UFC 283: Betting Odds, Analysis, Promos For Main Card and Prelims

Written By Ben Fowlkes on January 20, 2023
ufc 283 odds

After slumbering through the holiday season, the UFC is back with it’s first big pay-per-view event of 2023 – and for UFC 283, it’s headed back down to Rio de Janeiro for the infectious enthusiasm of the Brazilian fans. This card features two title fights at the top, with former champ Glover Teixeira taking on fast-rising contender Jamahal Hill for the vacant light heavyweight title in the main event, plus flyweight champ Deiveson Figueiredo facing familiar foe Brandon Moreno for a fourth time in the co-main event.

Before taking a detailed look at the fights scheduled for UFC 283 on Saturday, let’s look at the best odds and offers from some of the major sportsbooks. Click on any of the odds below to navigate to the sportsbook with the best available price.

UFC 283 Odds For Entire Card

UFC 283 Main Card

Glover Teixeira () vs. Jamahal Hill ()

Deiveson Figueiredo () vs. Brandon Moreno ()

Gilbert Burns () vs. Neil Magny ()

Jessica Andrade () vs. Lauren Murphy ()

Paul Craig () vs. Johnny Walker ()

UFC 283 Prelims

Mauricio “Shogun” Rua () vs. Ihor Potieria ()

Gregory Rodrigues () vs. Bruno Ferreira ()

Thiago Moises () vs. Melquizael Costa ()

Mounir Lazzez () vs. Gabriel Bonfim ()

UFC 283 Early Prelims

Shamil Abdurakhimov () vs. Jailton Almeida ()

Terrence McKinney () vs. Ismael Bonfim ()

Warlley Alves () vs. Nicolas Dalby ()

Josiane Nunes () vs. Zarah Fairn Dos Santos ()

Luan Lacerda () vs. Cody Stamann ()

Saiman Oliveira () vs. Daniel Marcos ()

UFC 283 Main Event Preview

For the second time in as many months, the UFC will try to crown a new champion at 205 pounds. Also for the second time, it’s between an aging former champ and a young contender on the way up to see who will claim the vacant light heavyweight title.

At 43, former champ Glover Teixeira seems like he should be on the verge of falling off for good any day now. One thing he has going for him, however, is that he was never a fighter who relied on overwhelming speed or athleticism. So he almost doesn’t seem to notice the ravages of age – or at least he doesn’t notice as much. He’s a well-rounded fighter who’s always a submissions threat, but can also hurt people with punches when they agree to stand in front of him. He’s also incredibly durable, not to mention a savvy, experienced competitor who never gets rattled.

In the other corner is Jamahal Hill, 31, a tall, lanky fighter who seems like he’s still in the process of trying to find out how good he can become. He’s had just 13 pro fights, seven of which came in the UFC, and he’s only been a pro for five years. In that time he’s shown a ton of potential, but he’s also been fast-tracked somewhat recently as the UFC found itself in need of fresh names to headline the constant stream of UFC Fight Night cards at the tiny little UFC Apex facility in Las Vegas.

This will be a very different experience for Hill. Fighting for a title in a packed arena filled with Brazilian fans screaming for your blood is a long way from headlining those low-wattage fight cards closer to home. 

Physically, Hill should have some major advantages. He fights well at range, and will enjoy a significant speed advantage. But Teixeira didn’t last this long or make it this far for nothing. If you let him settle into a fight, he only becomes more dangerous. 

Conclusions

Hill wants to keep this on the outside and hurt Teixeira early, making a bet on an early TKO/KO win for the younger man a reasonable pick. But if Teixeira can get through the first round and then get in close and drag this one to the floor, he may well wear Hill down as the fight goes on. An underdog bet on Teixeira is certainly justifiable for those not yet sold on Hill, and picking the former champ via an eventual submission is also worth considering.

