UNC Tar Heels vs. Michigan State Second-Round Odds: March Madness Betting Guide

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Written By Eli Hershkovich | Last Updated
UNC Odds

With second-round March Madness odds tipping off on Saturday, the West Region provides plenty of intrigue. Most notably, top-seeded North Carolina battles ninth-seeded Michigan State for the right to move onto the Sweet 16. Let’s dig into the betting odds. Tar Heel State residents can sign up for NC sportsbook promos. These exclusive offers will get you up to $2,950 in bonus bets!

Click on any odds below to wager on North Carolina or Michigan State. The second-round odds are the best available in your state.

unc odDs vs. Michigan state: spread, moneyline, total

Per the betting table above, the best UNC spread odds are . Meanwhile, Sparty is to deliver the outright upset. The total sits at . Remember that NC residents can receive exclusive offers on NC sports betting apps.

Moreover, NC BetMGM users will receive three 32% boosts (odds boost, live boost, and profit boost) to put to use throughout the second round!

Will UNC Dictate Tempo?

One way or the other, this matchup boils down to which team controls the pace. The Tar Heels rank No. 46 in adjusted tempo, ranking in the 90th percentile in fast-break points per game. Conversely, the Spartans operate at 18.2 seconds per possession in Big Ten play. They also find themselves in the 98th percentile of opponents’ fast-break points per contest.

Granted, Huebert Davis’ crew is a rebounding machine at both ends, leading to a slew of run-and-gun opportunities. Michigan State isn’t necessarily reliable in that department. Since its offense operated ultra-efficiently in the first-round win over Mississippi State (1.13 points per possession), its performance on the glass wasn’t a massive factor. It’s worth noting the Bulldogs generated 13 offensive boards.

Can Tom Izzo count on his offense to come near that, especially from behind the arc? It’s unlikely — unless the Spartans can play at their pace. While they hit 3-pointers at a top-50 clip (36.2%), they’ve manufactured a bottom-40 attempt rate. If MSU is forced into a track meet, its offense is not constructed to accrue a bevy of triples in a short span.

When the Tar Heels’ offense is in the half-court, they should have an edge with Bacot in the low post. Over the Spartans’ last 10 games, they’re stationed in the 37th percentile of opponents’ at-the-rim field goal percentage (per CBB Analytics). Even if Bacot has an off-night, UNC’s dominance on the offensive glass could contribute to scoring at the basket.

Predictions For UNC – MSU Odds

My raw numbers favor UNC’s odds by roughly 2.5 points. Elsewhere, our partner Haslametrics 70.5-69.2 win for UNC, aligning with MSU spread odds.

are there North Carolina sports betting restrictions For March Madness?

Bettors in North Carolina must be 21 or older. Sportsbook customers can bet on in-state college teams without stipulations on individual prop bets, including UNC, Duke, and NC State player props in the 2024 NCAA Tournament.

Overall, North Carolina isn’t a very restrictive state regarding sports betting. Sportsbook users are eligible to wager on professional and college sports at their leisure. Betting offerings include in-state college teams, including North Carolina Tar Heels, Duke Blue Devils, and NC State in March Madness.

UNC Futures Odds

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