Tuesday NBA Player Props: Giannis Antetokounmpo, Domantas Sabonis

Written By Josh Lander on April 4, 2023
nba player props

The NBA is back after a night off with 13 games on the slate. I’m looking at a few NBA player props from Bucks vs. Wizards and Kings vs. Pelicans. Giannis Antetokounmpo and Milwaukee are in Washington at 7:00 p.m. EDT as favorites with a point total set at . Later in the evening, Domantas Sabonis and Sacramento pay a visit to New Orleans for a matchup with the Pelicans at 8:00 p.m. EDT. The Kings are underdogs in the game, which features a point total set at . Let’s get into why I like Giannis to have another dominating performance over the Wizards and Domas to continue his recent struggles against the Pelicans

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Josh Lander is 23-7 and up 14+ units betting NBA player props over the last month. Check out the NBA Coast 2 Coast podcast each and every weekday with co-host Nate Weitzer and give him a follow on Twitter, @jlboogy. Click on the odds below to bet now.

Editor’s Note

Bucks At Wizards

Below are the available NBA player props for the game between the Bucks and Wizards.

Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 30.5 Pts (1u)

Here are Antetokounmpo’s core points, rebounds and assists props for the game against the Wizards:

  • Points: Over/Under /
  • Rebounds: Over/Under /
  • Assists: /

Few players have enjoyed matching up with Washington more than Giannis Antetokounmpo. The Greek Freak is averaging 35 points, 13 rebounds, and nine assists in his last four meetings with the Wizards.

That includes a 55-point outburst in January with Jrue Holiday also in the lineup.

I’m hitting the over on Giannis’s point prop with a full unit on Tuesday night. I also tossed a half of a unit on Antetokounmpo to record a triple double at +5000 in Washington. FanDuel’s price was extremely off-market, with other books offering +700. I tweeted these odds, but FanDuel corrected them in less than an hour.

Point Giannis

Bucks All-Star Forward Khris Middleton has been battling his way back from a knee injury all season long and won’t be available to play Tuesday night. While Giannis averages a similar amount of points and rebounds without Middleton, he steps up big time as a playmaker.

Over the team’s last three games without Middleton, Antetokounmpo has averaged 32.7 points, 11.3 rebounds, and 10.3 assists. He’s also recorded triple doubles in two of those three.

In his last seven games with Middleont, Giannis is still averaging an impressive 30.3 points and 11.0 rebounds. However, his assists drop all the way to 4.7 per game.

In a game that likely won’t require Antetokounmpo to carry the scoring load for his team, expect him to look for his teammates early and often.

No Defense For The Greek Freak

Washington has played well against Milwaukee this season, even managing a blowout-win on January 1 without the Bucks’ “Big 3” on the floor. Don’t expect the same Wizards players on the floor for Tuesday’s game, though. The team’s entire starting lineup has already been ruled out now that it’s officially eliminated from playoff contention.

It’s certainly plausible that the Wizards’ reserves come out firing and hang around in this game, despite being underdogs. We’re at the point in the season that tanking teams such as Washington are auditioning young players with their NBA careers to play for.

That would certainly increase Antetokounmpo’s shot at a triple double and the over on his points prop.

Either way, expect Giannis to put up his normal 30+ points against the Wizards. Over the last seven games, Washington has allowed the fourth-most points to the position and will also be without starting power forward Deni Avdija on Tuesday.

Milwaukee needs to win three of its last four games to guarantee itself the 1-seed in the East. Bank on Giannis dominating the lowly Wizards and moving his team one step closer to its ultimate regular season goal.

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Kings At Pelicans

Domantas Sabonis Under 39.5 Points, Rebounds, and Assists

Here are Sabonis’s core points, rebounds and assists props for the game against the Pelicans:

  • Points: Over/Under /
  • Rebounds: Over/Under /
  • Assists: Over/Under /
  • Points, Rebounds, and Assists: /

Despite clinching a spot in the NBA Playoffs for the first time since 2006, it’s been a rocky end to the season for the Sacramento Kings. The Kings only managed a 4-4 record over their last eight games while Sabonis’s production has been slightly down during that time.

In his last eight games Domas is averaging 19 points, 11 rebounds, and 7 assists. That’s slightly below his prop against the Pelicans on Tuesday night.

Add the fact that Sabonis traditionally struggles against his fellow countryman, Jonas Valanciunas, and it’s a good spot to fade the Kings’ big man. I’m taking Under points, rebounds, and assists combined for Domas.

Not Against Big Bro

Sabonis has failed to go over his props in four straight games against the Pelicans, including one matchup without Valanciunas on the floor. In those four meetings (three as a member of the Kings), Domas averaged 15 points, 12 rebounds, and seven assists per game.

Adding to those woes are the fact that his teams are a -52 when he’s been on the floor against the Pels in those games.

Things get even worse for Sabonis when JoVal is on the floor guarding him. In nine career matchups with the older Lithuanian center, Domas has averaged 13 pionts, 10 rebounds, and 4 assists per game.

A Soaring Pelicans Defense

New Orleans has been the best defense in the NBA since the All-Star break, allowing just 108 points per game. It’s also in the top five at limiting opponents’ 3-point percentages, assists, and rebounds.

Don’t expect Sabonis to get anything easy either. In their last eight games, the Pelicans own the second-best defense down low, limiting opponents to 43 paint points a night. Unsurprisingly, Domas scores 70% of his points from the paint, often relying on offensive rebounds and tip-ins to accumulate his points.

JoVal and his backups have also dominated their counterparts over the last 2 months. The Pelicans have limited opposing centers to the tenth-fewest points and sixth-fewest rebounds during that time.

Best of luck with your NBA player props tonight.

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