FIFA World Cup Odds & Favourites With One Week Until Tournament

The FIFA World Cup is almost here, so we're taking a look at the favourites and some of the biggest World Cup odds before the action gets underway across the USA, Canada and Mexico.

This year's tournament gets underway in North America on Thursday, 11 June, when hosts Mexico face South Africa.

England's first fixture is against Croatia on Tuesday, 16 June. Scotland, meanwhile, take on Haiti in their first game on Sunday, 14 June.

Before any of the tournament gets underway, we are bringing you the most important odds and a run-down of the tournament favourites for this year's expanded, 48-team World Cup.

All odds taken from Matchbook at 8:00am UK time on Thursday, 4 June.

FIFA World Cup 2026 Favourites

To Win the World Cup

Spain – 6.0

Spain are deserved favourites. They combine technical quality with outstanding squad depth. The core of the side is still young enough to improve, while they are defending European champions, showing their tournament pedigree.

France – 6.2

France arguably have the highest ceiling in the tournament thanks to their athleticism, experience and attacking firepower. Reaching multiple major finals in recent years gives them a psychological edge, and with Kylian Mbappé leading the line they remain a side everyone will want to avoid.

England – 8.4

England have enough talent to win the tournament, especially with their depth in attacking areas and greater tactical flexibility under Thomas Tuchel. The concern is whether they can finally deliver on the biggest stage against top-level opponents, something that has repeatedly stopped them at the latter stages of major tournaments.

Portugal – 10.0

Portugal could be a dark horse for this one. Their midfield and forward options are among the best in the competition. If their younger defenders handle the pressure of the knockout rounds, they have the technical quality to beat any side on their day.

Brazil – 11.0

Brazil remain dangerous simply because of their attacking talent and historical pedigree at World Cups. However, recent inconsistency and uncertainty around defensive structure see them ranked slightly behind the top European sides.

Argentina – 11.0

Champions Argentina still possess the mentality and tournament know-how to win. The question is whether an ageing core can maintain the same intensity over a longer 48-team tournament format with more matches and tougher travel demands.

FIFA World Cup Odds

Golden Boot Winner

Kylian Mbappé – 7.0

Kylian Mbappé is the clear favourite, having delivered repeatedly in major tournaments. France are also expected to make a deep run, giving him more matches and chances to score than most rivals.

Harry Kane – 8.4

Harry Kane is always a serious Golden Boot contender. With 61 goals this season for Bayern Munich, the England captain is in scintillating form. Kane should get plenty of opportunities if they reach at least the semi-finals.

Mikel Oyarzabal – 15.0

Oyarzabal offers interesting outsider value because Spain create a huge number of chances and often dominate possession. While he may share goals with several teammates, Spain’s favourable route and attacking style could still allow him to post a big total.

How Far Will England Go?

Winner – 8.6

England clearly have the squad quality to win the competition, but the odds reflect lingering doubts over whether they can finally deliver in the biggest knockout matches.

Runner-up – 9.4

A final appearance feels possible, even if they fall short against a more proven winner like Spain or France.

Semi-final – 6.8

This looks like one of the safer options. England consistently reach the latter stages of tournaments and have enough depth to manage injuries and fatigue.

Quarter-final – 5.5

Historically, this is close to England’s baseline expectation at major tournaments, especially if they face another elite nation early in the knockout rounds.

R16 – 5.1

An early knockout exit would be viewed as a major disappointment, but the expanded format creates more opportunities for awkward ties and surprise eliminations.

R32 – 4.7

This would likely require England to underperform badly in the group stage and run into dangerous opposition immediately after qualification.

Group Stage – 24.0

A group-stage exit is highly unlikely given England’s squad depth and expected superiority over most opponents.