A Sweet 16 NCAA Tournament matchup between the No. 6 USC Trojans (22-7) and No. 7 Oregon Ducks (20-6) will determine one of the squads heading to the West Region bracket final when it tips off on Sunday at Bankers Life Fieldhouse, tipping off at 9:45 PM ET, airing on TBS. Bookmakers think USC will claim victory in this one, listing the Trojans as favorites.
The betting insights in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of March 23, 2021, 2:10 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Betting Odds
USC vs. Oregon Game Matchup
It’s a Pac-12 battle for a spot in the Elite 8 between two teams playing their best basketball at the right time. Oregon steamrolled two-seed Iowa by 15 points, and USC confounded three-seed Kansas by 34.
These conference rivals met only once during the regular season in Los Angeles with USC getting the win 72-58. The Trojans have a significant size advantage over the Ducks and used it to out-rebound them by 14 in the first meeting. Tahj Eaddy had a field day for USC with 24 points on 6-of-11 shooting from beyond the arc.
Inside, seven-footer Evan Mobly is a problem for opponents, averaging almost 20 points and more than 10 boards in four postseason games, including the PAC-12 tournament. That could again be an issue for Oregon, who also struggled to contain Luka Garza in the second round despite winning the game. Garza finished with 36 points and nine rebounds.
One path to another upset for Oregon could be protecting the ball and preserving more possessions than USC. The Ducks rank top 70 in turnover percentage; whereas, the Trojans rank 280th in forced turnover percentage. USC also only shoots 64.3 percent from the free-throw line, ranking outside the top 300 in Division I.
Oregon could also advance by staying red hot from beyond the arc. Led by Chris Duarte’s 43-percent shooting from outside, the Ducks boast five starters that can all stroke it. Each starter shoots at least 36 percent from three. As a team, Oregon ranks 15th in three-point percentage, with USC just 160th in three-point field goal defense. The Ducks shot 44 percent from three in their second-round win over Iowa.
USC Betting Information
- The Trojans have covered the spread more often than not this season, compiling a record ATS of 17-11-1.
- When favored by at least 1.5 points, the Trojans are 15-10 against the spread this season.
- USC and its opponents have hit the over in 15 of 29 games this season (51.7%).
- The Trojans took down Drake 72-56 and covered the spread as 7.5-point favorites, while going under the 134 point total in their last outing on Saturday. Evan Mobley scored a team-high 17 points in the victory.
Against the Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.
USC Players to Watch
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Mobley | 31 | 16.5 | 8.8 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 3.0 | 0.4 |
| Tahj Eaddy | 31 | 13.5 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 2.0 |
| Drew Peterson | 31 | 9.8 | 5.0 | 2.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.0 |
| Isaiah Mobley | 30 | 9.5 | 7.3 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Isaiah White | 30 | 7.3 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.7 |
Oregon Betting Information
- Oregon has regularly covered the spread this season with a record ATS of 15-11.
- The Ducks achieve a 13-8 record against the spread this season when they play as at least a 1.5-point underdog.
- 17 of the Ducks 26 games (65.4%) this season have been over the over/under.
- The Ducks took down Iowa 95-80 and covered the spread as 4.5-point underdogs, while hitting the over on the 150 point total on Monday in their most recent game. Chris Duarte put up a team-high 23 points to lead them to the victory.
Against the Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.
Oregon Players to Watch
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Duarte | 25 | 17.0 | 4.6 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 2.4 |
| Eugene Omoruyi | 27 | 16.7 | 5.2 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| LJ Figueroa | 25 | 12.6 | 6.2 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 1.8 |
| Will Richardson | 15 | 11.7 | 3.5 | 3.9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6 |
| Eric Williams Jr. | 23 | 10.3 | 6.0 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.3 |
Total Facts
- USC’s games this year have resulted in a higher total score than Sunday’s matchup point total (139 points) in 43.3% of opportunities (13 out of 30 matchups).
- In 66.7% of Oregon’s games this season (18 of 27), the total points scored was more than Sunday’s 139-point over/under.
- Together, the two teams combine for 149.8 points per game, 10.8 points more than the over/under of 139 for this game.
- The 132.7 points per game these two teams allow their opponents to score on average this season are 6.3 fewer than the 139 total in this contest.
- This season, the average total for Trojans games is 139.5 points, 0.5 more than the over/under of 139 points for this contest.
- Ducks games have a total points bet of 143 points this season, four points more than the over/under for this contest.
Head to Head
| Date | Favorite | Home Team | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Game Type | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/22/2021 | USC | USC | -3.5 | 140 | -173 | +143 | Regular Season | 72-58 USC |
| 1/23/2020 | Oregon | Oregon | -9 | 139.5 | -492 | +360 | Regular Season | 79-70 OREGN |
| 2/21/2019 | N/A | USC | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | Regular Season | 66-49 USC |
| 1/13/2019 | N/A | Oregon | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | Regular Season | 81-60 OREGN |
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