Well, that was entertaining.
Democrats took the stage in Las Vegas on Wednesday night for yet another debate. And it was awesome.
The debate was Michael Bloomberg’s first foray into the fracas. He was repeatedly dog-walked by Elizabeth Warren. By the end, he was bruised and battered (The New York Post front page has a beat-up image of Bloomberg with the headline “Black and Bloom.”).
However, this debate didn’t signal the beginning of the end for Bloomberg. He’s still the third favorite in 2020 presidential election odds for a reason: He’s going to spend billions of dollars to get elected.
Bernie Sanders left the debate stage relatively unscathed. Sanders suffered only an occasional zinger (the best delivered by Bloomberg, who said of Sanders’ poetic waxing of democratic socialism, “I can’t think of a better way to elect Donald Trump than for people to listen to this conversation”). Nothing notable happened to displace the senator from New Hampshire as the front-runner.
One Las Vegas oddsmaker agrees. Sanders is a heavy odds-on favorite to win the upcoming Nevada caucus.
Odds to win 2020 Democrat Nevada caucus
Jimmy Vaccaro, at the South Point sportsbook, has released odds (for entertainment purposes only) on the 2020 Nevada caucus. They are:
- Bernie Sanders -350
- Joe Biden +200
- Elizabeth Warren +1200
- Pete Buttigieg +2000
- Amy Klobuchar +2000
- Tom Steyer +10,000
Sanders listed as the favorite is no surprise. Joe Biden priced as the second favorite, though, is unexpected. The former Veep looked lost on the debate stage yet again. The only other surprise is that Tom Steyer is listed at all.
Vegas presidential election odds differ from overseas
While Sanders is priced as the favorite to win the caucus, he actually trails Bloomberg in South Point’s hypothetical odds to win the presidency.
- Donald Trump +100
- Michael Bloomberg +150
- Joe Biden +150
- Bernie Sanders +200
- Pete Buttigieg +800
- Elizabeth Warren +1000
- Amy Klobuchar +5000
- Tom Steyer +5000
- Field (all others include Hillary Clinton and Michelle Obama) +200
Bloomberg listed ahead of Sanders is justifiable to a degree. Again, he’s spending billions. And if Americans have shown anything over the past four years, it’s that they have no problem with electing an old white man who sexually harasses women.
Listing Biden ahead of Sanders, though, almost invalidates the whole market. Biden couldn’t locate his zipper if you GPS guided his hand to it.
Regardless, none of the above matters. If the debate in Nevada showcased anything, it’s that Donald Trump is likely getting re-elected.