UFC 252: Bettors Liking Daniel Cormier Slightly More Than Stipe Miocic

Posted By Dave Bontempo on August 14, 2020 - Last Updated on August 15, 2020
UFC 252 odds Cormier Miocic O'Malley Vera

The lines are moving for UFC 252. But they are adjusting slowly enough for bettors to still find value before Saturday’s matchup of Stipe Miocic versus Daniel Cormier for the heavyweight championship. Here is UFC 252 odds information on the main event and more.

DraftKings Sportsbook reported that “DC” had gotten 64% of the handle and 58 % of the bets by late Thursday. That was enough to make him the slight favorite, nudging the moneyline from -110 each on Monday to Cormier -115 and Miocic -104, by Friday morning. By Saturday morning, Cormier was -114 and Miocic was -106.

UFC 252 betting promos

DraftKings

DraftKings Sportsbook has a fantastic offer for UFC 252 as new users can bet $1 to win $252 when correctly picking the winner of the Miocic vs. Cormier main vent. The max bet is $1 and you must be in PA, IN, IA, NJ, WV, CO or IL to bet with DK. To get started with DraftKings Sportsbook, go here.

FanDuel

FanDuel Sportsbook has an exciting offer for UFC 252 when it comes to new users. FD is offering a 25/1 odds boost on either Miocic or Cormier in the main event. This is an in-app offer only, the max bet is $5 and it is available to new users in all states. To take advantage of this offer, go here.

UFC 252 odds

Here’s the Saturday card with UFC 252 odds as of Saturday morning. The UFC 252 odds listed here are via DraftKings Sportsbook.

  • Daniel Cormier -114 vs. Stipe Miocic -106
  • Sean O’Malley – 286 vs. Marlon Vera +225
  • Jairzinho Rozenstruik -136 vs. Junior dos Santos +108
  • Merab Dvalishvili -240 vs. John Dodson +188
  • Herbert Burns -250 vs. Daniel Pineda +205
  • Vinc Pichel -130 vs. Jim Miller +105
  • Livinha Souza -162 vs. Ashley Yoder, +130
  • Virna Jandiroba -315 vs. Felice Herrig +240
  • TJ Brown -155 vs. Danny Chavez +125

Betting overview

Wait until the last minute

This is the wagering equivalent of an NFL game in which the last team holding ball will probably win. In this case, last-minute betting could form the final line.

Johnny Avello, the director of race and sportsbook operations for DraftKings, expects late betting, right up until each fight starts.

“This is one of those events in which the action has been steady, but there is going to be a lot of betting even closer to the fight,” he told TheLines. “With so many sports having come back, bettors are putting their money on what is today’s top event.

“We are taking many large bets in every single sport. Last Sunday, one hour before the final round of the PGA, we took $350,000 on Dustin Johnson (roughly 3-1) and $75,000 on Collin Morikawa (the eventual winner at 9-1). We anticipate a lot of UFC betting as it gets close and on the final day of the event. The UFC has been strong and steady for us all along”

This looks to be one time when bettors can afford some patience. The line should not jump up and run away from either main event fighter. Each fighter has a knockout victory over the other, in exciting fashion. Each is vulnerable, with Cormier at 41 and Miocic at 37.

Stylin’ and profilin’

The moneyline hinges on whether gamblers believe Miocic can unveil the same style that brought him the rematch victory last year. He used an 8-inch reach advantage, stayed outside, peppered Cormier with hooks to the body and finally dropped him. “DC” had won the first fight by nailing Miocic with a short right from in close that dropped him. That set up a finishing flurry against a grounded opponent to provide the victory. Miocic did the same in the rematch.

Prop city

If you carried the -225 sentiment for the fight to end inside the distance into the prop bets board, you’ll find some big numbers at DraftKings. Cormier to repeat his Round 1 victory for the first fight is +600. Miocic to duplicate his round 4 win in the rematch is +1650. It looks like neither fighter wants the ground, and that’s why DC is +1000 for a submission and Miocic is +2000. But Cormier has turned the trick. He submitted Derrick Lewis in his first heavyweight title defense and also became the first fighter ever to successfully defend both the light-heavyweight and heavyweight championships.

Movements and matchups

Some quick hitters on UFC 252 odds ahead of Saturday night:

  • O’Malley dropped to -286 from -315, while Vera went from +240 to +225.
  • Rozenstruik, once -150, was trimmed to -136 after money came in on dos Santos, nudging him from +120 to +108. The line reflects the parity one would expect from the number 5 (dos Santos) and Number 6 (Rozenstruik) division contenders.
  • Rozenstruik was stopped in 20 seconds by Francis Ngannou in May. For dos Santos, the result was no better. He was beaten in 1:11 by the fighter considered the uncrowned champion of the division. Ngannou is ranked second.
  • Rozenstruik may start slowly in this fight and dos Santos has been an early whirlwind for those eyeing distance prop bets. His last four fights have lasted less than seven rounds. The former heavyweight champion comes off a TKO loss in two rounds against Curtis Blaydes in January.
  • Rozenstruik and dos Santos need a win badly. And they will have to go over each other to get it
    FanDuel offers a unique line on the fight. While Rozenstruik is -136 to win, he is only +115 for a KO/TKO. It’s unusual for a method of victory to return less than the moneyline. Message: no need to be too fine for a Rozenstruik bettor. If you like him to win, hit the moneyline.
  • For dos Santos, the odds are +108 on the moneyline and +360 for a KO/TKO, more in line with the relationship between winning and method of victory.
  • O’Malley is the 14th-ranked bantamweight and starting to roll. After not fighting in two years, he embarks on a third battle in five months. His last two bouts have finished inside of one round. But the bookmakers believe he will face harder opposition. The fight to go the distance is -110 and to not go is -121 at DraftKings. For bettors who go contrarian to this line, there will be a strong return in many O’Malley KO/TKO scenarios.
  • Dvalishvili bettors propelled him to -240 from -200, while Dodson went to +188 from +160.
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Dave Bontempo

Dave Bontempo, who writes extensively on the emergence of legalized sports betting, is a recipient of the Sam Taub Award for Broadcast Excellence by the Boxing Writers Association of America. He has broadcast boxing for all the major networks over the last four decades and is a member of the New Jersey Boxing Hall of Fame as well as the Atlantic City Boxing Hall of Fame. His work also can be seen at the Press of Atlantic City and iGamingPlayer.

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