Vikings vs. Packers: NFL Betting Preview – September 13, 2020

Written By Staff on September 11, 2020
Packers Vikings odds Week 1

The Minnesota Vikings (0-0) host the Green Bay Packers (0-0) on Sunday, September 13 in a rivalry matchup at U.S. Bank Stadium. Minnesota is favored by 2.5 points and the contest has a point total of 46.

The betting insights in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings Sportsbook as of September 9, 2020, 8:12 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings.

Vikings vs. Packers odds

Total Facts

  • Vikings games went over 46 points on eight occasions last season (50% of matchups).
  • In four games last season (25%), the Packers combined with their opponents to go over 46 points.
  • The Vikings and Packers combined to average 48.9 points per contest last season, which is 2.9 more than the total for this game.
  • These teams surrendered a combined 38.5 points per game a season ago, 7.5 fewer points than this over/under.
  • The over/under for this game is 1.6 more than the average points total for Vikings games a year ago (44.4).
  • The over/under for this game is 2.9 points higher than the average scoring total for Packers games last season (43.1).

Vikings Betting Insights

  • Minnesota had an 10-8 record against the spread (ATS) last year.
  • The Vikings had an ATS record of 5-4 when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites last season.
  • Minnesota’s games went over the point total in nine out of 18 opportunities last season (50%).

Packers Betting Insights

  • Green Bay covered the spread in 11 out of 18 games last year.
  • The Packers held a 6-5 ATS record against a spread of +2.5 or greater last year.
  • Green Bay only hit the over in 44.4% of games last year (8-10).
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Vikings vs Packers: Last Five Meetings

  • In the past five meetings, Minnesota holds a 3-2 record against Green Bay.
  • The Packers’ went 2-0 ATS against the Vikings in 2019.
  • Minnesota has outpaced Green Bay 95 points to 90 in the past five games.

When the Vikings Have the Ball

  • The Vikings averaged 5.8 more points last season (25.4) than the Packers allowed (19.6).
  • Minnesota was 8-1 overall and 6-2 ATS when they scored at least 25.4 points last season.
  • When the Green Bay defense allowed 19.6 points or fewer last year, the Packers pieced together an 8-0 overall record and a 5-1 record ATS.
  • The total number of yards the Vikings offense put up and the Packers defense gave up per game last season are nearly identical: 353.4 to 353.5.
  • Minnesota’s record last season when they hit their season average in total yards: 7-2 overall and 6-2 ATS.
  • When the Green Bay defense allowed less than their season average for total yards last season they were 4-5 ATS and 8-2 overall.
  • The Packers allowed opposing rushing attacks to average 120.1 yards per game in 2019, compared to the 133.3 yards the Vikings offense averaged on the ground per contest.
  • In games where Minnesota reached their average in rushing yards last season, the Vikings were 7-2 overall and 6-1 ATS.
  • Green Bay was 5-2 ATS and 7-1 overall in games where their opponents rushed for fewer than 120.1 yards.
  • The Packers forced 1.6 turnovers per game whereas the Vikings offense committed 1.2 per game.
  • In games where they turned the football over 1.2 times or fewer last season, Minnesota was 8-2 overall and 6-3 ATS.
  • When they forced more than 1.6 turnovers in a game last season, Green Bay was 6-0 ATS and 7-0 overall.

When the Packers Have the Ball

  • The Packers racked up 23.5 points per game last year– 4.6 more than the Vikings gave up per outing (18.9).
  • Green Bay finished 6-1 ATS and 6-1 overall a season ago when the team recorded at least 23.5 points.
  • Minnesota had a 6-2 record ATS and an 8-1 record overall in games when they gave up 25.4 points or less last season.
  • In 2019, the Packers racked up 3.9 more yards per game (345.5), than the Vikings gave up per outing (341.6).
  • When Minnesota held its opponents to 341.6 yards or less last year, they had a 4-2 record ATS and a 4-3 record overall.
  • The Packers rushed for 112.2 yards per game last season– 4.2 more yards per game than the 108 the Vikings allowed per contest.
  • When Green Bay ran for at least 112.2 yards last year, they had a 4-4 ATS record and an 8-1 overall record.
  • Last season, Minnesota finished 7-2 ATS and 9-1 overall when holding opponents to 108 yards or less on the ground.
  • Last year, the Packers turned the ball over only 0.8 times per game– 1.1 fewer turnovers per game than the 1.9 the Vikings forced on average.
  • In games in 2019, Green Bay had a 7-1 record ATS and an 8-1 record overall when it turned the ball 0.8 or fewer times.
  • When it forced 1.9 or more turnovers last season, Minnesota had a 3-3 record ATS and a 5-3 record overall.

Vikings Players to Watch

  • Last year, Kirk Cousins recorded 3,602 passing yards (240.1 yards per game) while going 307-for-444 (69.1% completion percentage) and throwing 26 touchdowns and six interceptions in 15 games.
  • Dalvin Cook carried the ball 250 times for 1,135 rushing yards a season ago (81.1 yards per game) and scored 13 touchdowns in 14 games. He also caught 53 passes for 519 yards (37.1 receiving yards per game).
  • In 2019, Alexander Mattison ran for 462 yards on 100 carries (35.5 ypg), with one rushing touchdown over the course of 13 games.
  • Adam Thielen had 418 yards on 30 grabs with six touchdowns. He was targeted 48 times and averaged 41.8 receiving yards per game over 10 matchups last year.
  • Kyle Rudolph caught 39 passes on 49 targets for 367 yards and six touchdowns, averaging 22.9 yards per game in 2019.
  • Last season, Yannick Ngakoue registered eight sacks, 13 TFL, 41 tackles, and one interception in 15 games with the Jaguars.
  • Eric Kendricks collected 110 tackles, four TFL, and 0.5 sacks in 15 games last season.
  • Last season, Anthony Harris hauled in six interceptions and added 60 tackles, one TFL, and defended 11 passes in 14 games.

Packers Players to Watch

  • Aaron Rodgers threw for 4,002 yards (250.1 yards per game), 26 touchdowns and four interceptions last year while completing 62% of his passes (353-of-569). He also carried the ball 46 times for 183 yards and one touchdown, averaging 11.4 yards per game.
  • Aaron Jones rushed for 1,084 yards on 236 attempts (67.8 yards per game) while scoring a league-leading 16 touchdowns. He also averaged 29.6 receiving yards per game, grabbing 49 passes for 474 yards and three touchdowns.
  • Jamaal Williams added 460 rushing yards on 107 carries (32.9 yards per game), with one touchdown on the ground over the course of 14 games in 2019. He also caught 39 passes for 253 (18.1 yards per game) and five touchdowns.
  • Allen Lazard had 35 receptions for 477 yards and three touchdowns last year. He was targeted 52 times and averaged 29.8 receiving yards per game.
  • Last season, Za’Darius Smith collected 13.5 sacks, 17 TFL and 57 tackles in 16 games.
  • Adrian Amos totaled 81 tackles, four TFL, one sack, and two interceptions last year.
  • Kevin King intercepted five passes and tacked on 66 tackles, three TFL, one sack, and 15 passes defended in 15 games last season.
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