U.S. Open Odds: Final Round PGA TOUR Golf Bets
The U.S. Open is an annual Father’s Day tradition and official welcoming to Summer every year on the golf schedule. As the third major of the year, the U.S. Open is often the toughest major championship in relation to scoring, and it also tends to be the toughest mental test for a player to survive four rounds on the USGA setup. Things have been a bit different this year as the USGA picked Los Angeles Country Club to host the event for the first time. With limited space for crowds and a bit easier of a course design, it hasn’t been a standard U.S. Open. But the U.S. Open odds board still shows a stacked leaderboard for the final round on Sunday.
Tournament Recap Through First Three Rounds
The U.S. Open got off to a staggering start on Thursday morning when Rickie Fowler and Xander Schauffele took a quick liking to Los Angeles Country Club. Fowler fired a 62 to set a U.S. Open record that stood on its own for only about 15 minutes as Schauffele joined him on the same green to share the lead at 8 under. It led to record-setting scores on a Thursday that was soft and windless at Los Angeles Country Club.
Friday afternoon was when LACC started to bite back. After a morning wave that was able to post low numbers again, we saw Fowler and Schauffele fail to build much on that 8 under number. Fowler birdied his first three holes but eventually settled for a 68 to post the leading number at 10 under. Wyndham Clark was the next closest at 9 under as his 67 from the morning nearly stood up to lead the tournament. Schauffele and McIlroy sat in a tie for third at 8 under while other big names like Scottie Scheffler and Dustin Johnson were still in the picture.
Saturday afternoon finally showed us that LACC can hold its own when the sun shines for a while and the pins are tucked. While Tom Kim showcased some brilliant scoring in the morning before falling back to a 66, none of the leaders were able to go low. Scheffler posted the best number late in the afternoon with a 68, but he needed to finish eagle-birdie just to do that. Clark’s sensational birdie on the final hole proved to be enough for a share of the lead after Fowler three-putted to join him at 10 under. McIlroy was steady with a 69 to sit one shot back, while Scheffler was next best at 7 under.
Can anyone charge from behind the top three?
With Fowler, Clark and McIlroy all within one shot of each other and a few shots clear of the rest of the leaderboard, there are a strong group of four players within five shots of the lead. Scheffler, Harris English, Johnson and Schauffele will need to do something special on Sunday to not make this a three-man race. But with low scores clearly possible at LACC and a final three-hole stretch that can really take shots away in a hurry, it’s certainly possible for someone to post a number on Sunday and steal this championship.
Unfortunately for them, both Fowler and McIlroy have been incredibly steady this week, while Clark showed some impressive fight when it looked he may fade on a leaderboard that features much bigger names than his. All three players drive the ball very well, and it’s hard to imagine that all three players will fade and give an open opportunity from down the board … meaning it’ll take something special in the final round for one of Fowler, Clark and McIlroy to not hold the trophy Sunday evening in Los Angeles.
Final Round PGA TOUR Golf Bets To Consider
Winner: Rickie Fowler
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Rickie Fowler was one of my first picks this week at Los Angeles Country Club, and I’m feeling very good about his chances in the final round still. While the three-putt on the 18th hole was frustrating, Fowler has been incredibly solid all week. He’s playing aggressively and creating a ton of birdie opportunities in a U.S. Open. With 21 birdies already, he’s likely to break the U.S. Open record in that tally on Sunday.
Fowler is 5th in Approach, 8th in Around the Green and 4th in Putting this week, meaning he’s been one of the best in the field in three categories against the best in the world. Even his driving is 27th despite a bit of a wayward round on Saturday. Considering Fowler has driven it well for much of the year and is very long, he could bounce back there on Sunday and be a threat for another low round.
Fowler looks ready for the moment
The main reason I like Fowler is the steadiness of his irons this week and his work on and around the greens overall. Fowler has very, very rarely gotten in trouble from the fairway this week, and he’s always been a supreme talent with his short game. The putter is finally starting to look like his old self as he seems to be scaring the hole on every putt. If it wasn’t for some uncharacteristic three-putts in the last two rounds, Fowler would be a few clear of the field. He said he’s struggled a bit with the pace on longer putts, so if he cleans that up at all on Sunday, I feel the best about Fowler from this three-man race at the top to play steadily and get the job done on Sunday for his first major win and first victory overall since 2019.
Winner: Dustin Johnson
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I do think it’s worth grabbing a wager on one of the guys that sits within five of the lead, and Dustin Johnson is my pick on Sunday. DJ made a quadruple bogey on Friday on the second hole, which obviously looms large as he sits five shots behind the lead. It was an uncharacteristic hole for the steady two-time major winner, but he quickly bounced back. We all know Johnson has the firepower to shoot something low if he gets hot, and he’s also not going to be bothered by nerves or pressure as he tries to chase down this pack.
The reason I like Johnson on this U.S. Open odds board is because of what he’s been able to do off the tee this week. He’s cited repeatedly in interviews that you just have to be in the fairway here, and he’s done that well when you consider how long he is off the tee. Johnson is 5th in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee despite struggling a bit on Friday there. If Johnson drives it on Sunday like he did on Thursday, he knows he needs to be aggressive and post a number to have a chance at the trophy.
Johnson was also third in Approach on Thursday but has really cooled off since. He’ll need to recapture that rhythm to have a chance. Johnson has posted some eye-popping numbers with the irons throughout his career when he gets hot, and that’s what we’re searching for when we take a bet on a longshot to charge in the final round. At this number, I love the value of Johnson trying to go post 10 under or so and hoping the leaders struggle to get going in a nerve-filled Sunday.
Top-10 Finish: Patrick Cantlay
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It’s a tough week to hammer down placement bets in my opinion because of the variance in scores at LACC, but there is one that I really like for Sunday. Patrick Cantlay was a popular pick this week due to hometown narratives and his overall solid play this season, but a pair of 71s to open were far too much to come back from.
He finally got it going in the third round with a 67 that vaulted him up to T15 heading into the final round. That puts him just two shots back of the top 10 and gives us nice value with this number to convert his second top 10 at a major this year. Cantlay was T9 at the PGA and T14 at the Masters, showing he’s able to finish with solid scores despite not really being in the picture.
Cantlay has gotten better each day on the greens, and he gained 3.38 on them on Saturday. He also finally got his ball striking settled with a nice day after losing strokes in each of the first two rounds. I think Cantlay can struggle with too much expectation at times, and he’s becoming a consistent backdoor finisher in these biggest tournaments. While I’m uninspired to pick Cantlay to win majors for now, I think a top 10 finish on Sunday with him playing freely makes a lot of sense.
U.S. Open Odds
Click on any of the odds below to bet now and compare across sportsbooks in your state to ensure you are maximizing your potential profits before the final round on Sunday. Best of luck with U.S. Open odds.