US Open Golf Odds: Dustin Johnson A Big Favorite At Winged Foot

Posted By FairwayJay on September 14, 2020
US Open Golf Odds Dustin Johnson

The United States Golf Association was founded in New York City, and the USGA will conduct the 120th US Open at Winged Foot Golf Club just outside Manhattan. Originally scheduled for June 18–21, the tournament was postponed to Sept. 17–20 because of the COVID-19 pandemic and there will be no fans in attendance when the players tee off for Round 1 on Thursday.

On this page we’ll look at US Open odds for the 2020 tournament and some golfers and names to know when looking to place a futures bet. We also preview some of the available betting options and strategies, and look at the course setup, stats and keys to success at a US Open.

2020 US Open golf odds

US Open Winner

Game
09/17/2020
(Eastern Time)
(EST)
Dustin Johnson
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+850
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+850
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+800
Jon Rahm
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+900
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+1000
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+900
Justin Thomas
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+1400
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+1400
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+1400
Xander Schauffele
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+1500
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+1400
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+1400
Collin Morikawa
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+1700
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+1800
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+1600
Rory McIlroy
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+1800
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+1800
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+1600
Webb Simpson
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+2500
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+2800
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+2500
Bryson DeChambeau
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+2800
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+2800
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+2200
Daniel Berger
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+3300
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+3000
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+2800
Jason Day
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+3300
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+3800
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+4000
Patrick Reed
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+3300
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+3400
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+3500
Patrick Cantlay
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+3500
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+2700
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+2800
Tommy Fleetwood
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+3500
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+3300
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+3500
Hideki Matsuyama
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+3500
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+3300
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+3300
Tony Finau
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+4000
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+3300
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+3300
Tyrell Hatton
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+4000
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+3900
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+4000
Adam Scott
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+4000
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+4000
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+4000
Justin Rose
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+4500
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+5000
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+4000
Tiger Woods
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+4500
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+4800
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+4500
Paul Casey
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+6000
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+7000
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+5000
Matthew Fitzpatrick
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+6000
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+4800
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+5000
Viktor Hovland
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+6000
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+6500
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+5000
Harris English
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+7000
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+7000
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+6600
Rickie Fowler
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+7000
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+6500
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+5000
Sungjae Im
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+8000
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+8000
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+7000

View full US Open golf odds at DraftKings Sportsbook, FanDuel Sportsbook and BetMGM.

Following his outstanding play and dominant run through the FedExCup Playoffs and Tour Championship victory, Dustin Johnson is now the top-ranked player in the world – followed by Jon Rahm and Justin Thomas. Johnson (+850) is the favorite to win the US Open with the lowest odds at DraftKings Sportsbook, and he is also +850 at FanDuel Sportsbook. Johnson was +900 to win the US Open prior to winning the Tour Championship and +1600 to win the US Open prior to finishing second in the PGA Championship.

Rahm (+1000), Thomas (+1400) and Xander Schauffele (+1600) were all similarly priced at DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM as of Monday morning. The next wave of leading contenders at +2800 or less includes: Rory McIlroy (+1800), Collin Morikawa (+2000), Bryson DeChambeau (+2800) and Webb Simpson (+2800).

The notable missing player is 2017 and 2018 US Open champion Brooks Koepka. He withdrew this past week due to ongoing lingering pain and issues with his knee and hip. There are also 10 past US Open champions in the field:

  • 2019: Gary Woodland (+6600 BetMGM)
  • 2016: Dustin Johnson (+800 BetMGM)
  • 2015: Jordan Spieth (+8000 BetMGM)
  • 2014: Martin Kaymer (+12500 BetMGM)
  • 2013: Justin Rose (+4100 FanDuel)
  • 2012: Webb Simpson (+2800 BetMGM)
  • 2011: Rory McIlroy (+1400 DraftKings)
  • 2010: Graeme McDowell (+25000)
  • 2009: Lucas Glover (+27000)
  • 2008: Tiger Woods (+4100 FanDuel), also won in 2002 and 2000

There are 13 past US Open runner-ups including: Phil Mickelson (+8000) Jason Day (+4000) Tommy Fleetwood (+4000), Rickie Fowler (+5000), Hideki Matsuyama (+3300) and Louis Oosthuizen (+8000).

