Week 13 College Football Best Bets: Michigan To Cover Vs. OSU For First Time Since ’17?

Written By Eli Hershkovich on November 26, 2021

Your Thanksgiving weekend plans are likely centered around the NFL, but there are some critical collegiate matchups too. No. 2 Ohio State faces No. 5 Michigan in “The Game” to kick off the slate before No. 7 Oklahoma State squares off against No. 10 Oklahoma. Let’s dissect my Week 13 college football best bets for these games.

You’ll also find the betting perspective of Motoi Pearson, WynnBET Sportsbook’s senior trader, including a game he’s targeting Friday. You can click on the spreads mentioned below to bet now.

Week 13 College Football Best Bets

Ohio State Buckeyes at Michigan Wolverines

Not only is the winner heading to the Big Ten championship game, but Michigan also likely needs to win out to punch a ticket to the College Football Playoff. Cincinnati currently owns the fourth spot in the rankings.

As of Friday, at PointsBet Sportsbook, 87% of the spread tickets and 94% of the spread handle are backing Ryan Day’s team.

This contest will be decided by the Wolverines’ defense. C.J. Stroud (Heisman favorite at -200) & Co. boast the No. 1 passing success rate (SR) across Division I. But Jim Harbaugh’s unit is allowing the third-lowest SR in that department.

  • SR showcases whether a play is successful if a team gains:
    • 50 percent of the yards needed to move the chains on first down
    • 70 percent of yards to gain on second down
    • 100 percent of yards to gain on third or fourth down

Michigan consistently puts heat on the opposing quarterback, as it ranks No. 1 among power-five programs in pressure rate without blitzing. Stroud has struggled while under pressure in his freshman campaign, particularly at Nebraska with two interceptions and a fumble.

On the other side of the ball, Wolverines signal caller Cade McNamara is in position to expose a defense that ranks outside the top 50 in opponents’ passing SR. Ohio State is the smallest favorite of its 2021 season, but it’s warranted here.

Behind The Counter

“Our world opener didn’t last too long at Ohio State -4.5, being bet up incrementally to around -6 before the Week 12 kickoff,” Pearson said. “After that blowout, it shot up to -8, which is where we’ll probably close with the ridiculous amount of money on OSU. The respect for Michigan is there, but it’s in such a tough position to be in when you know the avalanche of cash is coming in on the Buckeyes.”

Eli’s Week 13 College Football Best Bets: Michigan +8 (DraftKings Sportsbook — placed at 3pm ET on Thursday, Nov. 25; bet down to +7.5)
Best Available Line: Michigan

Oklahoma Sooners at Oklahoma State Cowboys

Similar to Ohio State-Michigan, 68% of the spread tickets and 76% of the spread handle are on the favorite.

I’ll likely be staying away from the side in this game, as Oklahoma State is correctly priced because of its top-ranked defensive SR overall. But pounce if the Cowboys are priced at a pick’em or better in-game.

Behind The Counter

“We opened pick’em and didn’t see much action early as the world opener,” Pearson said. “We just had to wait to see how Oklahoma State dismantled another opponent before we saw steam on Cowboys.

“It’ll be interesting to see Sooners in this position, as most of the money we’ve taken on Cowboys was us just walking up the number. But since we’ve gotten to -4, it has been rather quiet. I’ll be looking to if there’s any buy-back before kick.”

Eli’s Week 13 College Football Best Bets: Pass pregame, target Oklahoma State live
Best Available Line: Oklahoma State

Pearson’s Week 13 College Football Best Bets

“New Mexico seems like it’s packed it in — besides its miraculous win against Wyoming,” Pearson said. “I look for Utah State to take care of business after its slip up versus those same Cowboys and come out on top here in dominate fashion.”

The Pick: Utah State -15.5
Best Available Line: Utah State

More College Football Week 13 Odds

Eli Hershkovich Avatar
Written by
Eli Hershkovich

Eli Hershkovich is a lead sports betting writer with TheLines and Catena Media, formerly with Audacy and The Action Network. His goal is to provide you with data and information to lead you to winning bets. Eli is an avid college basketball gambler — among many other sports — and still hasn't forgiven Virginia for ruining his 2018-2019 Texas Tech futures.

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