Underdog NBA Picks Vs. Sportsbook Player Prop Odds: NBA On TNT Thursday Night

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Written By Josh Lander | Last Updated
underdog nba picks

With NBA odds for five games this Thursday, plenty of player prop lines at betting sites and potential Underdog NBA picks at our disposal. We compared my favorite prop bets by shopping the best lines available, including on the Underdog app. I’m betting three player prop lines, all available as straight bets on your preferred sportsbook or as an Underdog Fantasy Pick Em play. Let’s dive into why I like Kyrie Irving to go under one of his prop lines while I expect Kevin Durant and Donte DiVincenzo to go over theirs.

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NBA Player Prop Bet: kyrie Irving under PTS+Reb+ast (1 unit)

Underdog NBA Picks: Higher or Lower Than 42.5 Points And Rebounds And Assists

Kyrie and the Mavs will be without Luka in a tough matchup with a revamped Knicks’ defense. We’re getting great value on the under for his combo prop, as the public perception is that Kyrie should go off without Dončić. That hasn’t been the case since Irving came to Dallas, however. In the six previous games, Kyrie played without his starting point guard, he only went over Thursday’s prop line once.

In that one over, he scored 38 points in 39 minutes in a fast-paced affair against the Lakers without LeBron James. He averaged 32.2 points, rebounds, and assists in the other five combined.

I wouldn’t expect a high pace against New York on Thursday night. Since trading for OG Anunoby, the Knicks are playing at the fifth-slowest pace. They have a 100 defensive rating during their current five-game winning streak (best in the league), limiting teams to the fifth-fewest assists and fourth-fewest rebounds per game. They’re also ranked in the top ten at limiting point guards scoring and rebounding.

While New York has been prone to giving up assists to the opposing PG, Irving won’t have the help around him to rack up both points and assists in this one.

Use our player props search tool to find the best odds for NBA props on your favorite players. If you’re interested in betting spreads, discuss betting angles with other NBA bettors in our free Discord.

Editor’s Note

NBA Player Prop Bet: Kevin durant over PoinTS (1u)

Underdog NBA Picks: Higher or Lower Than 26.5 Points

Kevin Durant vs. LeBron James has been one of the most exciting 1-on-1 matchups since KD entered the league. In 24 head-to-head games, Durant has averaged 29.4 PPG, while James has put up 28 PPG. This season, KD has dropped at least 30 points in all three contests. LeBron managed 30 or more in two of the three.

Bradley Beal and Devin Booker are both playing tonight, but that shouldn’t limit Durant’s output. He’s gone over this prop line in three of the four games he’s played alongside Beal. Meanwhile, Booker’s assists go up when the Suns’ “Big 3” play at the same time, not his points. Either way, there will be plenty of points to go around if the game’s 238.5 point total is accurate.

KD has been especially effective on the road this season, averaging 32 points per game away from Phoenix. That’s five more points a night than the 27 PPG he’s put up at home. He also sees a giant uptick in his usage rate, going from 27% at home to 33% on the road. I’m banking on Durant to keep rolling in the scoring department against LeBron in L.A.

NBA Player Prop bet: donte divincenzo pTS+reb+asT (1u)

Underdog NBA Picks: Higher or Lower Than 16.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists

Part of the reason the Knicks felt comfortable shipping RJ Barrett and Immanuel Quickley to Toronto was Donte DiVincenzo’s presence. In the 14 games before the Knicks traded with the Raptors, DiVincenzo barely only saw 25 minutes one time. In the six games since Anunoby arrived in New York, DD has seen at least 25 minutes in four of six, going over Thursday’s prop line in five.

DiVincenzo is posting nearly 17 points a game over his last six, adding more than four boards and three assists. He should continue to soak up heavy minutes as one of the primary defenders tasked with stopping Kyrie.

DD should reap the benefits of going up against a weak Mavericks’ defense without its starting center, Dereck Lively II. Dallas is a particularly soft matchup for opposing shooting guards, allowing the fourth-most points per game to PGs, the second-most rebounds, and the seventh-most assists.

Knicks vs. Mavericks Player Props

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