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Course and tournament information

  • Course: Winged Foot Golf Club
  • Location: Mamaroneck, New York
  • Date: Sept. 17-20, 2020
  • Par: 70 / Yardage 7,477
  • Purse: $12.5 Million / Winner $2.25 Million
  • Fairways: Poa Annua and Bentgrass
  • Rough: Bluegrass / ryegrass / Poa annua / bentgrass
  • Greens: : Poa annua (80%) / bentgrass (20%)
  • TV: Golf Channel and NBC (Sat-Sun)
  • Live Streaming: NBCports.com. NBC Sports App, USGA Streaming App with live coverage and 30 minute daily recap
  • Twitter: @usopengolf

The philosophy of the United States Golf Association (USGA) is to make the US Open the most rigorous, yet fair examination of golf skills while testing all forms of shot-making. It’s an examination of strategy and course management, and also a test of patience and mental strength.  So, the USGA likes to set up the golf course to not only test the top player’s skill level with difficult course conditions, but also test players’ mental makeup and survival skills. Efficiency, endurance and energy no doubt play a large part in a player’s ability to excel and execute in a pressure-packed environment

Winged Foot was designed by A. W. Tillinghast in 1923. The course lost 20-25 trees due to Tropical Storm Isaias in August, but that’s not reflected in this hole-by-hole flyover video of the course. There are just two holes where water comes into play (15 and 16), and 76 sand bunkers that can catch balls that miss the fairway or greens.

From 2016-2018, Gil Hanse recaptured the original contours and size of the greens through a design and restoration project that included rebuilt greens, bunkers and new back tees on seven holes to extend the yardage for this year’s US Open to 7,477 yards.

Winged Foot has always presented a difficult challenge when hosting the US Open, as only two players out of 750 that have competed have broke par.

This year, 14 golfers return who played in the 2006 US Open at Winged Foot. That includes 50-year-old Phil Mickelson, who was one of the favorites back then and needed par on the 72nd hole to win. He made double-bogey to finish 6-over-par and lost by one stroke. Mickelson now has six runner-up finishes in the US Open, but he’s not expected to challenge this year with odds of +8000 at both FanDuel and DraftKings.

This past week, a bettor at William Hill in Las Vegas placed $45,000 bet on Mickelson to win the 2020 US Open at 75/1 odds. Should Phil win, the bettor will be rewarded with $3.375 million. The wager represents the second-largest liability for an individual golf wager in William Hill’s US history.

Factors beyond the numbers for betting favorites

This year’s US Open is at Winged Foot is the quintessential test with very thick rough just off the fairways and tougher scoring conditions. No major championship since the 2006 US Open at Winged Foot has played tougher as there were less than 1.8 birdies per round.

These players have experienced more success in scoring and results at recent US Opens, showing they can handle the conditions and skills necessary to be most competitive.

Xander Schauffele: T3 (-7), T6 (+6), T5 (-10) last three years
Henrik Stenson: T9 (-5) and T6 (+6) last two years
Justin Rose: T3 (-7) and T10 (+7) last two years
Matthew Fitzpatrick: T12 (-4), T12 (+8) last two years
Patrick Reed: three top-15 finishes last five years including 4th (+4) in 2018
Webb Simpson: T16 (-3) and T10 (+7) last two years
Louis Oosthuizen: Five straight top-25 finishes including T2 (-4) in 2015 and T7 (-6) in 2019

Total driving stats, Off the Tee, Tee to Green and accuracy are significant when evaluating players and strokes gained stats for Winged Foot. There will be a greater penalty for missing fairways and approach play with mid and longer iron play of significance as there are seven par 4s from 450 to 500 yards and six of them are the toughest scoring holes on the course.

Length off the tee will be beneficial if players can find the fairway more often. Players that putt better on poa annua greens will have an edge. But mental strength and the ability to manage your emotions and game while grinding through tougher conditions is also what it takes to challenge for a spot on the leaderboard by Sunday.

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FairwayJay

FairwayJay is a leading national sports and gaming analyst and is recognized as one of the sports industry's most insightful professionals. Jay has pursued his passions and maintained a pulse on the sports, gaming and poker industries while living in Las Vegas for nearly two decades. He's been a regular featured guest on sports and gaming radio shows, podcasts and produces sports betting and related industry articles and content for various sites and sources.

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