Vikings vs. Lions: Week 17 NFL Betting Preview – January 3, 2021

Posted By Staff on December 29, 2020

The Minnesota Vikings (6-9) take a three-game losing streak into a matchup with the Detroit Lions (5-10) on Sunday, January 3, 2021 at Ford Field. Minnesota is favored by  in the contest and the over/under is set at .

The betting insights in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of December 29, 2020, 2:41 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Vikings vs Lions Betting Odds

Vikings vs Lions Props

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Betting the Total (Over/Under)

  • Minnesota and its opponents have combined to score more than 54.5 in seven games (46.7% of matchups).
  • In eight (53.3%) games this season, the Lions have combined with their opponents to go over 54.5 points.
  • This year’s combined scoring average for these two teams (49 points per game) is 5.5 fewer than the total for this contest.
  • These two teams combine to surrender 61.4 points per game, which is 6.9 greater than the total for this matchup.
  • The points total average for Vikings games this season is 55.5, one point higher than the over/under for this matchup.
  • The average total for Lions games is 54.9 points, 0.4 more than this game’s over/under.
  • The Vikings are the 13th-highest scoring team in the league this year. The Lions have scored the 24th-most points.
  • Detroit has surrendered the 32nd-fewest points in NFL play this season, while Minnesota has given up the 28th-fewest.

Vikings Betting Insights

  • Minnesota has compiled a losing 6-9 record against the spread this season.
  • The Vikings are just 0-2 ATS when playing as at least seven-point favorites.
  • Minnesota’s games have hit the over in 10 out of 15 outings this season (66.7%).

Lions Betting Insights

  • 9 Detroit’s 15 games this year have gone over the point total (60% of its opportunities).
  • Detroit has put together a losing 6-9 record against the spread this season.

Vikings vs Lions: Head to Head

Vikings vs Lions: Last 3 Meetings
Date Favorite Home Team Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Yards Result
11/8/2020 Vikings Vikings -3.00 51.50 -162 +143 487-421 MIN 34-20 MIN
12/8/2019 Vikings Vikings -12 44 -530 +440 354-231 MIN 20-7 MIN
10/20/2019 Vikings Lions -2.5 43 -143 +128 503-433 MIN 42-30 MIN

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When the Vikings Have the Ball

  • The Vikings have averaged 5.9 fewer points per game this season (26.2) than the Lions have allowed (32.1).
  • When they meet or outpace their scoring average this season, Minnesota is 5-5 and 4-6 against the spread.
  • When the Detroit defense allows 32.1 points or fewer this year, the Lions have put together a 5-3 overall record and a 6-2 record against the spread.
  • The Lions defense has surrendered an average of 413.9 yards per game, 28.3 yards more than the 385.6 the Vikings offense has averaged per contest.
  • On average, the Vikings pick up 6.1 yards per play and the Lions give up 6.2.
  • In contests where the Minnesota offense totals at least their average yard output this season, they are 4-4 against the spread and 4-4 overall.
  • When the Detroit defense allows less than their season average for total yards this season they are 5-5 against the spread and 4-6 overall.
  • The Lions defense has given up an average of 135.5 yards per game to opposing running games. That total is about the same as the rushing output per contest for the Vikings (143.9).
  • When Minnesota rushers gain at least a combined 143.9 yards this season, they are 4-4 overall and 5-3 against the spread.
  • This season, when the Detroit defense allows opponents to pick up less than 135.5 yards on the ground, they are 5-4 against the spread and 4-5 overall.
  • The Vikings have turned the ball over 1.5 times per game this season, while the Lions have averaged 0.8 takeaways per contest.
  • In games where they turn the football over 1.5 times or fewer this season, Minnesota is 3-4 overall and 3-4 against the spread.
  • Detroit is 5-3 against the spread and 5-3 overall this season when they force at least 0.8 turnovers in a game.

