Underdog Betting: College Basketball Picks & Player Props For Texas at Houston Odds

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Written By Eli Hershkovich | Last Updated
Underdog betting

Within Saturday’s college basketball betting odds board, this Lone Star State matchup has Houston as a favorite. Meanwhile, Texas is lined at to deliver the road upset. Elsewhere, the total is . Let’s assess two players who will go over or under the prop total for Underdog betting picks.

In general, you will select two, three, or four players and then determine if their fantasy scores will do just that. Click any odds to place a wager at the best sports betting sites.

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Underdog College Basketball betting: Texas at Houston

When these programs squared off on Jan. 29, the Cougars squeaked out a four-point overtime win. However, the Longhorns covered the point spread. Both teams have benefited from a week-long layoff — a rarity in college basketball — before the rematch.

In Rodney Terry’s first full season as the Texas men’s basketball coach, the Longhorns’ defensive efficiency has dipped significantly over their last five games. In particular, they rank in the 21st percentile of the percentage of points allowed in the paint. They’ve also struggled with limiting offensive rebounding opportunities, ranking in the 28th percentile of second-chance points surrendered (via CBB Analytics).

Moreover, three of those matchups came against this same Cougars team, TCU, and Iowa State. All three of them are in the upper echelon of the Big 12 in both areas. Hence, Texas’ interior defense is clearly its biggest liability.

With that in mind, 6-foot-7 senior J’Wan Roberts, who polished off a 14-point, 8-rebound outing in their first meeting, is primed for another fine performance at home. As long as you can grab his rebounding total at higher than 7.5, it’s worth considering for Underdog betting. He should be pretty fresh for this game, to boot, which means his minutes won’t be an issue — unless he’s in foul trouble.

Surprisingly, Roberts has been called for the second-fewest fouls per game among any player in Houston’s rotation. That makes him even more of an alluring option.

Another Underdog Betting Candidate

Unlike the Longhorns, the Cougars’ interior defense is a strength. The perimeter is a different story.

While they’ve held their opponents to 28.7% from behind the arc, they still allow a well-above-average 3-point attempt rate. Texas combo guard Max Abmas would normally represent the key to exploiting that, but Houston’s elite ball pressure will make it difficult for him. His 2-of-8 shooting display versus the Cougars was a prime example of that.

Considering “juice” or “vig” doesn’t apply for Underdog betting, lower than 3.5 3-pointers made for Abmas is another option.

texas at Houston Sportsbook Player props

College basketball odds: Texas at houston

Per my college basketball power rankings, my raw numbers make this game closer to Houston -10. Conversely, Haslametrics projects a score of 71.8-60.0, favoring the Cougars. One digit may not seem like a significant edge, but every point is valuable in Underdog betting or otherwise.

Erik Haslam runs this college hoops site and will return to Outside Shots once conference tournaments begin. TheLines.com’s managing editor Stephen Andress co-hosts with me biweekly to discuss the slate and betting odds. Catch this week’s episode below.

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Arizona, Colorado, Iowa, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia, and West Virginia all outlaw wagers on college basketball props. Plus, 10 others match the guidance of banning in-state school prop betting.

Virginia enables betting on in-state schools but not props on in-state players. The remaining states with sportsbooks permit betting on college props, including in-state teams.

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