Warriors vs Pacers: NBA Betting Lines, Odds and Trends – January 12, 2021

Posted By Staff on January 12, 2021

The Golden State Warriors (6-4) take the court against the Indiana Pacers (6-4) as only 3-point favorites on Tuesday, January 12, 2021 at 10:30 PM ET on NBA TV. The matchup’s over/under is set at 228.

The betting insights in this article reflect odds data from DraftKings Sportsbook as of January 12, 2021, 4:07 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Warriors vs Pacers Betting Odds

Warriors vs Pacers Props

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Injury Report as of January 12

Warriors:
Alen Smailagic: Out (Knee),
Klay Thompson: Out For Season (Right Achilles),
Marquese Chriss: Out For Season (Leg)

Pacers:
Jalen Lecque: Day To Day (Left Ankle),
T.J. McConnell: Day To Day (Personal),
Jeremy Lamb: Out (Knee),
T.J. Warren: Out (Foot),
Goga Bitadze: Out (Right ankle),
Brian Bowen II: Day To Day (Groin)

Warriors and Pacers Records ATS

  • Golden State’s against the spread record this season is an even 5-5.
  • The Warriors have an even record against the spread when favored by at least 3 points, going 1-1 this season.
  • In 40% of its games this season (4/10), Golden State and its opponents have outscored the set over/under.
  • Indiana has outperformed the spread so far this season with a record of 6-4.
  • As at least a 3-point underdog, the Pacers routinely meet expectations with a 4-3 record against the spread.
  • 40% of Indiana’s 10 games this season have fell below the over/under.

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Head to Head

In their last meeting, the Pacers knocked off the Warriors 129-118. D’Angelo Russell led the Warriors with 37 points, and TJ Warren paced the Pacers with 33. The Pacers covered the spread as 6.5-point favorites, and the teams put up a total of 247 total points to hit the over on the 214.5-point over/under.

Date Favorite Home Team Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Game Type Result
1/24/2020 Pacers Warriors -6.5 214.5 -277 223 Regular Season 129-118 IND
3/21/2019 Warriors Regular Season 112-89 GS
1/28/2019 Pacers Regular Season 132-100 GS
4/5/2018 Pacers Regular Season 126-106 IND
3/27/2018 Warriors Regular Season 92-81 IND
12/5/2016 Warriors Regular Season 142-106 GS
11/21/2016 Pacers Regular Season 120-83 GS
1/22/2016 Warriors Regular Season 122-110 GS
12/8/2015 Pacers Regular Season 131-123 GS
2/22/2015 Pacers Regular Season 104-98 IND


Scoring Trends

  • Golden State’s games this year have resulted in a higher total score than Tuesday’s matchup total (228 points) in 24 out of 10 opportunities (240% of matchups).
  • Five Indiana games this year (50% of its matchups) finished with a final total greater than Tuesday’s over/under of 228 points.
  • The Warriors have seen a 230.3 average over/under in their games this season, 2.3 points more than the over/under in this contest.
  • The over/under for this game is 0.7 points more than the average over/under in Pacers’ games this season (227.3 points).
  • The average implied total for the Warriors this season is 118.9 points, 2.9 more points than their implied total of 116 points in Tuesday’s game.
  • Golden State has outscored this matchup’s implied point total (116) 15 times.
  • The Pacers’ average implied point total on the season (112.5 points) is 0.5 points lower than their implied total in this matchup (113 points).
  • Indiana has scored more than 113 points in seven games this season.
  • The Warriors are the NBA’s 11th-highest scoring team (113.7 PPG), while the Pacers allow their opponents the 18th-fewest points per game (111.6) in the league.
  • The Warriors have been out-scored by 29 points this season (2.9 points per game on average), while the Pacers have put up 41 more points than their opponents on the year (4.1 per game).

Warriors Leaders

  • Stephen Curry leads the Warriors in scoring (28.6 points per game) and assisting (6.7 assists per game).
  • Curry’s assists prop total for the game is set at 6.5 assists, 0.2 assists less than his season average of 6.7.
  • Golden State is led in rebounds by James Wiseman’s 6.0 per game.
  • Wiseman’s PRA prop total for the contest is set at 14.5, 2.7 lower than his season average of 17.2.
  • Curry is the top three-point shooter for the Warriors, hitting 4.2 per game.
  • Curry’s three pointers made prop over/under for the game is set at 4.5, 0.3 shots greater than his season average of 4.2.
  • Draymond Green leads the team with 1.3 steals per game. Wiseman collects 1.5 blocks a game to pace Golden State.
  • Wiseman’s blocks prop total for the contest is set at 1.5, equal to his season average of 1.5.

Pacers Leaders

  • The Pacers go-to guy, Malcolm Brogdon, leads the team in both scoring (23.5 points per game) and assists (7.4 assists per game).
  • Brogdon’s points prop total for the contest is set at 21.5, 2.0 points lower than his season average of 23.5.
  • When it comes to rebounds, Domantas Sabonis is the Indiana leader with 12.4 per game.
  • Sabonis’ rebounding prop total for the matchup is posted at 13.5 boards, 1.1 rebounds higher than his season average of 12.4.
  • Brogdon is tops from three-point range for the Pacers, knocking down 3.2 threes per game.
  • Brogdon’s three pointers made prop total for the contest is set at 2.5, 0.7 shots less than his season average of 3.2.
  • Indiana’s Victor Oladipo has the top spot on the team’s steals leaderboard with 1.8 per game and Myles Turner is first in blocks with 4.0 per game.
  • Turner’s blocks prop over/under for the game is set at 2.5, 1.5 blocks lower than his season average of 4.0.

Predictions

The model line is much more favorable to the Pacers compared to the DraftKings line, a 3.4 point difference, and has them favored to win Tuesday’s game outright. Put your money on the Pacers.

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