2022 Travelers Championship Betting Card, Final Thoughts

Written By John Haslbauer on June 22, 2022
travelers championship bets

Another Major Championship runner-up finish is now in the rear view, as we turn the page hoping for just a bit more luck with Travelers Championship bets. I’m switching up the mojo this week, taking matters into my own hands, and manifesting the energy needed to hit an outright winner by showing up to TPC River Highlands in person on Friday. 

The LIV speculation has continued to dominate the press this week, as Brooks Koepka has become the latest to defect to the Saudi series. With that, I’d expect continued motivation from the stars still in this field to put on a show for one of the biggest crowds of the year on the PGA TOUR. I think we get an elite winner this week, and if you offered me a prop of the top-10 favorites versus the field, I’d side with the former. 

After a stretch of grinder events between the PGA Championship, Charles Schwab Challenge, the Memorial, and the U.S. Open, I think there’s opportunity to buy low on some birdie makers. I’m predicting a winning score of -16 this week.

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HOW I BUILT MY GOLF BETTING CARD

I was dead set on starting my card with multiple elite players, particularly those who showed some life at the U.S. Open last week, as history has shown that players can parlay that Major form into victories at The Travelers. Although this is one of the shortest courses on the PGA TOUR, and features thick rough that is more penal than TOUR average, it’s still a venue where above-average distance is preferred, so I built my card around elite ball strikers who have the ability to streak with the putter. From a unit allocations standpoint, it’s back to business as usual for Travelers Championship bets:

  • Outrights – 3U in to pay 24U each
  • Props – 3U in to pay out 3U+ each
  • First-Round Leader 0.5U in to pay out 10U+

Click on any of the odds below to bet now at the best available price across legal sportsbooks in your state.

TRAVELERS CHAMPIONSHIP BETS: OUTRIGHTS (3 UNITS)

Patrick Cantlay

My Bet: +1700

Best Odds Still Available:

By my calculations, Patrick Cantlay is on 100% of betting cards this week. He’s not exactly an obvious, must bet at 16-1 across most sports books, so it’s a bit surprising to see how widespread his backing is, but there’s no doubt his game is a quintessential fit for TPC River Highlands, and he’s shown us over the course of his career that when he has good course history, it tends to stick. I always have modest expectations for the 2021 PGA TOUR Player of the Year in Majors, so even to see a backdoor T14 at last week’s U.S. Open is encouraging. He famously shot a 60 in his Travelers debut as an amateur in 2011, and has finished top 15 in his last four consecutive appearances.

Joaquin Niemann

My Bet: +3500

Best Odds Still Available:

The more this week has gone on, the more I believe that Joaquin Niemann will be the 2022 Travelers champion. He picked up his second career victory at the Genesis Invitational in February, but still seems due for more win regression, especially in a 2022 season that’s already produced seven multi-winners. Bubba Watson won both the Genesis and the Travelers in 2018, and Niemann possesses the same skillset of distance and creative shot shaping to recreate the same game plan at TPC River Highlands. He’s No. 3 in my model this week, with top-10 ranks in SG: OTT, Birdie or Better Gained, SG: Ball Striking, P4: 400-450, and Pete Dye course history. Always a good sign when the numbers and eye test line up.

Mito Pereira

My Bet: +5500

Best Odds Still Available:

Obviously I’m going to have a stake in Mito Pereira at the only event of 2022 in which I’ll be in attendance. The 55-1 number is longer than I expected we’d see, and I’ll happily buy the dip to include him in my Travelers Championship bets, with a missed cut on the number at the U.S. Open giving him a few extra days to prep for his Travelers debut. The game has been rock solid from tee to green, and is this set up to be yet another course that suits him.

Si Woo Kim

My Bet: +10000

Best Odds Still Available:

I didn’t think we’d see the days again where books would allow the king of Pete Dye Courses to slip beyond 100-1. His putter showed signs of life at the Memorial two starts ago, where he gained across all four SG categories and recorded four straight rounds in the 60s. He’ll need to make a few more birdies this time around to hang in contention, but Si Woo has gotten by just fine over his career at this event with three top-30s in five appearances.

Christiaan Bezuidenhout

My Bet: +12500

Best Odds Still Available:

CBez was the infamous last man in on my card this week. I was on the fence between five or six names in the 80 to 125-1 odds range, but ultimately decided to trust the model, and went with the South African who rated No. 20 overall. Bezuidenhout is a short, accurate hitter off the tee, and has found his success on two of the shortest courses we’ve seen so far this year, at Pebble Beach (T14) and his latest start at Colonial (T15). He can thrive in a wedge fest, but it’s encouraging to see that he can also hang around in a birdie fest like he showed at the AT&T Byron Nelson, where he finished T12.

Stewart Cink

My Bet: +20000

Best Odds Still Available:

It’s possible Stewart Cink blew all of his win equity in 2021 with his two wins last season, but I’m willing to take a chance at gaudy odds that he’s still got more left in the tank. Cink has picked up two of his 15 career wins on these grounds, and led the field in SG: T2G at last year’s event. More on why he’s included in my Travelers Championship bets in my golf longshots post. 

