BMW Championship Odds, Tips and Props for 2026: Back McIlroy To Win

Written By James Chittick | Published at August 18, 2026

Here's a look at the latest BMW Championship odds, tips and props ahead of this weekend's tournament, which promises more exciting twists and turns.

The FedExCup Playoffs move into their second stage this week as the PGA TOUR arrives at Bellerive Country Club for the 2026 BMW Championship.

BMW Championship Preview

Only the top 50 players in the FedExCup standings remain after the cut from 70 was made on Sunday night, with Sungjae Im the lone golfer to play his way into the field thanks to a T5 finish at the FedEx Championship in Memphis.

By the end of this week, that number will shrink again, with just 30 advancing to East Lake for the season finale.

Bellerive returns to the Playoffs rotation for the first time since 2008, offering a long, demanding par‑70 layout that has hosted both a BMW Championship and a PGA Championship.

Its Robert Trent Jones design emphasises power and precision, especially through the notorious three‑hole stretch known as “The Ridge,” where scoring can unravel quickly.

Scottie Scheffler arrives as the defending champion and the man to beat.

He dominated last week in Memphis, winning by eight shots and extending his FedExCup lead to nearly 1,400 points.

Another victory would make him the first player since Patrick Cantlay (2021–22) to successfully defend a BMW Championship title.

Rory McIlroy, meanwhile, is looking to rebound after finishing 66th in Memphis.

He returned to Florida immediately after Sunday’s round for a practice session with his coach and caddie before travelling to St. Louis.

The field is stacked with elite contenders. Adam Scott will tee it up as the only player who competed at both the 2008 BMW Championship and the 2018 PGA Championship at Bellerive.

Justin Thomas enters the week 12th in the FedExCup standings after a strong showing at the PGA.

Si Woo Kim continues his outstanding season, sitting fourth in the FedExCup with 11 top‑10 finishes and three runner‑ups.

All top 50 players in the standings are set to compete, with Rickie Fowler clinging to the final Tour Championship spot at No. 30.

The margins are razor‑thin: Bud Cauley and Kurt Kitayama are separated by just one point, while Gary Woodland trails Fowler by only two.

BMW Championship Odds

The latest golf odds from major UK betting sites reflect a competitive market.

All odds taken from Betnero and Oddschecker at 11:00 UK time on Tuesday, 18 August 2026.

Scottie Scheffler – 3.75
Rory McIlroy – 15.00
Ludvig Åberg – 15.00
Xander Schauffele – 15.00
Cameron Young – 17.00
Sam Burns – 17.00
Tommy Fleetwood – 19.00
Matt Fitzpatrick – 19.00
Chris Gotterup – 23.00
Si Woo Kim – 23.00
Hideki Matsuyama – 23.00
Viktor Hovland – 26.00
Wyndham Clark – 26.00
Collin Morikawa – 29.00
Patrick Cantlay – 29.00

Winner Without Scheffler

McIlroy – 12.00
Åberg – 12.00
Schauffele – 14.00

Top 3 Finish

Scheffler – 2.15
McIlroy – 5.75
Åberg – 5.00
Schauffele – 5.00

Scheffler’s price with most golf betting sites reflects his dominance, but McIlroy’s odds stand out given his proven ability to peak late in the season. Åberg and Schauffele also offer strong value in both outright and finishing‑position markets.

BMW Championship Tips

Back Rory McIlroy to Win – 15.00

McIlroy’s preparation this week suggests he is determined to respond after a disappointing start to the Playoffs. Bellerive suits his powerful driving and high‑flight iron play, and his motivation to secure a Tour Championship berth makes him an appealing outright selection.

Winner Without Scheffler: McIlroy – 12.00

Scheffler’s current form makes him difficult to oppose, but this market provides a cleaner path for McIlroy supporters. Even if Scheffler repeats last week’s brilliance, McIlroy has a strong chance of finishing next best.

Top 3 Finish: Ludvig Åberg – 5.00

Åberg continues to impress with elite ball‑striking and composure under pressure. Bellerive’s long layout should suit his strengths, making a top‑three finish a strong value play.