US Open Make & Miss The Cut Prop Bets: Which Golfers Will Play On The Weekend?

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Written By Evan Scrimshaw | Last Updated
us open cut prop bets

Although the U.S. Open begins with a field of 156 golfers, only the top 60 and ties advance to this major’s final two rounds. The cut line score fluctuates throughout the second round, hinging upon course conditions and overall scoring. The cut line for the 2023 U.S. Open at Los Angeles Country Club was +2 (142), with 65 golfers participating in the weekend’s final two rounds. Let’s break down potential U.S. Open Cut prop bets

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US Open Cut prop bets: To Miss The Cut

To find U.S. Open cut prop bets on the BetMGM Sportsbook app, click the U.S. Open button at the top of the home screen before hitting “All Bets,” and scroll the buttons along the top of the screen to “The Cut.” Below are the latest odds of some of the biggest names on the board as of this publishing.

Unsurprisingly, Scottie Scheffler and Xander Schauffle, the last two major champions, have the biggest odds of missing the cut.

  • Tiger Woods (-300)
  • Cameron Young (+125)
  • Cameron Smith (+155)
  • Byeong Hun An (+165)
  • Tony Finau (+190)
  • Dustin Johnson (+190)
  • Justin Thomas (+200)
  • Matt Fitzpatrick (+200)
  • Brooks Koepka (+250)
  • Bryson DeChambeau (+275)
  • Collin Morikawa (+400)
  • Rory McIlroy (+450)
  • Xander Schauffele (+500)
  • Scottie Scheffler (+800)

3 US Open Make The Cut Prop Bets To Consider

Adam Hadwin (-125)

Third at Memorial, Hadwin found something while gaining less than half a stroke with the putter. The form before hasn’t been great, but he’s gained with his irons in four of his last five events. He made the cut at the Masters and the PGA Championship. Hadwin’s flaw has been an ability to get the putter going. Negative in four measured tournaments before the Memorial, a neutral week got him in contention. The irons will likely cool off from his nine strokes gained last week, but as long as he doesn’t get destroyed on the greens, he should play the weekend.

Bobby MacIntyre (-150)

The downside case for Bobby Mac is pretty easy to make. He has really bad iron weeks, and when he does, he misses the cut. When he’s neutral to positive, he contends. He’s gained with his putter in seven straight measured events. He won the Canadian Open, and he’s been positive off the tee for four of his last five. He’s a bomber, gaining in driving distance in 13 of 15 events. And with Pinehurst’s easy-to-hit fairways – 71% of fairways were hit in 2014 – he shouldn’t be dinged too heavily for his occasional inaccuracy. Plainly, it’s too low a price for MacIntyre. Yes, his Canadian Open win was atypical from a statistical standpoint, but who cares? I don’t need him to win or even contend. Just make your 7-foot par saves, Bobby.

Tiger Woods (+220)

As someone who bet him to miss the cut at the PGA, this could be a nice bounce-back spot for Tiger. Tiger lost by 2 here in 2005, and it’s a course that should be good for the big cat. It’s not too long. The one thing this iteration of Tiger is best at is driving the ball, and the area around these greens looks fairly straightforward. The chipping game was Tiger’s biggest problem at Valhalla. Here? Shaved greensides should help Tiger.

The biggest thing that’s working in Tiger’s favor is that he got his preferred split. Going out early Thursday means he’ll have plenty of time to get physically recovered and ready for his Friday teetime. At his elevated price, it’s worth a bet.

3 US Open Miss The Cut Prop Bets To Consider

Jordan Spieth (+175)

I bet Spieth to miss the cut at Valhalla, and I’m going right back. He’s gained 10 straight events with his driver, and yet he’s playing like a disaster. Since Augusta, he’s been negative with his putter and his irons 5 times each in 7 starts. Since API, he’s made 3 of 8 cuts, missing two cuts at fields of less than 100 golfers. The rest of his game is so messed up right now he’s wasting the best driving stretch of his career. If he can’t get out of his head and just hit golf shots, he’s going to be 5 shots outside the cut line by his 10th hole on Thursday.

Cam Smith (+162)

I wanted to fade Rahm before he WD’d. The next best choice is Cam Smith, who came T48 at LIV Houston and T63 at the PGA Championship. The 2022 Open Champion, Smith played well last year in the Majors but was playing much better golf then. He had 4 straight LIV top 10s while he went T9 at the PGA and fourth at the U.S. Open.

This year? The form’s not there. A T2 at LIV Singapore didn’t stop him from losing strokes on approach and putting at Valhalla. Smith hasn’t gained driving accuracy all year and missed the cut at the Australian PGA in December. If he’s playing out of the junk while everyone else is hitting fairways, it could be a short week.

Wyndham Clark (+175)

The defending champion has been the most volatile golfer of the season. A (54-hole) win at Pebble Beach, 2nd place at API and The Players, and a third at Heritage is a hell of a season. He’s also missed the cut at Genesis, the Masters, the PGA, and Memorial. His driver is his best tool, gaining in all but one event this year. But everything else is hit-and-miss. He hasn’t gained more than half a stroke/round with his irons since Sawgrass. He’s lost putting in 3 of 5, and his around the green has been negative in four of 6. In the last three events, he’s been more inaccurate than the field average, too. Based on the season he’s had, he’s either in the top 10 or he’s missing the cut. I’m betting the latter.

Best of luck navigating U.S. Open Cut odds!

US Open Odds To Finish Top 40

If you like odds to make/miss the cut, you may also like top 40 odds, as it isn’t a big jump to going from top 60 and ties into the top 40, and these will provide bigger potential payouts. Click to bet now.

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