Twins Vs Brewers: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – July 12, 2022

Written By Staff on July 11, 2022

The Minnesota Twins (48-40) will look for another big outing from a batter on a roll when they match up against the Milwaukee Brewers (48-39) on Tuesday at 7:40 PM ET at Target Field. Ryan Jeffers is on a two-game home run streak. Minnesota (-143 to win) has Josh Winder set to start, and Milwaukee (+121) will send out Jason Alexander.

The insights in the following article reference odds valid as of July 12, 2022 at 5:41 PM ET.

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Twins vs Brewers Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Winder (MIN) Pitcher Alexander (MIL)
4 – 2 W/L 2 – 1
40.1 IP 36.0
3.12 ERA 4.75
1.240 WHIP 1.722
6 K/9 4.2
2.7 BB/9 3.8

Twins Probable Starter Josh Winder

  • Winder (4-2 with a 3.12 ERA and 27 strikeouts in 40 1/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Twins, his sixth of the season.
  • In his most recent outing on Wednesday against the Chicago White Sox, the righty tossed 5 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
  • The 25-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.12, with 6 strikeouts per nine innings, in nine games this season. Opponents are hitting .247 against him.
  • Winder enters this matchup with three quality starts under his belt this year.
  • The opposing Brewers offense has the ninth-ranked slugging percentage (.412) and ranks fourth in MLB play with 119 home runs. It has a collective .236 batting average, and is 20th in MLB with 684 total hits and 11th in MLB action scoring 396 runs.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 12, 2022 at 5:41 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Brewers Probable Starter Jason Alexander

  • Alexander (2-1) will take the mound for the Brewers, his seventh start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, when he threw 5 2/3 innings against the Chicago Cubs, giving up six earned runs while allowing eight hits.
  • The 29-year-old has pitched in eight games this season with an ERA of 4.75 and 4.2 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .315.
  • In six starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in one of them.
  • The Twins have scored 404 runs this season, which ranks seventh in MLB. They are batting .254 for the campaign with 111 home runs, eighth in the league.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 12, 2022 at 5:41 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Twins Betting Trends

  • The Twins have been favored on the moneyline 53 total times this season. They’ve finished 33-20 in those games.
  • When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -143 or shorter, Minnesota has a record of 23-8 (74.2%).
  • The implied moneyline probablility in this matchup gives the Twins a 58.8% chance to win.
  • Minnesota has played in 88 games with set over/under, and has combined with opponents to go over the total 42 times (42-41-5).
  • The Twins have put together a 37-51-0 record against the spread this season (covering 42% of the time).
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Brewers Betting Trends

  • This season, the Brewers have won nine out of the 17 games, or 52.9%, in which they’ve been the underdog.
  • Milwaukee is 3-1 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +121 or more on the moneyline.
  • The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 45.2% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
  • Milwaukee and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 43 of their 87 opportunities.
  • The Brewers are 39-48-0 against the spread in their 87 chances this season.

Twins Players to Watch

  • Luis Arraez has racked up a team-best OBP (.420) and slugging percentage (.449), while batting .348 with 15 doubles, a triple, four home runs and 34 walks.
  • Among the qualifying batters in MLB action, Arraez’s batting average ranks first, his on-base percentage ranks first, and he is 55th in the league in slugging.
  • Max Kepler is hitting .244 with 12 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 40 walks.
  • Among qualifying hitters, Kepler’s batting average ranks 91st, his on-base percentage ranks 40th, and he is 95th in the league in slugging.
  • Byron Buxton is hitting .215 with 11 doubles, two triples, 23 home runs and 23 walks. He has totaled 54 hits, a team-high for the Twins.
  • Jorge Polanco is hitting .242 with 10 doubles, 12 home runs and 40 walks.

Twins Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Luis Arraez 287 .348 50 4 29 .420 .869
Gio Urshela 270 .267 33 8 35 .313 .728
Max Kepler 262 .244 37 9 37 .350 .751
Jorge Polanco 256 .242 37 12 44 .341 .763
Byron Buxton 251 .215 48 23 42 .295 .845
Carlos Correa 248 .278 37 10 31 .351 .803
Gary Sánchez 240 .221 27 10 36 .282 .703
Ryan Jeffers 185 .211 22 7 25 .288 .666
Nick Gordon 185 .270 23 4 12 .315 .731
Jose Miranda 172 .250 14 7 29 .291 .733

Brewers Players to Watch

  • Rowdy Tellez has been key for Milwaukee with 66 hits, an OBP of .306 plus a slugging percentage of .467.
  • Among all qualified batters in the big leagues, Tellez’s batting average is 120th, his on-base percentage ranks 114th, and he is 38th in slugging.
  • Christian Yelich is slashing .250/.345/.383 this season and leads the Brewers with an OPS of .728.
  • Yelich is currently 83rd in batting average, 50th in on-base percentage and 116th in slugging percentage among all qualified hitters.
  • Willy Adames leads Milwaukee in total hits (55) this season, and 31 of those have gone for extra bases.
  • Andrew McCutchen is batting .253 with a .318 OBP and 35 RBI for Milwaukee this season.

Brewers Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Christian Yelich 316 .250 56 8 31 .345 .728
Rowdy Tellez 287 .230 33 17 55 .306 .773
Andrew McCutchen 281 .253 35 8 35 .318 .699
Willy Adames 254 .217 44 17 47 .289 .761
Kolten Wong 217 .235 34 6 22 .324 .730
Luis Urías 213 .230 31 10 29 .321 .725
Jace Peterson 200 .240 30 7 28 .309 .734
Omar Narváez 162 .253 15 3 16 .349 .732
Keston Hiura 122 .238 20 8 17 .354 .805
Victor Caratini 119 .244 15 7 18 .364 .818

Twins vs Brewers Player Props

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