Underdog Betting: College Basketball Picks & Player Props For Houston At Baylor Odds

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Written By Eli Hershkovich | Last Updated
Underdog Betting

Among Saturday’s plethora of college basketball matchups, the Lone Star State duel has No. 2 Houston as a favorite. Meanwhile, No. 11 Baylor is lined at to deliver the home upset. The total is . Let’s take a look at a couple of players who will go over or under the prop total for Underdog betting picks.

In general, you will select two, three, or four players and then determine if their fantasy scores will do just that.

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Underdog betting candidates

After defeating Iowa State in a top-10 matchup on Monday, LJ Cryer & Co. are back at it against another stout conference opponent. The difference is that Baylor doesn’t possess an intimidating defense. In fact, the Bears rank in the 26th percentile nationally during Big 12 play (via CBB Analytics).

Their backcourt struggles to contain athletic guards, particularly on off-the-dribble jumpers. The Cougars have playmakers who can exploit this weakness. Cryer tallied just eight points in their most recent victory, yet his low-scoring output has created some value for this tilt.

The benefit to backing Cryer is he’s manufactured the fewest fouls per game among anyone in Houston’s rotation. That’s notable given the Cougars employ the country’s most tenacious defense. They’ve strung together the fourth-highest steal rate in the process.

There’s also the motivational angle, as Cryer will play in Waco, Texas for the first time since transferring from Baylor in April 2023. While he and Jamal Shead sometimes force up arduous shots, I’d still consider picking Cryer to post higher than 12.5 points. If his points total rises above this number by the time you read this article, I’d stay away.

On the flip side, Baylor forward Jalen Bridges is a potential Underdog betting pick to finish with higher than 10.5 points.

Going against Houston’s top-ranked unit is risky, but its no-middle defense is most vulnerable against cutting action. That’s where Baylor’s motion offense can thrive, ranking top 70 in ShotQuality points per possession (PPP) with those sets.

Moreover, Bridges is an extremely agile big who excels off-ball. He’s even shooting a robust 39.8% clip from behind the arc. As we’ve seen in recent years, spacing out the Cougars’ defense is extremely valuable in order to hang around and pull off the upset.

Houston at baylor Sportsbook Player props

College basketball odds: houston at baylor

These odds showcase the spreadmoneyline, and total markets for each game. Click any of them to place a wager on sites with the best sportsbook promo codes.

My raw numbers make this game closer to Houston -2. Conversely, Haslametrics projects a score of 68.1-63.9, favoring the Cougars. One digit or so may not seem like a sizeable edge, but every point is valuable in Underdog betting or otherwise.

Erik Haslam owns and operates the analytics site above and will return to Outside Shots when conference tournaments are underway.

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BEST college basketball betting PROMO CODEs

Arizona, Colorado, Iowa, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia, and West Virginia all outlaw wagers on college basketball props. Plus, 10 others match the guidance of banning in-state school prop betting.

Virginia enables betting on in-state schools but not props on in-state players. The remaining states with sportsbooks permit betting on college props, including in-state teams.