Main Event Round Betting

Main Event Method of Victory Odds

UFC 283 Co-Main Event Preview

It’s hard to imagine how two fighters could know each other any better than Deiveson Figueiredo and Brandon Moreno do by now. In their three fights – two of which went the full five-round distance – they’ve spent over an hour engaged in unarmed combat with one another. The first bout ended in a draw, then Moreno took the second with a slick submission victory. The third belonged to Figueiredo, but only by the slimmest of margins on the scorecards. Now they’re hoping the fourth fight will offer a decisive conclusion and clear champion.

A lot depends on how each man approaches this fight. Figueiredo can sometimes get a little wild and reckless, which translates into overwhelming offense when it works but also provides his opponents with countering opportunities when it doesn’t. Moreno tends to be more measured, but he’s still dangerous everywhere – especially if you lay back too much and let him work.

  • Related: DraftKings releases special UFC Futures: Who will hold each belt at the end of the year?

Conclusions

One added wrinkle is that Moreno was forced to change his training camp for this fight after his previous coach, James Krause, got caught up in an ongoing UFC betting scandal that led the UFC to bar fighters from working with him. The other variable, as always, is Figueiredo’s weight. He’s looked trim during fight week, but making 125 pounds can sometimes be a struggle for him. He can’t afford to leave his best stuff in the sauna against Moreno, who can go hard for all 25 minutes. And if history is any indicator, there’s a good chance of this one going the distance again, making the over 4.5 rounds prop worth a look.

Co-Main Event Round Betting

Co-Main Event Method of Victory Odds

Other Main Card Bouts

Gilbert Burns vs. Neil Magny

Magny is as solid a journeyman as any fighter in history, and for much of his prolific UFC run he’s been chronically underestimated. That said, Burns is a tough stylistic matchup for him. He’s got great jiu-jitsu and wrestling, and Magny probably doesn’t want to match power with him on the feet. Burns is overvalued here, with some sportsbooks making him as high as a 1-5 favorite, but he still ought to win this if he shows up focused and in shape.

Jessica Andrade vs. Lauren Murphy

Murphy is a live dog here, which has been true about her for most of her fights over the last few years. She’s not going to wow anyone with her speed or athleticism, but she’s tough and resilient and consistently finds ways to win. Against the smaller and faster Andrade she’ll need to make it messy and use her size, but if there’s anyone who can spoil the party in Brazil with an ugly underdog win, it’s Murphy.

Paul Craig vs. Johnny Walker

The big question is, which version of both these guys will show up to fight on Saturday? Craig is a big, physical fighter with a sneaky submissions game, but he can’t just flop to his back and hope opponents will follow him to their doom anymore. And Walker is at his most dangerous when he’s willing to get weird and a little wild on the feet, rather than trying to be a more conventional, conservative fighter and losing all his pop. Both these guys need a win here, but it’s so hard to know what you’ll get out of either of them on any given night.

Prelim Parlay Options

The heavyweight prelim bout between Jailton Almeida () and Shamil Abdurakhimov might be about as close as the UFC will ever come to human sacrifice. Abdurakhimov has a bad habit of getting knocked out (all five of his UFC losses came that way, which includes the last three in a row), while Almeida is a Brazilian on a 12-fight tear. This one is here to get the crowd amped up as one of their countrymen demolishes a foreigner, and it probably won’t take more than one round.

Also on the prelims, as great a story as it would be for “Shogun” Rua to end his legendary career with a win on home soil, he’s probably getting knocked out by Ihor Potieira. The spirit is still willing for Rua, but the flesh has taken way too much punishment.

How to Watch UFC 283

Early prelims on ESPN+, 6 p.m. ET

Prelims on ABC, 8 p.m. ET

Main card on ESPN+ pay-per-view, 10 p.m. ET

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Ben Fowlkes Avatar
Written by
Ben Fowlkes

Ben Fowlkes has been a sportswriter for over 15 years, writing for outlets such as USA Today, The Athletic, Sports Illustrated, and others. For many years he specialized in combat sports coverage, and he served as president of the MMA Journalists Association. He's also a published fiction writer whose work has appeared in Best American Short Stories, among other places.

View all posts by Ben Fowlkes