FIRST-ROUND LEADER (0.5 UNITS)

Joaquin Niemann

My Bet: +5000

Best Odds Still Available:

Niemann has been a model of consistency off the tee over the last several months, which is step one to putting yourself in position to be first round leader at TPC River Highlands. Before playing in grueling U.S. Open conditions last week, Niemann carried a streak of four straight events in which he’d gained over 2 strokes putting, so if he gets the putter back on track on Thursday, he’s got the skillset to go low here.

Sam Burns

My Bet: +5000

Best Odds Still Available:

Thanks to a nice little odds boost available to some of us lucky few in the good old state of New Jersey, we’re able to fit multiple players down in the 50-1 FRL odds range on the card this week. Burns was a mainstay on the FRL card in 2021, so it’s refreshing to see him here past 50-1 on a course that is susceptible to low rounds from pure birdie makers like himself.

KH Lee

My Bet: +9000

Best Odds Still Available:

You just have to get your exposure to KH Lee on a TPC course one way or another. I opted in favor of his fellow countryman Si Woo Kim from an outright perspective, but I do believe that KH Lee has the better chance of going low between the two in any given round, given the current state of his putter.

Matthew NeSmith

My Bet: +10000

Best Odds Still Available:

Matthew NeSmith was once comfortably positioned on my betting black list, but there seems to be some material change to his approach on the greens, so I’m offering a trial run back into our good graces by testing the FRL waters. NeSmith has recorded a score in the 60s in his opening round in four of his last five events, and has the elite ball striking needed to generate scoring opportunities on this course.

TRAVELERS CHAMPIONSHIP BETS: PROPS (3 UNITS)

Top-20 Finish: Keegan Bradley

My Bet: +165

Best Odds Still Available:

I really do hate to go into a week without an outright behind my Spotlight player of the week, but the value just wasn’t there for me on Keegan when odds opened, staying right around 35-1 odds all week. So instead, what’s probably the more intelligent approach to staking your hard earned dollars on the New Englander who hasn’t won since 2018, is in the placement market. Keegan has always shown up in front of the Northeast faithful at the Travelers Championship, and this year enters in some of the best form of his career, ranking top-10 in SG: T2G and top-40 in SG: Putting. That’s a great recipe to find yourself in the top-20 come Sunday.

Top-40 Finish: Hank Lebioda

My Bet: +290

Best Odds Still Available:

There’s something in the air at TPC River Highlands that speaks to lefties, as whether it be Phil, Bubba, or Brian Harman, they’ve all found their fair share of success on these grounds year over year. To a lesser extent, Lebioda has as well, never missing the cut in three career appearances, and gaining both tee-to-green and putting in all three instances. With three top-40 finishes in his last four starts, this feels like the perfect market to get exposure to one of my favorite values of the week.

Top-20 Finish: Cam Davis

My Bet: +450

Best Odds Still Available:

If you’re going to play Cam Davis, it better be on a course that’s under 7,200 yards, or on Bentgrass greens. He’s playing a Bentgrass course that’s well under 7,200 yards this week, so you better believe I’m getting my exposure. Davis ranks top-15 in SG: T2G and SG: OTT on <7,200-yard courses, while also ranking top-15 in SG: TOT on Pete Dye courses. Considering he’s gained strokes on approach and putting in six consecutive events with two top-10s over that span, it doesn’t seem as though that momentum will come to a halt on this week’s set up.

Top-20 Finish: Stewart Cink

My Bet: +650

Best Odds Still Available:

There is something about Stewart Cink on a positional course where he’s found repeated success at across his long career that draws me in every time. So although he’s had a couple ugly, tumultuous MC’s at the Charles Schwab Challenge, the Memorial and U.S. Open, I still don’t think his form is that far off entering this week. With two wins under his belt already at TPC River Highlands and a T2 at this event just three appearances ago, Cink still brings a high ceiling in conditions that should be far more forgiving than his previous three starts.

ONE AND DONE

My Pick: Joaquin Niemann

Niemann was instantly the first bet of the week for me, as I expected to see him open in the 20 to 25-1 odds range Monday morning. Since then, the more I’ve thought about this tournament, the more it’s continued to grow on me that this is a perfect set up for Niemann to thrive in. He’s a creative shot-shaper, which is required on this course, and it really would not surprise me if we looked back on Niemann’s career decades from now and saw a similar resume to Bubba Watson on courses like Riviera CC and TPC River Highlands, given their profile of creative bombers with well-rounded skillsets.

If not Niemann, I would also consider Keegan Bradley, Patrick Cantlay, or if you want to get crazy, Brendan Steele.

TRAVELERS CHAMPIONSHIP BETS: THE CARD

That’ll do it for my 2022 Travelers Championship bets. Best of luck this week with your own golf betting. See you on Sunday for the 2022 John Deere Classic Preview.


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John Haslbauer

John Haslbauer writes about golf betting and advanced golf metrics for TheLines.com. He is a passionate golf fan, golf writer, and (casual) golfer. A graduate at Syracuse University, John works out of Jersey City as a Director of Media Strategy for HBO and HBO Max. He created the website thepgatout.com at the start of 2021 and is active on Twitter (@PGATout). No, he is not a tout. The Twitter handle is a joke. Touts are lame. We hate touts.

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