Tuesday College Basketball Best Bets: Chris Beard Returns To Texas Tech

Written By Eli Hershkovich on February 1, 2022
College Basketball Best Bets

Within Tuesday’s jam-packed college hoops slate, there are a pair of top-25 matchups. One of them is No. 23 Texas at No. 14 Texas Tech — in Chris Beard’s first game back in Lubbock since taking the Longhorns gig in April 2021. Let’s break down my college basketball best bets for this matchup.

Click on the odds below to place a bet.

In this COVID era, some of these wagers are contingent on player availability, so check back and follow me on Twitter. Continue the discussion in our Discord betting community, as we dissect all of the games.

No. 23 Texas Longhorns at No. 19 Texas Tech Red Raiders

For starters, it’s no surprise that the betting market is backing Texas Tech after the Red Raiders opened as 4.5-point home favorites. They present one of the top home court advantages in the nation, and their fans will be all over Beard after he left for their Big 12 rival.

But these programs are near one another in my college basketball power ratings, and there’s some value in the road underdog.

Mark Adams, who was Beard’s assistant ever since their Little Rock days in 2015, runs his patented no-middle defense. That forces opponents to generate offense from outside the arc, and 44.0% of their opponents’ 3-point shots have been wide-open in Big 12 play (via ShotQuality).

Although the Longhorns run their sets through their bigs, Tre Mitchell and Timmy Allen, they’re accruing the conference’s fifth-highest scoring rate from behind the arc. Moreover, Texas’ motion offense has improved its spacing over the course of the season, tallying the eighth-highest percentage of open 3-point looks.

Considering the Longhorns have cut down on the turnovers, it’s well-equipped to handle the Red Raiders’ ball pressure. Beard just needs Courtney Ramey & Co. to be on from distance.

Now, Texas will be at a size disadvantage against a Texas Tech offense that relies on motion and post-ups. But Beard’s crew presents one of the Big 12’s most stout interior defenses. If it’s able to continue to battle on the glass, it’ll limit the Red Raiders’ transition opportunities as well.

Keep in mind, Texas Tech wing Terrence Shannon Jr. (back) will be a game-time decision.

Texas bettors are still burning their tickets after the Longhorns failed to cover as four-point favorites versus the Vols on Saturday, possessing a 17-point lead with seven minutes left. Take the points in the battle of the Beard, though, in what should be a tightly-contested slugfest.

College Basketball Best Bets: Texas +6 (-110)
Best Available Line: Texas

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Eli Hershkovich

Eli Hershkovich is a lead sports betting writer with TheLines and Catena Media, formerly with Audacy and The Action Network. His goal is to provide you with data and information to lead you to winning bets. Eli is an avid college basketball gambler — among many other sports — and still hasn't forgiven Virginia for ruining his 2018-2019 Texas Tech futures.

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