The 2024 ACC Tournament quarterfinals begin on Thursday with the top-seeded North Carolina Tar Heels (25-6, 17-3) taking on the ninth-seeded Florida State Seminoles (17-15, 10-10). Tar Heels fans in North Carolina can take advantage of the best NC sportsbook promos — with March Madness odds around the corner. The value adds up to $2,950 in bonus bets! We've ranked these bonus codes for UNC odds near the bottom of this article.
unc basketball odds vs. Florida state
UNC Odds: ACC Tournament Preview
Only North Carolina is considered a contender among ACC tournament odds, but the betting markets for this matchup provide loads of intrigue. UNC is a favorite, and the Seminoles are a hefty on the moneyline. Meanwhile, the total is .
Will Tar Heels Cover?
If you bet on the Seminoles' opening spread in UNC vs. Florida State games this season, you would have collected a nice profit. While FSU lost outright in each matchup, it covered the number both times. Therefore, the Tar Heels shouldn't take Leonard Hamilton's team lightly.
Additionally, North Carolina is coming off a regular-season sweep over arch-rival Duke. Hence, this game could be perceived as a potential letdown spot for UNC. That may seem odd to some bettors, considering the Tar Heels are gunning for an ACC tournament championship.
If you’re unfamiliar with situational spots, this term attempts to uncover conditions in which programs have exceeded or underperformed their normal level of play — relative to the moneyline or spread. Should North Carolina look past Florida State, eyeing the ACC tournament semifinals or even the Big Dance after its huge victory, the Seminoles could find themselves in reach of an upset.
Regarding the game itself, the Tar Heels should have a significant advantage on the glass. They were the top-ranked unit in ACC play and outrebounded the Seminoles by an average of nine boards per game in their two meetings.
Unless UNC falls victim to its recent success, FSU will need some positive variance to win straight up. In general, head-scratching results often stem from abnormal perimeter shooting splits. While the Seminoles have accrued a bottom-50 3-point attempt rate nationally, they combined for a 21-of-48 shooting display (43.8%)from behind the arc in their losses to the Tar Heels.
Moreover, North Carolina's perimeter defense is projected for negative regression. Despite allowing the lowest 3-point clip (30.7%) during the ACC slate, UNC ranks No. 325 in open 3-point attempt rate allowed.
Predictions For UNC Odds
My raw numbers make this line closer to UNC -10, meaning there's a minusculeedge on FSU +10.5. Conversely, our partner Haslametrics forecasts a final score of 83.3-71.0, favoring UNC odds.
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Outside SHots: College Basketball Betting Podcast
https://youtu.be/c0UUGKE0gCE?si=7gvZ5s0Tpd80H6hm
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