | 80.8% | 8.1 | 19.4 | 1 |
Kenneth Walker III – RB | 11 | 53 | 46 | 299 | 86.8% | 6.5 | 33.0 | 1 |
AJ Barner – TE | 17 | 38 | 30 | 245 | 78.9% | 8.2 | 9.6 | 4 |
Jake Bobo – WR | 17 | 17 | 13 | 107 | 76.5% | 8.2 | 1.6 | 1 |
Pharaoh Brown – TE | 15 | 12 | 8 | 65 | 66.7% | 8.1 | 2.0 | 0 |
Cody White – WR | 4 | 3 | 2 | 44 | 66.7% | 22.0 | 3.3 | 0 |
Kenny McIntosh – RB | 17 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 75.0% | 7.3 | 1.0 | 0 |
Jaelon Darden – WR | 12 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 100.0% | 6.0 | 0.8 | 0 |
Brady Russell – TE | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 |
Dareke Young – WR | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 |
George Holani – RB | 5 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 100.0% | -1.0 | 0.0 | 0 |
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Will Bucs Rb Rachaad White score a touchdown?
The Bucs have one of the cleanest Week 18 situations possible – win and you’re in. Of course, things cannot be that clean for the Bucs, so they’re having to deal with Baker Mayfield being questionable. With Baker on the mend with a rib injury, that will even more increase the chances of White getting significant usage.
White has had 23+ touches in four of his last five games. He’s gotten into the end zone in four of his last five games. The Panthers have conceded the most rushing touchdowns in the league to running backs. All of these factors mean that whether Baker plays or not, it’ll be a heavy, heavy dose of White. In one of the most clear cut games of the week, this is a great bet.
2023 Bucs TD Scorer Stats
Player | GP Games Played | ATT Rushing Attempts | YDS Rushing Yards | YDS/C Yards Per Carry | YDS/G Rushing Yards Per Game | TDS Rushing Touchdowns |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bucky Irving – RB | 18 | 224 | 1,198 | 5.3 | 66.6 | 8 |
Rachaad White – RB | 17 | 145 | 614 | 4.2 | 36.1 | 3 |
Baker Mayfield – QB | 18 | 67 | 401 | 6.0 | 22.3 | 3 |
Sean Tucker – RB | 18 | 50 | 308 | 6.2 | 17.1 | 2 |
Sterling Shepard – WR | 15 | 8 | 69 | 8.6 | 4.6 | 0 |
Jalen McMillan – WR | 14 | 4 | 43 | 10.8 | 3.1 | 0 |
Kameron Johnson – WR | 5 | 2 | 11 | 5.5 | 2.2 | 0 |
Chris Godwin – WR | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0 |
Cade Otton – TE | 15 | 1 | -4 | -4.0 | -0.3 | 0 |
Kyle Trask – QB | 4 | 5 | -4 | -0.8 | -1.0 | 0 |
Player | GP Games Played | TGTS Targets | REC Receptions | YDS Receiving Yards | CTP% Catch Percentage | YDS/R Yards Per Reception | YAC/G Yards After Catch Per Game | TDS Receiving Touchdowns |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mike Evans – WR | 15 | 117 | 81 | 1,096 | 69.2% | 13.5 | 17.0 | 12 |
Cade Otton – TE | 15 | 89 | 61 | 632 | 68.5% | 10.4 | 22.0 | 4 |
Chris Godwin – WR | 7 | 62 | 50 | 576 | 80.6% | 11.5 | 50.0 | 5 |
Jalen McMillan – WR | 14 | 62 | 39 | 502 | 62.9% | 12.9 | 10.3 | 8 |
Rachaad White – RB | 17 | 59 | 53 | 407 | 89.8% | 7.7 | 30.9 | 6 |
Bucky Irving – RB | 18 | 54 | 49 | 398 | 90.7% | 8.1 | 30.0 | 1 |
Sterling Shepard – WR | 15 | 51 | 32 | 334 | 62.7% | 10.4 | 6.6 | 1 |
Trey Palmer – WR | 16 | 22 | 12 | 172 | 54.5% | 14.3 | 2.6 | 1 |
Ryan Miller – WR | 12 | 20 | 12 | 128 | 60.0% | 10.7 | 4.6 | 2 |
Rakim Jarrett – WR | 11 | 11 | 9 | 124 | 81.8% | 13.8 | 1.6 | 0 |
Payne Durham – TE | 17 | 14 | 11 | 115 | 78.6% | 10.5 | 1.4 | 2 |
Sean Tucker – RB | 18 | 12 | 9 | 109 | 75.0% | 12.1 | 5.8 | 1 |
Devin Culp – TE | 5 | 6 | 5 | 88 | 83.3% | 17.6 | 6.2 | 0 |
Kameron Johnson – WR | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 |
Ko Kieft – TE | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 |
Marquez Callaway – WR | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 |
Will Saints QB Taysom Hill score a touchdown?
