Underdog Baseball DFS Picks: Dodgers Vs. Yankees World Series Game 1 Friday Night
The World Series is here, with the Yankees heading west to face the Dodgers and Gerrit Cole on the mound. Game 1 should be a barn burner, as both teams employ their aces. World Series Underdog picks should provide a lot of excitement. Find my Underdog baseball DFS picks below for tonight's game.
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Underdog Baseball DFS Picks: Yankees at Dodgers game 1
Due to the offensive firepower on both sides, this matchup will see many people wanting to bet overs. However, with fully rested pitchers at the ready, Game 1 might not be as offensive as some think.
Gerrit Cole Lower Than 4.5 Hits Allowed
This bet is a leap of faith because Cole has been hit for more than 4.5 hits in all three playoff starts. However, he’s had 9 days of rest between starts and gets to pitch in friendlier confines than Yankees Stadium.
Cole’s two bad starts in these playoffs were in Yankees Stadium, which is more hitter-friendly than Dodgers Stadium. Park factors are by no means a guarantee, but Cole’s combination of success and the fact that he only conceded 5+ hits twice in his last 8 regular season starts makes me think he goes lower. That the Yankees will have a fully rested bullpen and won’t need to keep him in if he gets in trouble also helps.
Alex Verdugo Lower Than 0.5 Strikeouts
This is a simple math bet from someone who does not find Jack Flaherty intimidating. Flaherty has only thrown 8 strikeouts in the playoffs so far, and he got rocked for 8 runs in 3 innings in his last start.
More importantly, Verdugo only has 4 strikeouts in 31 at-bats this playoffs. That’s a K% of 12.9%, which doesn’t make a strikeout that likely in any individual game. This makes a lot of sense between not trusting Flaherty’s stuff and Verdugo not being particularly strikeout-prone.
Mookie Betts Lower Than 0.5 Singles
The bet here is twofold: Cole does what I’m already betting on him to do in this ticket and shut down the Dodgers, or Betts gets an extra-base hit. If this were solely a hits market, it would be a pick for me anyway, given that Cole should be able to perform. With the singles modifier, this is an easy bet.
Betts tallied nine hits in the NLCS, but six were doubles or home runs. Even with some reversion on those proportions, the chances of a single aren’t great. Given my faith in Cole, this is easy.
Best of luck with your Underdog baseball DFS picks.
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