Twins Vs Orioles: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – May 2, 2022

Written By Staff on May 1, 2022

The Minnesota Twins (13-9) and the Baltimore Orioles (8-14) square off for the first of a four-game series on Monday at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, starting at 7:05 PM ET. The Twins are coming off a 2-1 series win over the Rays, and the Orioles head into the matchup after a 2-1 series win over the Red Sox. Chris Paddack starts for Minnesota (-153 to win) while Baltimore (+130) will counter with Tyler Wells.

The betting insights in what follows reflect odds as of May 2, 2022 at 5:24 PM ET.

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Twins vs Orioles Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Paddack (MIN) Pitcher Wells (BAL)
0 – 2 W/L 0 – 2
14.2 IP 13.0
3.68 ERA 5.54
1.159 WHIP 1.385
8 K/9 6.9
0.6 BB/9 2.8

Twins Probable Starter Chris Paddack

  • Paddack makes the start for the Twins, his fourth of the season. He is 0-2 with a 3.68 ERA and 13 strikeouts in 14 2/3 innings pitched.
  • His most recent appearance came on Tuesday against the Detroit Tigers, when the righty threw 5 2/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up five hits.
  • The 26-year-old has put together a 3.68 ERA and 8 strikeouts per nine innings in three games this season, while giving up a batting average of .000 to his opponents.
  • The opposing Orioles offense has a collective .219 batting average, and is 23rd in the league with 160 total hits and 26th in MLB play with 71 runs scored. It has the 29th-ranked slugging percentage (.317) and ranks 29th in home runs (11) in all of MLB.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of May 2, 2022 at 5:24 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Orioles Stats vs Paddack

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Anthony Santander 3 .333 1 0 1 .333 .666
Rougned Odor 3 .667 2 1 1 .667 2.334
Trey Mancini 2 .000 0 0 0 .333 .333

Orioles Probable Starter Tyler Wells

  • Wells (0-2) will take to the mound for the Orioles and make his fifth start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed three hits in 5 2/3 innings against the New York Yankees.
  • The 27-year-old has pitched to a 5.54 ERA this season with 6.9 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.8 walks per nine across four games.
  • The Twins rank 14th in MLB with 94 runs scored this season. They have a .230 batting average this campaign with 24 home runs (seventh in the league).

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of May 2, 2022 at 5:24 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Twins Stats vs Wells

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Gio Urshela 3 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Trevor Larnach 2 .500 1 0 1 .500 1.000
Ryan Jeffers 1 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Kyle Garlick 1 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Nick Gordon 1 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Gilberto Celestino 1 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Gary Sánchez 1 .000 0 0 0 .500 .500
Jorge Polanco 1 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Twins Betting Trends

  • The Twins have compiled a 7-4 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 63.6% of those games).
  • Minnesota has played as a moneyline favorite of -153 or shorter in just one game this season, which they won.
  • Based on this game’s moneyline, the Twins have an implied win probability of 60.5%.
  • In the 22 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for Minnesota, it has combined with opponents to go over the total nine times (9-12-1).
  • The Twins have collected an 11-11-0 record against the spread this season (covering 50% of the time).
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Orioles Betting Trends

  • The Orioles have won eight, or 36.4%, of the 22 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.
  • This season, Baltimore has won six of its 16 games, or 37.5%, when they’re the underdog by at least +130 on the moneyline.
  • The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 43.5% chance of a victory for the Orioles.
  • Baltimore and its opponents have hit the over in seven of their 22 games with a total this season.
  • The Orioles have an ATS record of 12-10-0 in 22 games with a spread this season.

Twins Players to Watch

  • Max Kepler has a team-best OBP (.373), while pacing the Twins in hits (18). He’s batting .257 with three doubles, five home runs and 11 walks.
  • Among the qualifying batters in MLB play, Kepler’s batting average ranks 65th, his on-base percentage ranks 31st, and he is 22nd in the league in slugging.
  • Byron Buxton has four doubles, seven home runs and two walks while batting .283.
  • Luis Arraez is batting .299 with two doubles, a home run and seven walks and has a team-high .373 slugging percentage.
  • Jorge Polanco is hitting .195 with five doubles, two home runs and 12 walks.

Twins Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Carlos Correa 78 .256 11 1 8 .326 .659
Jorge Polanco 77 .195 9 2 12 .303 .641
Max Kepler 70 .257 9 5 12 .373 .887
Luis Arraez 67 .299 6 1 7 .365 .738
Gio Urshela 66 .258 8 1 5 .324 .627
Byron Buxton 53 .283 13 7 12 .345 1.100
Trevor Larnach 52 .269 7 0 7 .316 .701
Ryan Jeffers 51 .216 5 2 5 .286 .698
Gary Sánchez 50 .200 3 1 9 .245 .585
Nick Gordon 34 .235 7 0 0 .297 .621

Orioles Players to Watch

  • Anthony Santander leads Baltimore with an OBP of .407 this season while batting .243 with 16 walks and nine runs scored.
  • Among all the qualifying batters in the majors, Santander ranks 82nd in batting average, 17th in on-base percentage, and 79th in slugging percentage.
  • Austin Hays leads Baltimore in slugging percentage (.438) and total hits (22) this season.
  • Among all qualifying hitters, Hays is 44th in batting average, 45th in on-base percentage and 55th in slugging percentage.
  • Cedric Mullins is batting .221 with a .372 slugging percentage and eight RBI this year.
  • Ryan Mountcastle has been key for Baltimore with 20 hits, an OBP of .286 plus a slugging percentage of .338.

Orioles Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Cedric Mullins 86 .221 12 2 8 .309 .681
Austin Hays 80 .275 6 2 9 .356 .794
Ryan Mountcastle 80 .250 7 2 9 .286 .624
Trey Mancini 76 .224 5 1 8 .274 .590
Anthony Santander 70 .243 9 3 11 .407 .807
Ramón Urías 70 .200 5 0 3 .253 .496
Jorge Mateo 69 .246 6 0 5 .297 .616
Rougned Odor 55 .200 7 1 6 .274 .601
Robinson Chirinos 41 .171 2 0 3 .306 .526
Kelvin Gutierrez 28 .143 2 0 3 .250 .429

Twins vs Orioles Player Props

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