Week 14 NFL Betting: Upset Predictions For Longshot Parlays & Pick ‘Em Pools

,
Written By Eli Hershkovich | Last Updated
NFL Betting

Underdogs, like the Eagles, will be an enticing option among NFL Week 14 odds. Then again, determining the most valuable ones across NFL betting sites is a tricky task. That’s why TheLines is here to help. Here are three plus-money teams to monitor if you typically use some pizza money on moneyline parlays or same-game parlays. This three-team parlay isn’t a wager of mine. You can find those NFL best bets later in the week.

Click on any odds to place a wager at the best sports betting sites. The odds listed below are the best available in your state.

Detroit Lions at Chicago bears

During Week 13, the Lions’ odds cashed at New Orleans, tying them for the third-most profitable against-the-spread (ATS) record across the NFL. However, Detroit’s pass defense continues to get carved up, allowing the third-highest dropback success rate. For context, a play is deemed successful if it tallies at least 50% of the requisite yards on first down, 70% on second down, or 100% on third or fourth down.

Bears quarterback Justin Fields already proved he could take advantage in Week 11, notching the 11th-highest EPA per dropback among qualified signal callers. Moreover, Fields’ counterpart Jared Goff will face Chicago’s improved defense and poor weather conditions — his biggest kryptonite. Not only is snow and rain in the forecast, but 21 mph wind is also expected.

The best Bears odds to win outright are currently .

STATS
Lions logo Lions DET
Bears logo Bears CHI
Offense Ranking OFF RNK N/A N/A
Defense Ranking DEF RNK N/A N/A
Offense Net Yards Per Game OFF NET YPG
Defense Net Yards Per Game DEF NET YPG
Passing Yards Per Game PASS YPG
Turnovers Committed Per Game TOC PG

Indianapolis Colts at Cincinnati Bengals

Cincinnati was initially set at plus-money to emerge victorious, but the best Bengals odds in that regard are after upsetting the Jaguars on Monday night. Although the value in this market has diminished slightly, the Colts continue to survive by the skin of their teeth, making the home underdog an intriguing wager.

Indianapolis has five one-possession wins, including two in overtime. That’s depicted in its slim point differential (+4). Granted, the Colts run defense will see a boost with nose tackle Grover Stewart back from his PED suspension. Nevertheless, Cincinnati’s offensive line still grades above league average on the ground, and Jake Browning‘s heroics against Jacksonville should keep Indy from loading the box on an every-down basis.

  • Editor’s Note: The Bengals reopened as underdogs earlier in the week.
STATS
Colts logo Colts IND
Bengals logo Bengals CIN
Offense Ranking OFF RNK N/A N/A
Defense Ranking DEF RNK N/A N/A
Offense Net Yards Per Game OFF NET YPG
Defense Net Yards Per Game DEF NET YPG
Passing Yards Per Game PASS YPG
Turnovers Committed Per Game TOC PG

buffalo bills at Kansas City Chiefs

Even though two-time NFL MVP Patrick Mahomes has accrued the fifth-most total EPA among qualified QBs, the Chiefs’ passing attack isn’t nearly as explosive as it once was. For reference, rookie wideout Rashee Rice tallied an average depth of target (aDOT) of 1.0 yards against the Packers in Week 13. Hence, the market moving against Kansas City, which was initially a field-goal favorite, isn’t surprising.

Meanwhile, the Bills are coming off the bye week, potentially needing to win out to sneak into the playoffs. The Chiefs’ pass rush is their biggest strength defensively, but Buffalo boasts the ninth-best pass-block win rate. Expect a big effort from Josh Allen in efforts to cash the Bills’ odds on the moneyline. The best price available is .

STATS
Bills logo Bills BUF
Chiefs logo Chiefs KC
Offense Ranking OFF RNK N/A N/A
Defense Ranking DEF RNK N/A N/A
Offense Net Yards Per Game OFF NET YPG
Defense Net Yards Per Game DEF NET YPG
Passing Yards Per Game PASS YPG
Turnovers Committed Per Game TOC PG

FREE NFL Pick’em Contest! Pick 1st Touchdown scorers all weekend long and compete for $150 in prizes.

NFL betting promos

If you’re in a state with legal sports wagering, TheLines has you covered with the best sportsbook promo codes. Just click on any of the following promos and bonus codes to get started.

Rank
Sportsbooks
Bonus
Features
Play
1
UP TO $1,000
In Bonus Bets
First Bet Safety Net up to $1,000, or Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets
Sign Up, Deposit and Play Today in VA!
Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+
Use Bonus Code: THELINESVA
2
up to $1,500
In Bonus Bets
Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets if Your First Bet Doesn’t Win*
*Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Add’l terms
21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Use Bonus Code: THELINES
3
$1,000 FIRST BET
On Caesars
Up to $1,000 Back as a Bonus Bet if Your Bet Loses
Stream NFL Games In-App for Free
21+ Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Use Promo Code: THELINES1000
4
Bet $5
Get $200
If Your Bet Wins
Bet $5 Get $200 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins
Available on Desktop, Android & iOS
To Claim: Click Play Now
5
Up to $100
Bonus Bet
Up to $100 Back if Your First Bet Doesn’t Win
Get Your Bets Boosted
To Claim: Click Play Now
6
$500 BONUS
2nd Chance Bet
Up To $500 in Bet Credits
ONLY 1x Play Through!
Use Exclusive Bonus Code: LINESRIV

21+ at most sportsbooks; gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER

RELATED ARTICLES