Arsenal vs Burnley Prediction: Betting Tips and Odds

Written By James Capps | Published at May 18, 2026
Madrid, Spain - April 29, 2026: Champions League semi-final match between Atletico Madrid and Arsenal played in Madrid. Premier League. Arsenal Football Club

Monday night sees a potentially title-defining evening at the Emirates, and our Premier League betting tips head to north London as Arsenal host already-relegated Burnley with the title within touching distance.

Arsenal sit top of the Premier League on 79 points, two clear of Manchester City with two games to play. A win on Monday, combined with avoiding defeat at Crystal Palace next weekend, would seal the Gunners' first league title in 22 years.

Burnley, meanwhile, have endured a brutal return to the top flight - relegated mathematically on April 22 after a 1-0 home defeat to City, winless in their last 10 league games and shipping goals at an alarming rate. This has all the hallmarks of an Arsenal procession.

Arsenal vs Burnley Tips: Gyokeres To Continue His Form

The form gap between these two sides is enormous.

Arsenal have won four of their last five in all competitions, kept three clean sheets in that run and booked a Champions League final spot for good measure.

Burnley have lost five of their last six league games and conceded 15 goals in the process, with their leaky away form telling its own story - just two wins on the road all season and a league-worst 73 goals shipped overall.

At the heart of Arsenal's recent brilliance is Viktor Gyokeres.

The Swede has 14 Premier League goals and 20-plus in all competitions in his debut campaign, and crucially, he scored inside 15 minutes when these sides met at Turf Moor back in November.

Gyokeres looks fantastic value at 5/2 with PricedUp to open the scoring on Monday evening.

The best Arsenal vs Burnley best bets from James are available via  PricedUp and odds are correct as of 11pm UK time on Sunday 16 May.

Leandro Trossard, who scored the late winner against West Ham, is another solid scorer pick at 11/10, while Bukayo Saka and Eberechi Eze should also see plenty of the ball.

With Arsenal averaging 14.5 shots per game at home and Burnley conceding two goals per away game, over 2.5 goals at 4/11 looks like a rock-solid bet if you’re mulling over a bet builder leg.

Premier League Betting: Arsenal -2.5 Handicap

Burnley do have some quality to call upon.

Zian Flemming has 10 league goals and is their main scoring threat at 11/2 anytime, while Jaidon Anthony has chipped in with eight. The problem is that almost none of it has translated on the road, where Burnley have been outclassed time and again by sides nowhere near Arsenal's level.

The Gunners have routinely racked up the goals at home against weaker opposition this season -  5-0 against Leeds, 4-1 against Aston Villa, and 3-0 at Fulham just last month.

With Burnley having fallen behind in the first 30 minutes in nine of their 18 away games, a fast start at the Emirates looks inevitable.

Arsenal are 1/11 to win the match, which is no bet at all, but stretching the line is where the value lies.

Arsenal -2.5 goals on the handicap at 10/13 is my Premier League betting tip of the day, with Arsenal to win to nil at 4/7 the alternative angle, given David Raya has just sealed a third consecutive Golden Glove with 18 clean sheets.