UFC 276: Betting Lines, Adesanya Vs. Cannonier Main Event Preview

Written By Mo Nuwwarah on July 2, 2022 - Last Updated on July 3, 2022
UFC 276 odds

The first numbered UFC in a month and a half has arrived, and UFC 276 brings us a pair of championship bouts. Israel Adesanya attempts to make his fifth defense of the middleweight belt against rising star Jared Cannonier. Before that, Alexander Volkanovski, owner of two somewhat controversial wins over Max Holloway, tries to go 3-0 in the trilogy. What do UFC 276 odds have to say about these bouts and more?

Below you’ll find the best available odds across legal sportsbooks. Just click on the odds to bet now and navigate to where those best odds are offered.

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UFC 276 Odds For Entire Card

Main Card

  • Israel Adesanya () vs. Jared Cannonier ()
  • Alexander Volkanovski () vs. Max Holloway ()
  • Sean Strickland () vs. Alex Pereira ()
  • Robbie Lawler () vs. Bryan Barbarena ()
  • Sean O’Malley () vs. Pedro Munhoz ()

Prelims

  • Jalin Turner () vs. Brad Riddell ()
  • Ian Garry () vs. Gabriel Green ()
  • Jim Miller () vs. Donald Cerrone ()
  • Dricus Du Plessis () vs. Brad Tavares ()

Early Prelims

  • Andre Muniz () vs. Uriah Hall ()
  • Maycee Barber () vs. Jessica Eye ()
  • Jessica-Rose Clark () vs. Julija Stoliarenko ()

UFC 276 Main Event Preview

Israel Adesanya has proven rather difficult to defeat in the striking department. Despite a relatively unremarkable statistical profile — just a roughly one-strike differential per minute — fighters have consistently found themselves flummoxed.

Adesanya brings a combination of speed, elusiveness and power that’s difficult to decipher. Even when fighters have been able to avoid the worst of his bite, as Robert Whittaker did earlier this year, they can’t land anything substantial enough to convince the judges they deserve a decision.

Unfortunately for those hoping to see a big upset, it doesn’t look much like Cannonier has what it takes to become the exception to this trend.

Levels Apart In Striking

While Cannonier has solid power behind his strikes and throws single strikes with good speed and intent, he’s a bit mechanical overall with his offense. He doesn’t seem to have the capability to string together multiple strikes fluidly.

That’s going to be a problem against Adesanya. More technical, experienced strikers like Robert Whittaker and Paulo Costa showed little ability to crack Adesanya’s defenses. Cannonier’s unsophisticated attacks seem unlikely to dent him.

Furthermore, Cannonier’s defenses are generally pretty alert. He keeps his hands up and chin fairly tight. However, he has been susceptible to knockdowns when opponents do land. Whittaker dropped him and nearly finished him, and even mediocre striker Derek Brunson clobbered him and may have ended the fight had more time remained in the first round.

Whittaker picked Cannonier apart pretty easily on the feet, and Adesanya had Whittaker completely lost for most of their recent fight.

Adesanya showed a weakness to wrestling when he lost to a much bigger man in Jan Blachowicz. Like Blachowicz, Cannonier has operated in the light heavyweight division (in fact, they fought once with Cannonier, like Adesanya, dropping a decision). However, while he’ll likely be the physically stronger fighter, he hasn’t shown the wrestling or grappling skills to take down and hold down Adesanya.

Props And Rounds Betting For Adesanya Vs. Cannonier

I expect Adesanya to have a large advantage on the feet and ride that to a win. The most interesting question to me for UFC 276 odds is, will he find a finish here?

Given Cannonier’s tendency to get rocked and the speed and accuracy behind Adesanya’s strikes, one might lean toward yes. Five rounds is a long time not to get your clock cleaned by a guy like Adesanya.

However, my recent watchings of Adesanya give me the picture of a fighter content to cruise to easy decisions when he knows he can outpoint his opponent. I don’t think it will take him long to come to that conclusion here.

The market ever so slightly leans toward a decision win. Cannonier has been finished by strikes twice, although one came at the hands of a heavyweight. I think I’m in agreement with the market that a decision feels a little more likely, but if Adesanya cares to get aggressive, I think he can end it earlier than that.

Fight length props via DraftKings Sportsbook:

RoundOverUnder
0.5-3000+900
1.5-450+300
2.5-240+175
3.5-160+120
4.5-125-105

UFC 276 Co-Main Event Preview

First off, while Volkanovski has two in the bank results-wise here, don’t dismiss Holloway out of hand. Many, including this author, thought he did enough to outpoint Volkanovski in their second meeting as a decent underdog. As such, the line’s haven’t moved much from where they closed last time.

The problem here is that fight occurred two years ago. While Volkanovski is actually older than Holloway, he’s quite a bit younger in fight years. He hasn’t taken much damage at all in the intervening years either, booking two easy wins over Brian Ortega and Chan Sung Jung. Holloway can’t dodge strikes the way he once did in his prime as one of the premier strikers in the sport.

Volkanovski has pretty poor finishing skills and Holloway has been as durable as anyone. Only a completely overwhelming dominance against Jung enabled him to avoid the judges the past few years. You can get around +120 for a Volkanovski decision which seems better than laying the juice even in a long fight.

Volkanovski’s penchant for long, close striking battles means there’s only so big of a favorite he can realistically be. He’ll probably get the win here by a decision. Expect another long fight either way, and given the way these two match up, another split decision wouldn’t shock.

Best of luck handicapping UFC 276 odds.

How To Watch UFC 276

  • Early prelims: 6 p.m. EDT on UFC Fight Pass or ESPN+
  • Prelims: 8 p.m. EDT on ABC, ESPN or ESPN+
  • Main card: 10 p.m. EDT on ESPN+ ($74.99)

 

Mo Nuwwarah Avatar
Written by
Mo Nuwwarah

Mo Nuwwarah got his start in gambling early, making his first sports bet on his beloved Fab Five against the UNC Tar Heels in the 1993 NCAA tournament. He lost $5 to his dad and got back into sports betting years later during a 15-year run in the poker industry. A 2011 journalism graduate from Nebraska-Omaha, he combines those skills with his love of sports and statistics to help bettors make more informed decisions with a focus on pro football, baseball and basketball.

View all posts by Mo Nuwwarah
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