Despite talking about Week 18 as being a time to bet on guys with defined roles, I’m slightly pivoting off of that here. Taysom has 4 TDs on the season in his ill-defined role, but this is a good matchup. The Saints aren’t in the playoffs for sure with a win, but they need to beat Atlanta to have a chance. And with that will come every trick in the book.
The Falcons are the best rush defense in the league by EPA, which means that if the Saints want to move the ball on the turf, it’ll need to be with trickeration. Taysom got seven carries for 35 yards in their first matchup this season. That usage and a little bit of Week 18 desperation to not leave any concepts in the playbook means Taysom represents a big value.
2023 Saints TD Scorer Stats
Player | GP Games Played | ATT Rushing Attempts | YDS Rushing Yards | YDS/C Yards Per Carry | YDS/G Rushing Yards Per Game | TDS Rushing Touchdowns |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alvin Kamara – RB | 14 | 228 | 950 | 4.2 | 67.9 | 6 |
Taysom Hill – QB | 8 | 39 | 278 | 7.1 | 34.8 | 6 |
Jamaal Williams – RB | 14 | 48 | 164 | 3.4 | 11.7 | 1 |
Kendre Miller – RB | 6 | 39 | 148 | 3.8 | 24.7 | 1 |
Spencer Rattler – QB | 7 | 18 | 146 | 8.1 | 20.9 | 0 |
Derek Carr – QB | 10 | 17 | 71 | 4.2 | 7.1 | 1 |
Jordan Mims – RB | 11 | 20 | 70 | 3.5 | 6.4 | 0 |
Rashid Shaheed – WR | 6 | 6 | 29 | 4.8 | 4.8 | 0 |
Jake Haener – QB | 8 | 11 | 22 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 0 |
Kevin Austin Jr. – WR | 8 | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | 1.1 | 0 |
Chris Olave – WR | 8 | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | 0.9 | 0 |
Marquez Valdes-Scantling – WR | 14 | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | 0.3 | 0 |
Player | GP Games Played | TGTS Targets | REC Receptions | YDS Receiving Yards | CTP% Catch Percentage | YDS/R Yards Per Reception | YAC/G Yards After Catch Per Game | TDS Receiving Touchdowns |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Juwan Johnson – TE | 17 | 66 | 50 | 548 | 75.8% | 11.0 | 12.5 | 3 |
Alvin Kamara – RB | 14 | 89 | 68 | 543 | 76.4% | 8.0 | 38.7 | 2 |
Foster Moreau – TE | 17 | 43 | 32 | 413 | 74.4% | 12.9 | 9.3 | 5 |
Marquez Valdes-Scantling – WR | 14 | 44 | 19 | 411 | 43.2% | 21.6 | 10.2 | 4 |
Chris Olave – WR | 8 | 44 | 32 | 400 | 72.7% | 12.5 | 15.1 | 1 |
Rashid Shaheed – WR | 6 | 41 | 20 | 349 | 48.8% | 17.5 | 17.7 | 3 |
Cedrick Wilson Jr. – WR | 15 | 27 | 20 | 211 | 74.1% | 10.6 | 5.9 | 1 |
Kevin Austin Jr. – WR | 8 | 22 | 11 | 151 | 50.0% | 13.7 | 4.6 | 0 |
Dante Pettis – WR | 8 | 28 | 12 | 120 | 42.9% | 10.0 | 4.5 | 1 |
Bub Means – WR | 7 | 15 | 9 | 118 | 60.0% | 13.1 | 2.9 | 1 |
Mason Tipton – WR | 11 | 26 | 14 | 99 | 53.8% | 7.1 | 2.5 | 0 |
Jordan Mims – RB | 11 | 18 | 12 | 71 | 66.7% | 5.9 | 7.3 | 0 |
Jamaal Williams – RB | 14 | 11 | 9 | 57 | 81.8% | 6.3 | 3.8 | 0 |
Kendre Miller – RB | 6 | 8 | 5 | 33 | 62.5% | 6.6 | 5.5 | 0 |
Dallin Holker – TE | 12 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 75.0% | 7.0 | 1.1 | 0 |
Will the Bengals’ defense or special teams score a TD?
This is the one game where I’m willing to break with the motivation policy, but there’s a reason for it. Jeff Driskel was dreadful in 2019 and 2020 when he came in as a spot starter in both Detroit and Denver. Throwing 6 INTs in 4 starts across the two seasons, he was reckless with the ball. On Houston last year, he managed to avoid throwing a pick, but betting on a Driskel hospital ball or two seems plausible.
The Browns are sitting as touchdown underdogs at this point, which means they should have to pass a lot in this game. Asking Driskel to survive a lot of drop backs without making some mistakes is likely too much to ask. And if one of those ends up in the back of his own endzone, well, nobody will be that surprised.
Best of luck betting Week 18 anytime touchdown odds!
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