Twins Vs Guardians: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – June 23, 2022

Written By Staff on June 23, 2022

The Cleveland Guardians (36-28) will look to Jose Ramirez, who is riding an 11-game hitting streak, when they face the Minnesota Twins (38-32) at 1:10 PM ET on Thursday at Target Field. Minnesota (-136 to win) has Devin Smeltzer set to start, while Cleveland (+116) will counter with Zach Plesac.

The betting insights in the article below reference odds valid as of June 23, 2022 at 11:24 AM ET.

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Twins vs Guardians Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Smeltzer (MIN) Pitcher Plesac (CLE)
3 – 1 W/L 2 – 4
38.1 IP 67.1
3.52 ERA 4.41
1.148 WHIP 1.277
4.5 K/9 5.9
2.6 BB/9 2

Twins Probable Starter Devin Smeltzer

  • Smeltzer (3-1) gets the starting nod for the Twins in his eighth start of the season. He’s put together a 3.52 ERA in 38 1/3 innings pitched, with 19 strikeouts.
  • His last time out was on Saturday against the Arizona Diamondbacks, when the lefty threw 4 2/3 innings, surrendering six earned runs while allowing nine hits.
  • In seven games this season, the 26-year-old has a 3.52 ERA and 4.5 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .234 to opposing batters.
  • Smeltzer is trying to secure his fourth quality start of the year in this game.
  • He will take the hill against a Guardians offense that is hitting .251 as a unit (ninth in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .393 (16th in MLB) with 53 total home runs (27th in MLB).

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of June 23, 2022 at 11:24 AM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Guardians Stats vs Smeltzer

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
José Ramírez 8 .250 2 0 1 .333 .708
Franmil Reyes 6 .333 2 0 2 .429 .929
Myles Straw 3 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Steven Kwan 2 .500 1 0 0 .500 1.000
Owen Miller 2 .500 1 0 0 .500 1.500
Amed Rosario 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Andrés Giménez 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Austin Hedges 1 .000 0 0 0 .500 .500

Guardians Probable Starter Zach Plesac

  • Plesac (2-4) will take to the mound for the Guardians and make his 13th start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he gave up one earned run and allowed five hits in 6 2/3 innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers.
  • The 27-year-old has pitched to a 4.41 ERA this season with 5.9 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2 walks per nine across 12 games.
  • He’s going for his fifth quality start in a row.
  • The Twins have scored 315 runs this season, which ranks 12th in MLB. They are batting .252 for the campaign with 82 home runs, 10th in the league.
  • The 27-year-old’s 4.41 ERA ranks 52nd, 1.277 WHIP ranks 43rd, and 5.9 K/9 ranks 56th among qualified pitchers in the majors this year.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of June 23, 2022 at 11:24 AM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Twins Stats vs Plesac

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Luis Arraez 8 .375 3 0 2 .444 .819
Gio Urshela 8 .250 2 0 1 .250 .500
Alex Kirilloff 5 .200 1 0 0 .200 .600
Max Kepler 5 .200 1 1 3 .200 1.000
Ryan Jeffers 4 .000 0 0 0 .200 .200
Byron Buxton 3 .333 1 1 2 .333 1.666
Carlos Correa 3 .667 2 1 1 .667 2.667
Gary Sánchez 3 .333 1 0 0 .333 .666
Nick Gordon 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Trevor Larnach 1 .000 0 0 0 .500 .500

Twins Betting Trends

  • The Twins have gone 26-17 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 60.5% of those games).
  • In games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -136 or shorter, Minnesota has gone 21-12 (63.6%).
  • Based on this game’s moneyline, the Twins’ implied win probability is 57.6%.
  • In the 70 games bookmakers have set an over/under for Minnesota, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 34 times (34-32-4).
  • The Twins have covered 42.9% of their games this season, going 30-40-0 ATS.
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Guardians Betting Trends

  • This season, the Guardians have won 16 out of the 35 games, or 45.7%, in which they’ve been the underdog.
  • Cleveland has a record of 11-13, a 45.8% win rate, when they’re set as an underdog of +116 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 46.3% chance of a victory for the Guardians.
  • Cleveland and its opponents have hit the over in 32 of their 64 games with a total this season.
  • The Guardians are 36-28-0 against the spread in their 64 chances this season.

Twins Players to Watch

  • Luis Arraez has a team-high OBP (.433) and slugging percentage (.449), while hitting .355 with eight doubles, four home runs and 28 walks.
  • Among qualified hitters, Arraez ranks first in batting average, while his on-base percentage ranks first and he is 53rd in slugging.
  • Byron Buxton has nine doubles, 19 home runs and 19 walks while batting .228, and leads his team with 44 hits.
  • Buxton ranks 122nd in batting average, 102nd in on base percentage, and eighth in slugging in baseball.
  • Max Kepler has 10 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 29 walks while hitting .244.
  • Gio Urshela is batting .260 with 10 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 19 walks.

Twins Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Gio Urshela 215 .260 27 6 29 .315 .715
Luis Arraez 214 .355 38 4 25 .433 .882
Max Kepler 205 .244 29 7 31 .342 .747
Gary Sánchez 198 .217 22 8 30 .284 .703
Byron Buxton 193 .228 38 19 33 .312 .882
Carlos Correa 191 .293 27 7 23 .354 .820
Trevor Larnach 157 .236 22 5 18 .311 .725
Ryan Jeffers 150 .200 19 5 20 .286 .639
Nick Gordon 142 .261 16 1 8 .300 .666
Jose Miranda 125 .232 10 4 16 .262 .662

Guardians Players to Watch

  • Ramirez leads Cleveland with 71 hits and an OBP of .393, plus a team-best slugging percentage of .630.
  • Of all qualifying hitters in MLB, Ramirez ranks 16th in batting average, eighth in on-base percentage and fourth in slugging percentage.
  • Josh Naylor has collected 46 hits this season to earn an on-base percentage of .344.
  • Amed Rosario has collected 66 base hits, an OBP of .306 and a slugging percentage of .375 this season.
  • Steven Kwan is batting .284 with a .365 OBP and 17 RBI for Cleveland this season.

Guardians Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Amed Rosario 240 .275 34 2 18 .306 .681
Myles Straw 239 .205 42 0 7 .299 .558
José Ramírez 235 .302 44 16 62 .393 1.023
Owen Miller 206 .262 33 4 32 .313 .726
Steven Kwan 183 .284 27 1 17 .365 .737
Andrés Giménez 181 .304 22 7 34 .342 .834
Josh Naylor 164 .280 21 8 38 .344 .850
Austin Hedges 139 .165 13 5 15 .225 .506
Franmil Reyes 138 .196 10 4 14 .253 .550
Oscar Gonzalez 96 .333 12 2 13 .363 .863

Twins vs Guardians Player Props

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