Twins vs Brewers: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – April 4, 2021

Posted By Staff on April 4, 2021

The Minnesota Twins (1-1) visit the Milwaukee Brewers (1-1) at 2:10 PM ET on Sunday at Miller Park. The Twins are favored (-112) to break the 1-1 tie and take the series over the Brewers (-104). Minnesota’s Michael Pineda and Milwaukee’s Adrian Houser will start this matchup.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 4, 2021, 3:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Twins vs Brewers Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

The probable pitchers for both teams have not made a start this season. Here are their stats from last season:

Pineda (MIN) Pitcher Houser (MIL)
2 – 0 W/L 1 – 6
26.2 IP 56.0
3.37 ERA 5.30
1.200 WHIP 1.500
8.4 K/9 7.1
2.4 BB/9 3.4

Twins Probable Starter Michael Pineda

  • Pineda will make his first start of the season for the Twins.
  • The 32-year-old right-hander started and threw four innings in his last appearance on Saturday, Sept. 26 against the Reds.
  • Pineda and his team won all five games he appeared in when they were moneyline favorites a season ago.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of April 4, 2021 at 6:06 AM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Brewers Stats vs Pineda

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Lorenzo Cain 20 .150 3 0 4 .208 .408
Jackie Bradley Jr. 16 .250 4 0 0 .455 .893
Travis Shaw 15 .267 4 1 3 .267 .734
Omar Narváez 5 .200 1 0 0 .200 .400
Daniel Vogelbach 5 .200 1 0 0 .200 .600
Christian Yelich 4 .250 1 1 2 .333 1.333
Keston Hiura 2 .500 1 0 0 .500 1.000
Billy McKinney 2 .500 1 0 0 .500 1.000
Orlando Arcia 2 .500 1 0 1 .500 1.500
Avisaíl García 2 .500 1 0 1 .500 1.000

Brewers Probable Starter Adrian Houser

  • Houser gets the nod for the Brewers and will make his first start of the season.
  • The last time the righty took the mound was on Friday, Oct. 2 last season, when he pitched two scoreless innings in a matchup with the Dodgers.
  • Houser and his team won as underdogs in one of his three appearances last season with a moneyline.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of April 4, 2021 at 6:06 AM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Twins Stats vs Houser

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Max Kepler 3 .333 1 0 0 .333 .666
Jorge Polanco 3 .333 1 0 0 .333 .666
Luis Arraez 2 .500 1 0 0 .500 1.000
Byron Buxton 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Nelson Cruz 2 .000 0 0 0 .333 .333
Willians Astudillo 1 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Twins Betting Trends

  • Last season the Twins had the No. 18 offense in MLB play scoring 4.5 runs per game (269 total runs).
  • The Twins were favored on the moneyline 48 total times last season. They went 30-18 in those games.
  • When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -112 or shorter, Minnesota went 30-17 (63.8%).
  • Minnesota combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 20 times last season for a 20-34-5 record against the over/under.

Brewers Betting Trends

  • The Brewers won 10, or 47.6%, of the 21 games they played as underdogs last season.
  • Milwaukee was 9-10 last season when entering a game as the underdog by -104 or more on the moneyline.
  • Milwaukee and its opponents hit the over in 24 of their 58 games with a total last season.

Twins Players to Watch

  • Nelson Cruz had 16 home runs and 33 runs batted in last season.
  • Among the qualified batters in baseball, Cruz ranked seventh in HR (16), 21st in BA (.303), and 18th in OBP (.383).
  • Miguel Sano had 12 doubles, 13 home runs and 17 walks while hitting .204.
  • Among the qualifying hitters in MLB action, Sano’s 13 HR ranked 24th.

Twins Batting Stats (2020)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Jorge Polanco 209 .258 22 4 19 .304 .653
Miguel Sanó 186 .204 31 13 25 .275 .753
Nelson Cruz 185 .303 33 16 33 .383 .978
Max Kepler 171 .228 27 9 23 .321 .760
Byron Buxton 130 .254 19 13 27 .267 .844
Andrelton Simmons 118 .297 19 0 10 .346 .702
Jake Cave 113 .221 17 4 15 .285 .674
Luis Arraez 112 .321 16 0 13 .364 .766
Mitch Garver 72 .167 8 2 5 .247 .511
Ryan Jeffers 55 .273 5 3 7 .355 .791

Brewers Players to Watch

  • Jackie Bradley Jr. finished with a .283 average, seven home runs and 22 RBI last season.
  • Bradley was not among league leaders in SLG and OBP among qualified hitters in MLB.
  • Orlando Arcia hit .260 with an OBP of .317 and a slugging percentage of .416.
  • Among qualified hitters, Arcia fell outside of the league leaders in home runs and RBI in the league.

Brewers Batting Stats (2020)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Keston Hiura 217 .212 30 13 32 .291 .701
Christian Yelich 200 .205 39 12 22 .351 .781
Jackie Bradley Jr. 191 .283 32 7 22 .361 .811
Avisaíl García 181 .238 20 2 15 .327 .653
Kolten Wong 181 .265 26 1 16 .346 .672
Orlando Arcia 173 .260 22 5 20 .317 .733
Travis Shaw 163 .239 17 6 17 .306 .717
Daniel Vogelbach 115 .209 16 6 16 .326 .717
Luis Urías 109 .239 11 0 11 .308 .602
Omar Narváez 108 .176 8 2 10 .294 .563

Twins vs Brewers Player Props

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