When the Lions Have the Ball

  • The Lions rack up 6.5 fewer points per game (22.8) than the Vikings surrender (29.3).
  • When Detroit scores at least 22.8 points, it is 6-4 against the spread and 5-5 overall.
  • Minnesota has a 4-6 record against the spread and a 5-5 record overall in games when it allows opponents to score 26.2 points or less.
  • The Lions rack up 46 fewer yards per game (345.7), than the Vikings allow per matchup (391.7). The Lions average 5.5 yards per play, while the Vikings allow 6 per play.
  • In games Minnesota holds its opponents to 391.7 or fewer yards, it has a 3-5 record ATS and a 4-4 record overall.
  • The Lions rush for 91.3 yards per game, 43.5 fewer per game than the 134.8 the Vikings allow per outing.
  • When Detroit runs for at least 91.3 yards, it recorded a 2-4 ATS record and a 2-4 overall record.
  • Minnesota is 6-4 against the spread and 6-4 overall when holding opponents to 134.8 rushing yards or less.
  • This year, the Lions turn the ball over 1.3 times per game, equal to the 1.3 the Vikings force on average.
  • Detroit is 6-4 against the spread and 5-5 overall when it turns the ball over 1.3 or fewer times.
  • When it forces 1.3 or more turnovers, Minnesota has a 2-2 record against the spread and a 3-1 record overall.

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Vikings Players to Watch

  • Kirk Cousins has thrown for 3,860 yards while completing 67.4% of his passes (321-of-476), with 32 touchdowns and 13 interceptions (257.3 yards per game). He’s also carried the ball 28 times for 155 yards, averaging 10.3 yards per game.
  • Dalvin Cook has ran for a team-leading 1,557 yards on 312 attempts (111.2 yards per game) while scoring 16 touchdowns in 14 games. He also averages 25.8 receiving yards per game, grabbing 44 passes for 361 yards and one touchdown.
  • This season, Justin Jefferson has 79 catches (on 113 targets) to lead the team with 1,267 yards (84.5 per game) while scoring seven touchdowns.
  • Adam Thielen’s statline this year shows 70 grabs for 868 yards and 14 touchdowns. He puts up 57.9 receiving yards per game and has been targeted 103 times.
  • Ifeadi Odenigbo has 3.5 sacks to lead the team, and has also collected three TFL and 36 tackles.
  • Eric Wilson has totaled 110 tackles, six TFL, 2.5 sacks, and three interceptions this year.
  • Harrison Smith has a team-high four interceptions and has tacked on 80 tackles, two TFL, 0.5 sacks, and nine passes defended.

Lions Players to Watch

  • This year, Matthew Stafford has put up 3,791 passing yards (252.7 yards per game) while going 319-for-497 (64.2% completion percentage) and throwing 23 touchdowns and nine interceptions.
  • Adrian Peterson has racked up a team-high 541 rushing yards (36.1 yards per game) and scored six touchdowns.
  • D’Andre Swift leads the team with 467 rushing yards on 102 carries (38.9 yards per game), with seven touchdowns on the ground over the course of 12 games. He also has 43 catches for 341 yards (28.4 per game) and two touchdowns.
  • This season, Marvin Jones Jr. has 68 catches (on 104 targets) to lead the team with 798 yards (53.2 per game) while scoring seven touchdowns.
  • T.J. Hockenson’s statline this year shows 64 catches for 698 yards and six touchdowns. He puts up 46.5 receiving yards per game and has been targeted 98 times.
  • Danny Amendola has totaled 596 yards on 45 passes, averaging 45.8 yards per game on 67 targets in 13 contests.
  • Romeo Okwara has registered a team-leading nine sacks, while adding 10 TFL and 43 tackles.
  • Tracy Walker has collected 70 tackles and four TFL to lead the team in tackles this season.
  • Duron Harmon has a team-high two interceptions and has tacked on 60 tackles and four passes defended.

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