Underdog Picks: College Basketball Player Props For Gonzaga At San Francisco
Among Thursday’s college basketball action, No. 23 Gonzaga is a road favorite at San Francisco. The Dons’ odds of tallying the home upset are . Meanwhile, the game total is . Let’s examine two players going over or under the prop total for Underdog picks.
In general, you will select two, three, or four players and then determine if their fantasy scores will do just that.
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Underdog fantasy picks: Gonzaga at San Francisco
With the Bulldogs squarely on the bubble for March Madness odds, this game certainly fits the must-win cliche.
Regarding points in the paint allowed per game, the Dons rank in the 95th percentile. Thus, Gonzaga would seem to be at a disadvantage on paper, considering they’d prefer to veer away from relying on perimeter shooting.
However, the Bulldogs’ interior attack got the best of them in the first meeting on Jan. 25. Not only did Graham Ike and Antone Watson combine for 37 points in the victory, but they also combined for 20 free-throw attempts.
Between the two bigs, Watson is best positioned to score higher than 13.5 points, which is what he is listed at for Underdog picks. Users are actually getting a discount with the 6-foot-8, 228-pound senior. Although Watson is producing the second-most points per game (14.8 ppg) on the ‘Zags, he’s averaging just 13.0 ppg over the last two games.
On the flip side, San Francisco center Jonathan Mogbo notching lower than 9.5 rebounds is worth a look. While he accrued 11 of them in the first meeting, including three of them on the offensive glass, Gonzaga was ultra-efficient with its fast-break offense. Thus, I expect the Dons to value transition defense over generating a bevy of second-chance opportunities.
gonzaga at san francisco: Sportsbook Player props
College basketball betting odds
The table above displays the spread, moneyline, and total. Click any of the odds listed to place a wager on sites with the best sportsbook promo codes.
My raw numbers make this game closer to Gonzaga -4.5. Conversely, Haslametrics projects a final score of 77.0-75.2, narrowly favoring the Bulldogs. Erik Haslam runs this analytics site and will return to Outside Shots when conference tournaments are underway. Catch this week’s betting preview below. A new episode will be available on Friday for Underdog picks and much more.
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Arizona, Colorado, Iowa, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia, and West Virginia all outlaw wagers on college basketball props. Plus, 10 others match the guidance of banning in-state school prop betting.
Virginia enables betting on in-state schools but not props on in-state players. The remaining states with sportsbooks permit betting on college props, including in-state teams.
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