UFC Fight Night Betting: Odds For Every Bout And Walker Vs. Hill Main Event Preview

Written By Mo Nuwwarah on February 17, 2022
UFC fight night odds

After a ho-hum fight between Israel Adesanya and Robert Whittaker, UFC action continues this week with UFC Fight Night: Walker Vs. Hill, matching Johnny Walker and Jamahal Hill in the Main Event. We’ll run down the full list of odds for Saturday’s UFC Fight Night.

Then, we’ll dive into the Main Event a little deeper with a betting preview to help you figure out if and how you want to bet on Walker vs. Hill.

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UFC Fight Night Odds For Entire Card

Main Card

  • Jamahal Hill () vs. Johnny Walker ()
  • Kyle Daukaus () vs. Jamie Pickett ()
  • Parker Porter () vs. Alan Baudot ()
  • Nikolas Motta () vs. Jim Miller ()
  • Joaquin Buckley () vs. Abdul Razak Alhassan ()

Prelims

  • Jonathan Pearce () vs. Christian Rodriguez ()
  • Mario Bautista () vs. Jay Perrin ()
  • David Onama () vs. Gabriel Benitez ()
  • Jessica-Rose Clark () vs. Stephanie Egger ()
  • Chas Skelly () vs. Mark Striegl ()
  • Diana Belbita () vs. Gloria de Paula ()
  • Chad Anheliger () vs. Jesse Strader ()

UFC Fight Night: Walker Vs. Hill Main Event Preview

Hill Vs. Walker Moneyline

Jamahal Hill
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-240
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-265
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-240
Johnny Walker
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+195
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+205
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+200

These fighters’ styles are tailor-made for an exciting stand-up affair. Expect very little grappling come Saturday night. Whoever can win the striking battle is overwhelmingly likely to take this one.

When examining these two fights’ records, it’s notable to see that Walker has absorbed six losses in 24 professional fights. Simply looking at records won’t always tell the tale, but in this case, it does tell a legitimate story. Walker just hasn’t experienced much success against top-level competition.

The strapping Brazilian (he stands 6-foot-6 and looks to cut quite a bit of weight to make 205) has lost three of his past four. In the lone win, Ryan Spann creamed him for a knockdown but overextended himself hunting the finish, allowing Walker to turn the tide and finish him instead.

Before that, he stringed together three spectacular first-round KOs.

Hill, meanwhile, has come up in a hurry as a highly touted prospect. Paul Craig handed him his first loss last June in an upset win, completely dominating him on the mat as a sizable underdog. That seems unlikely to be a factor here as Walker has never really looked to do anything besides trade on the feet.

Where Walker looks to have an edge is in power and physical strength. As mentioned, he finished Spann with a flurry of elbows and hammerfists while defending a takedown. These sorts of strikes don’t often result in heavy damage like that, showing the kind of power Walker wields.

He also holds a three-inch edge in reach.

However, Hill’s fundamentals and technique look well above Walker’s level.

How Hill Can Outduel Walker

Watching these fighters’ recent stand-up affairs, one can see a clear difference in Hill’s ability to close distance and attack with volume. He knows how to use his footwork and head movement to get in close and start unleashing combinations.

Contrast that with Walker, who had considerable trouble pulling the trigger in a lackluster loss to Thiago Santos. He tried to cut Santos off, but only wound up getting off leg kick potshots in most cases.

Hill has pretty good offensive fundamentals. He moves well and mixes up his strikes, with both kicks and punches that target different levels of the opponent.

He also stays pretty aggressive — he’s in there to win a fight, not avoid losing it. The official UFC striking stats reflect this edge, crediting him for 7.45 significant strikes landed per minute to Walker’s 3.42. That’s a massive difference.

Walker’s lack of head movement and willingness to strike should make for an inviting target.

One area of concern for Hill is he’s shown a vulnerability to leg kicks. Walker has a decent kicking attack, but it seems unlikely to be enough to sway the striking advantage much – if at all.

Hill should win this fight. Unfortunately as a pretty sizable favorite we’re going to have to lay some juice to back him.

Props And Rounds Betting For Walker Vs. Hill

Do MMA props or over/unders bring any hidden value here?

Hill to win by KO is around -130 across the market. Hill could absolutely outpoint Walker to a decision, and he’s been pretty decision-heavy overall in his career.

However, many of these fights came early on. As he has improved his technique, he has become more of a knockout artist. Given the defensive deficiencies of Walker and Hill’s aggression on the feet, that’s how we would expect this one to end. With five rounds to get him out of there, cutting the price in half and going for the prop if you like Hill is probably a little better.

Walker’s most likely avenue to victory looks like catching Hill with a big shot as well. You can find +340 on that at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Due to that potential for a counterpunch KO, the rounds betting says we’re flipping a coin to even see the second bell.

Fight length props via DraftKings Sportsbook:

RoundOverUnder
0.5-675+425
1.5-125-105
2.5+145-175
3.5+210-280
4.5+280-400

How To Watch UFC Fight Night: Walker Vs. Hill

  • Prelims: 4 p.m. EST on ESPN+
  • Main card: 7 p.m. EST on ESPN+

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Mo Nuwwarah

Mo Nuwwarah got his start in gambling early, making his first sports bet on his beloved Fab Five against the UNC Tar Heels in the 1993 NCAA tournament. He lost $5 to his dad and got back into sports betting years later during a 15-year run in the poker industry. A 2011 journalism graduate from Nebraska-Omaha, he combines those skills with his love of sports and statistics to help bettors make more informed decisions with a focus on pro football, baseball and basketball.

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