Underdog NFL DFS Picks: Cowboys at Giants Thursday Night Football
Week 4 kicks off with the suddenly reeling Cowboys trying to save their season. With the Giants looking remarkably competent the last two weeks, this could be a closer game than pre-season expectations might have suggested. Underdog NFL DFS picks are now available for the Cowboys at Giants, with the latest $1000 Underdog promo code offering up to a $1000 deposit match ahead of Thursday Night Football.
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Underdog NFL Picks For Thursday Night Football
The Cowboys are coming off a bad week against Baltimore, but the Giants don’t exactly pose the same threat. Daniel Jones and the Giants have looked better than they did in Week 1, but they still needed the Commanders to go 0-6 in the red zone to stay in Week 2’s battle. Oh, and beating Deshaun Watson doesn’t get any credit.
The big thing about this game is whether the Giants can keep it close enough to run the ball. If the Cowboys can force the Giants into abandoning the run, this could get ugly. But as home underdogs, the Giants will want to run as much as possible to kill the clock and shorten the game.
Devin Singletary Higher Than 61.5 Rushing Yards
Singletary has gone over this number the last two weeks, but that’s not why this number excites me. The Cowboys are dead last in the league in rush defense EPA, which should translate here. If the Giants can run the ball efficiently, they’ll want to do so. Their trust in Daniel Jones is still limited, and so getting into third and manageable will be a priority.
More to the point, the Giants will need to run to kill clock. The Cowboys are fine with a fast paced, high possession game. The Giants are much more likely to slow this down and keep this game on the ground. Singletary will be key to that, and against the soft rush defense, this should cruise over.
Daniel Jones Lower Than 200.5 Passing Yards
The corollary to thinking that the Giants will pound the rock is to fade Jones. Yes, there’s a risk that the Giants could get down a lot and have to abandon the run, but even in that case, the Cowboys would just blitz him to death and sack him 5 times. It’s unlikely he hits this number.
The other reason to be pessimistic about Jones’ passing totals is the fact that Lamar Jackson had a lot of success running on Dallas last week. Lamar ran for 87 yards on 14 carries. The Cowboys are very susceptible to the option. The last full season of healthy Daniel Jones we had saw him run a lot. Every time they run him, which should be considerable, that’s one less Dropback that ends in a pass.
CeeDee Lamb Higher Than 0.5 Touchdowns
This is -125 at Caesars Sportsbook right now, and the nature of Underdog is that you get to avoid that juice of legal sports books. CeeDee’s weird camp “hold in” might have led to some lingering rust, but at this point the kinks should be worked out and the rust should be gone.
This is also a good bet because Dallas could put up 40+ points in this game. The Giants defense is mediocre so far, ranking 18th by Success Rate and 15th by EPA. If Lamb can’t get a touchdown in this game, then the Cowboys made a mistake paying him as much as they did.
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